View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

Market United States

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00

Index Value

483.76

Total Return

383.76%

CAGR

56.75% Annualized from first index week

Edge vs Market

+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR

Risk Adjusted

Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20

Current Holdings

1117

Transactions

10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk

Exit Mix

4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions

This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close

AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC

13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc

161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings

2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation

60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.

0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc

125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc

73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd

4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

GIB NYSE · CGI Inc

67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares

1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share

10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares

11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share

10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated

50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share

10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd

1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.

2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc

11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock

0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co

0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp

1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc

1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc

30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.

72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc

19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc

2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc

2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR

2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close

APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd

1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%

BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc

3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%

BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock

126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%

BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc

3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%

CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation

46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%

CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc

0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%

CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc

6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%

GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.

0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%

GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp

152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%

JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares

0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%

KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc

23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%

LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc

5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%

NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.

14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%

OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc

0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%

TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.

1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%

WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation

17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 61-90 of 1117 open

Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS

AMPH NASDAQ · Amphastar P

26 Jun 202621.78

18.72

-14.05%

Buy

0.46

AMPL NASDAQ · Amplitude Inc

22 May 20266.70

9.18

37.01%

Buy

0.34

AMPY NYSE · Amplify Energy Corp

13 Jun 20253.56

3.94

10.67%

Buy

0.03

AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc

19 Sep 2025166.10

146.69

-11.69%

Buy

1.61

AMRC NYSE · Ameresco Inc

6 Jun 202515.51

24.94

60.80%

Buy

0.49

AMRN NASDAQ · Amarin Corporation PLC

23 May 202511.11

14.88

33.93%

Buy

0.02

AMSF NASDAQ · AMERISAFE Inc

19 Jun 202631.32

34.46

10.03%

Buy

0.17

AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co

12 Jun 20261.26

1.14

-9.52%

Buy

0.28

AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp

8 May 20267.97

9.91

24.34%

Buy

1.34

ANF NYSE · Abercrombie & Fitch Company

6 Jun 202582.99

93.07

12.15%

Buy

0.22

ANGI NASDAQ · ANGI Homeservices Inc

3 Jul 20266.06

6.24

2.97%

Buy

0.09

ANIK NASDAQ · Anika Therapeutics Inc

24 Oct 202510.01

15.60

55.84%

Buy

0.89

ANNX NASDAQ · Annexon Inc

12 Sep 20252.42

5.80

139.67%

Buy

0.33

ANTX NASDAQ · AN2 Therapeutics Inc

6 Mar 20262.85

4.50

57.89%

Buy

0.07

AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation

10 Jul 202660.44

60.44

New Entry week

Buy

0.00

AOUT NASDAQ · American Outdoor Brands Inc

26 Dec 20258.28

14.34

73.19%

Buy

0.41

APOG NASDAQ · Apogee Enterprises Inc

5 Jun 202637.01

38.82

4.89%

Buy

0.04

APPF NASDAQ · Appfolio Inc

15 May 2026151.70

175.58

15.74%

Buy

0.02

APPN NASDAQ · Appian Corp

5 Jun 202624.73

25.36

2.55%

Buy

0.08

APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC

6 Jun 202566.64

60.57

-9.11%

Buy

0.17

APXT NASDAQ · Apex Treasury Corporation

19 Jun 202610.06

10.07

0.10%

Buy

1.12

APYX NASDAQ · Apyx Medical Inc

13 Jun 20251.75

4.38

150.29%

Buy

0.86

ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.

10 Jul 20260.42

0.42

New Entry week

Buy

0.40

ARCO NYSE · Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc

31 Oct 20257.05

8.46

20.03%

Buy

0.33

ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc

27 Feb 20268.23

6.97

-15.31%

Buy

0.18

ARDT NYSE · Ardent Health Partners, Inc.

