Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 841-870 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
RTO NYSE · Rentokil Initial PLC
2 May 202523.30
30.39
30.42%
Buy
0.08
-
-
RVTY NYSE · Revvity Inc.
24 Oct 202598.75
110.15
11.54%
Buy
0.22
-
-
RXO NYSE · RXO Inc.
20 Mar 202613.23
29.29
121.39%
Buy
0.13
-
-
RYAN NYSE · Ryan Specialty Group Holdings Inc
12 Jun 202635.64
41.97
17.76%
Buy
0.31
-
-
RZLT NASDAQ · Rezolute Inc
3 Apr 20263.12
4.61
47.76%
Buy
0.10
-
-
RZLV NASDAQ · Rezolve AI Limited Ordinary Shares
15 May 20262.55
2.31
-9.41%
Buy
0.03
-
-
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
20 Mar 202614.17
19.57
38.11%
Buy
0.18
-
-
SABS NASDAQ · SAB Biotherapeutics Inc
24 Oct 20253.03
3.54
16.83%
Buy
0.14
-
-
SAFE NYSE · Safehold Inc
18 Apr 202514.56
17.10
17.41%
Buy
0.20
-
-
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
10 Jul 20260.55
0.47
-15.58%
Buy
0.24
-
-
SAIA NASDAQ · Saia Inc
11 Jul 2025303.28
436.85
44.04%
Buy
0.13
-
-
SANA NASDAQ · Sana Biotechnology Inc
6 Jun 20252.84
3.15
10.92%
Buy
0.21
-
-
SARO NYSE · StandardAero, Inc.
19 Jun 202627.75
26.73
-3.68%
Buy
0.16
-
-
SBAC NASDAQ · SBA Communications Corp
3 Apr 2026202.81
185.69
-8.44%
Buy
0.20
-
-
SCL NYSE · Stepan Company
19 Dec 202546.82
58.63
25.22%
Buy
0.41
-
-
SCM NYSE · Stellus Capital Investment
26 Jun 20268.32
7.61
-8.51%
Buy
0.20
-
-
SCOR NASDAQ · Comscore Inc
11 Apr 20255.63
7.49
33.04%
Buy
0.05
-
-
SDGR NASDAQ · Schrodinger Inc
26 Jun 202616.86
15.32
-9.13%
Buy
1.10
-
-
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
15 May 202661.76
53.47
-13.42%
Buy
0.67
-
-
SEED NASDAQ · Origin Agritech Ltd
22 Aug 20251.10
1.00
-9.35%
Buy
0.59
-
-
SEER NASDAQ · Seer Inc
22 Dec 20231.82
2.17
19.23%
Buy
0.27
-
-
SEG NYSE · Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.
20 Jun 202519.46
26.48
36.07%
Buy
0.21
-
-
SEM NYSE · Select Medical Holdings
17 Oct 202513.22
16.51
24.86%
Buy
0.15
-
-
SGML NASDAQ · Sigma Lithium Resources Corp
15 Aug 20256.40
10.26
60.31%
Buy
0.92
-
-
SGMT NASDAQ · Sagimet Biosciences Inc. Series A Common Stock
6 Jun 20255.56
7.82
40.65%
Buy
0.25
-
-
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
22 May 20260.72
0.59
-18.31%
Buy
0.46
-
-
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
21 Mar 202512.65
11.38
-10.06%
Buy
0.44
-
-
SHLS NASDAQ · Shoals Technologies Group Inc
15 Aug 20255.19
10.30
98.46%
Buy
0.54
-
-
SIBN NASDAQ · Si-Bone Inc
29 May 202614.10
17.38
23.26%
Buy
0.09
-
-
SILO NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
27 Feb 20265.50
4.86
-11.60%
Buy
0.06
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2701-2730 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MSA NYSE · MSA Safety
192.02
Reversal Risk Warning
21.88%
Entry 16 May 2025 157.54
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MTB NYSE · M&T Bank Corporation
234.73
Reversal Risk Warning
98.80%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 118.07
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MWA NYSE · Mueller Water Products
29.03
Reversal Risk Warning
106.76%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 14.04
6 Feb 2026
Exit
NATR NASDAQ · Natures Sunshine Products Inc
26.33
Reversal Risk Warning
70.31%
Entry 30 May 2025 15.46
6 Feb 2026
Exit
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
4.46
20% entry drawdown
-24.78%
Entry 2 Jan 2026 5.93
6 Feb 2026
Exit
NDSN NASDAQ · Nordson Corporation
288.49
Reversal Risk Warning
38.35%
Entry 30 May 2025 208.52
6 Feb 2026
Exit
NKSH NASDAQ · National Bankshares Inc
38.13
Reversal Risk Warning
60.96%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 23.69
6 Feb 2026
Exit
NSC NYSE · Norfolk Southern Corporation
305.16
Reversal Risk Warning
41.90%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 215.06
6 Feb 2026
Entry
NSIT NASDAQ · Insight Enterprises Inc
89.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
6 Feb 2026
Exit
NVCR NASDAQ · Novocure Ltd
10.14
20% entry drawdown
-25.22%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 13.56
6 Feb 2026
Exit
NWFL NASDAQ · Norwood Financial Corp
31.56
Reversal Risk Warning
36.48%
Entry 28 Jun 2024 23.13
6 Feb 2026
Entry
OFAL NASDAQ · OFAL
0.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.61
6 Feb 2026
Entry
OFLX NASDAQ · Omega Flex Inc
36.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.18
6 Feb 2026
Entry
OMH NASDAQ · Ohmyhome Limited Ordinary Shares
1.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.00
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ONB NASDAQ · Old National Bancorp
25.41
Reversal Risk Warning
98.29%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 12.81
6 Feb 2026
Exit
OPAD NYSE · Offerpad Solutions Inc
9.30
20% entry drawdown
-25.60%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 12.50
6 Feb 2026
Exit
OSK NYSE · Oshkosh Corporation
170.38
Reversal Risk Warning
71.57%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 99.31
6 Feb 2026
Exit
OVLY NASDAQ · Oak Valley Bancorp
33.62
Reversal Risk Warning
35.90%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 24.74
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PACB NASDAQ · Pacific Biosciences of California
1.82
20% entry drawdown
-29.46%
Entry 23 Jan 2026 2.58
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PATK NASDAQ · Patrick Industries Inc
139.63
Reversal Risk Warning
148.98%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 56.08
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PDSB NASDAQ · PDS Biotechnology Corp
0.72
20% entry drawdown
-20.92%
Entry 26 Dec 2025 0.90
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PEP NASDAQ · PepsiCo Inc
166.98
Reversal Risk Warning
21.36%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 137.59
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PERF NYSE · Perfect Corp.
1.37
20% entry drawdown
-24.73%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 1.82
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PFS NYSE · Provident Financial Services Inc
23.28
Reversal Risk Warning
59.35%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 14.61
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.74
20% entry drawdown
-20.98%
Entry 23 Jan 2026 0.94
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PNC NYSE · PNC Financial Services Group Inc
240.63
Reversal Risk Warning
98.66%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 121.13
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PRQR NASDAQ · ProQR Therapeutics BV
1.50
20% entry drawdown
-20.21%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 1.88
6 Feb 2026
Exit
QCRH NASDAQ · QCR Holdings Inc
95.18
Reversal Risk Warning
106.21%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 46.16
6 Feb 2026
Entry
QXL NASDAQ · Quantum X Labs Inc.
1.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
6 Feb 2026
Exit
RF NYSE · Regions Financial Corporation
30.35
Reversal Risk Warning
75.56%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 17.29