View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
478.70
Total Return
378.70%
CAGR
55.90% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.12%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.64 Sortino 5.14
Current Holdings
1077
Transactions
10779 Avg 3056.6/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4851 Stop 41.6% · Warning 57.9% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
19
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
IQ NASDAQ · iQIYI Inc
1.19 MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAT NASDAQ · Mattel Inc
14.30 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
36
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 901-930 of 1077 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
SSTI NASDAQ · Shotspotter Inc
12 Jun 20268.03
8.59
6.97%
Buy
1.17
-
-
SSYS NASDAQ · Stratasys Ltd
27 Sep 20248.14
8.14
0.00%
Buy
0.15
-
-
STAA NASDAQ · STAAR Surgical Company
17 Apr 202625.08
26.44
5.42%
Buy
0.32
-
-
STG NYSE · Sunlands Technology Group
5 Jun 20263.47
3.57
2.88%
Buy
0.04
-
-
STHO NASDAQ · Star Holdings
20 Jun 20257.72
9.41
21.89%
Buy
0.31
-
-
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
10 Jul 20261.76
1.62
-7.95%
Buy
0.50
-
-
STRO NASDAQ · Sutro Biopharma
16 Jan 202613.82
23.57
70.55%
Buy
1.22
-
-
STRR NASDAQ · Star Equity Holdings Inc
19 Sep 202511.47
11.16
-2.70%
Buy
1.58
-
-
STTK NASDAQ · Shattuck Labs Inc
5 Dec 20253.10
7.53
142.90%
Buy
0.51
-
-
STUB NYSE · StubHub Holdings, Inc.
22 May 20269.98
9.25
-7.31%
Buy
0.18
-
-
STVN NYSE · Stevanato Group SpA
8 May 202618.16
19.17
5.53%
Buy
0.61
-
-
STZ NYSE · Constellation Brands Inc Class A
12 Dec 2025145.46
132.87
-8.65%
Buy
0.17
-
-
SUNS NASDAQ · Sunrise Realty Trust, Inc.
12 Jun 20268.23
8.30
0.88%
Buy
0.12
-
-
SUZ NYSE · Suzano Papel e Celulose SA ADR
13 Jun 20259.55
8.21
-14.01%
Buy
0.06
-
-
SVC NASDAQ · Service Properties Trust
26 Jun 20268.55
8.55
0.01%
Buy
0.08
-
-
SVCO NASDAQ · Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock
20 Mar 20266.34
7.94
25.24%
Buy
0.31
-
-
SVV NYSE · Savers Value Village, Inc.
5 Jun 20268.99
9.94
10.57%
Buy
0.01
-
-
SWK NYSE · Stanley Black & Decker Inc
4 Jul 202567.98
90.17
32.64%
Buy
0.13
-
-
SWKS NASDAQ · Skyworks Solutions Inc
24 Apr 202663.11
59.35
-5.96%
Buy
0.14
-
-
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
6 Mar 20265.83
8.37
43.61%
Buy
0.26
-
-
TACO NASDAQ · Berto Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
13 Feb 202610.19
10.50
3.04%
Buy
0.05
-
-
TACT NASDAQ · TransAct Technologies Incorporated
29 May 20264.47
5.23
17.00%
Buy
1.20
-
-
TAVI NASDAQ · Tavia Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
25 Jul 202510.28
10.67
3.84%
Buy
1.24
-
-
TDC NYSE · Teradata Corp
7 Nov 202527.60
30.52
10.58%
Buy
1.11
-
-
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
1 May 20266.46
9.43
45.98%
Buy
0.31
-
-
TDW NYSE · Tidewater Inc
6 Jun 202543.43
75.82
74.58%
Buy
0.18
-
-
TEAM NASDAQ · Atlassian Corp Plc
8 May 202691.60
93.29
1.84%
Buy
0.36
-
-
TECH NASDAQ · Bio-Techne Corp
19 Jun 202657.94
72.12
24.47%
Buy
0.11
-
-
TECX NASDAQ · Tectonic Therapeutic, Inc.
21 Nov 202519.18
32.60
69.97%
Buy
0.02
-
-
TENB NASDAQ · Tenable Holdings Inc
1 May 202621.23
39.88
87.85%
Buy
0.34
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4441-4470 of 10779
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
25 Jul 2025
Entry
IOVA NASDAQ · Iovance Biotherapeutics Inc
3.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.81
25 Jul 2025
Exit
ITOC NASDAQ · iTonic Holdings Ltd.
29.15
Reversal Risk Warning
425.97%
Entry 16 May 2025 5.54
25 Jul 2025
Exit
LASE NASDAQ · Laser Photonics Corporation Common Stock
3.04
20% entry drawdown
-21.65%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 3.88
25 Jul 2025
Entry
LIDR NASDAQ · Aeye Inc
4.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.40
25 Jul 2025
Entry
LNZA NASDAQ · LanzaTech Global Inc.
58.24
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.89
25 Jul 2025
Entry
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
7.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
25 Jul 2025
Entry
NMRA NASDAQ · Neumora Therapeutics, Inc.
2.35
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.49
25 Jul 2025
Entry
NOTV NASDAQ · Inotiv Inc
2.22
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
25 Jul 2025
Entry
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
13.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.69
25 Jul 2025
Exit
NTRB NASDAQ · Nutriband Inc
8.53
Reversal Risk Warning
280.99%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 2.24
25 Jul 2025
Entry
NUVB NYSE · Nuvation Bio Inc
2.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.75
25 Jul 2025
Entry
NXTC NASDAQ · NextCure  Inc
6.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.82
25 Jul 2025
Entry
POLA NASDAQ · Polar Power Inc
2.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.61
25 Jul 2025
Entry
RDZN NASDAQ · Roadzen Inc.
1.53
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.95
25 Jul 2025
Entry
REYN NASDAQ · Reynolds Consumer Products Inc
21.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
25 Jul 2025
Entry
SGML NASDAQ · Sigma Lithium Resources Corp
7.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.42
25 Jul 2025
Exit
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
601.55
Reversal Risk Warning
20.59%
Entry 23 May 2025 498.85
25 Jul 2025
Exit
SO NYSE · Southern Company
91.93
Reversal Risk Warning
44.02%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 63.83
25 Jul 2025
Entry
SPB NYSE · Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc
58.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
25 Jul 2025
Exit
STEW NYSE · SRH Total Return Fund Inc.
17.30
Reversal Risk Warning
42.69%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 12.12
25 Jul 2025
Entry
TAVI NASDAQ · Tavia Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
10.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.24
25 Jul 2025
Entry
TFX NYSE · Teleflex Incorporated
115.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
25 Jul 2025
Entry
TLYS NYSE · Tillys Inc
1.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.58
25 Jul 2025
Exit
TT NYSE · Trane Technologies plc
467.66
Reversal Risk Warning
110.31%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 222.37
25 Jul 2025
Entry
TXG NASDAQ · 10X Genomics Inc
14.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.16
25 Jul 2025
Entry
UGRO NASDAQ · Urban-Gro Inc
11.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.58
25 Jul 2025
Entry
UPB NASDAQ · Upstream Bio, Inc.
13.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.48
25 Jul 2025
Entry
VERI NASDAQ · Veritone Inc
2.35
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
25 Jul 2025
Exit
VRSN NASDAQ · VeriSign Inc
302.04
Reversal Risk Warning
63.35%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 184.90
25 Jul 2025
Exit
VUZI NASDAQ · Vuzix Corp Cmn Stk
2.27
20% entry drawdown
-23.57%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 2.97