27 Feb 20269.39

10.08

7.35%

Buy

0.14

ARDX NASDAQ · Ardelyx Inc

18 Jul 20254.41

5.28

19.73%

Buy

0.03

ARES NYSE · Ares Management LP

22 May 2026122.41

121.81

-0.49%

Buy

0.24

ARHS NASDAQ · Arhaus Inc

26 Jun 20268.41

7.86

-6.54%

Buy

0.42

ARKR NASDAQ · Ark Restaurants Corp

2 Jan 20266.61

5.85

-11.50%

Buy

0.11

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1051-1080 of 10719

Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers

22 May 2026

Entry

DMRC NASDAQ · Digimarc Corporation

13.68

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.65

22 May 2026

Entry

DRVN NASDAQ · Driven Brands Holdings Inc

13.77

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06

22 May 2026

Exit

EDRY NASDAQ · EuroDry Ltd

23.44

Reversal Risk Warning

95.01%

Entry 12 Sep 2025 12.02

22 May 2026

Entry

ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc

64.03

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.30

22 May 2026

Exit

ERIC NASDAQ · Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson B ADR

13.50

Reversal Risk Warning

161.54%

Entry 8 Dec 2023 5.16

22 May 2026

Entry

ESRT NYSE · Empire State Realty Trust Inc

5.54

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26

22 May 2026

Entry

ESTC NYSE · Elastic NV

54.81

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08

22 May 2026

Entry

EXLS NASDAQ · ExlService Holdings Inc

29.51

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35

22 May 2026

Entry

FATE NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc

2.25

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.61

22 May 2026

Exit

FFIV NASDAQ · F5 Networks Inc

393.63

Reversal Risk Warning

128.06%

Entry 1 Dec 2023 172.60

22 May 2026

Exit

FLY NASDAQ · Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock

49.50

Reversal Risk Warning

50.32%

Entry 3 Apr 2026 32.93

22 May 2026

Exit

FRT NYSE · Federal Realty Investment Trust

118.64

Reversal Risk Warning

34.97%

Entry 1 Dec 2023 87.90

22 May 2026

Entry

GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.

0.46

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.01

22 May 2026

Exit

GAUZ NASDAQ · Gauzy Ltd. Ordinary Shares

0.66

20% entry drawdown

-23.40%

Entry 15 May 2026 0.86

22 May 2026

Entry

GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares

0.69

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27

22 May 2026

Entry

GENI NYSE · Genius Sports Ltd

5.35

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04

22 May 2026

Exit

GFS NASDAQ · Globalfoundries Inc

85.52

Reversal Risk Warning

126.66%

Entry 6 Jun 2025 37.73

22 May 2026

Entry

GPK NYSE · Graphic Packaging Holding Company

10.07

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.30

22 May 2026

Entry

GPN NYSE · Global Payments Inc

72.99

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22

22 May 2026

Exit

GTX NASDAQ · Garrett Motion Inc

33.20

Reversal Risk Warning

212.50%

Entry 2 May 2025 10.63

22 May 2026

Entry

HCAI NASDAQ · Huachen AI Parking Management Technology Holding Co Ltd

10.00

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.54

22 May 2026

Exit

HIMX NASDAQ · Himax Technologies Inc

20.70

Reversal Risk Warning

235.01%

Entry 17 May 2024 6.18

22 May 2026

Exit

HLIT NASDAQ · Harmonic Inc

15.20

Reversal Risk Warning

60.17%

Entry 27 Jun 2025 9.49

22 May 2026

Exit

HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc

2.51

20% entry drawdown

-20.06%

Entry 8 Aug 2025 3.14

22 May 2026

Exit

HOVR NASDAQ · New Horizon Aircraft Ltd

3.14

Reversal Risk Warning

560.64%

Entry 22 Nov 2024 0.48

22 May 2026

Exit

HTB NYSE · HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc.

46.83

Reversal Risk Warning

97.69%

Entry 28 Jul 2023 23.69

22 May 2026

Entry

HUIZ NASDAQ · Huize Holding Ltd

1.75

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16

22 May 2026

Exit

ICCC NASDAQ · ImmuCell Corporation

10.12

Reversal Risk Warning

145.63%

Entry 29 Nov 2024 4.12

22 May 2026

Entry

ICLR NASDAQ · ICON PLC

116.78

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20

22 May 2026

Exit

IMTE NASDAQ · Integrated Media Technology Ltd

0.50

20% entry drawdown

-20.12%

Entry 6 Mar 2026 0.62