Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 901-930 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
SRPT NASDAQ · Sarepta Therapeutics Inc
26 Sep 202518.36
17.22
-6.21%
Buy
0.40
-
-
SSBI NASDAQ · Summit State Bank
20 Dec 20247.64
13.62
78.27%
Buy
0.06
-
-
SSEA NASDAQ · Starry Sea Acquisition Corp Ordinary Shares
24 Apr 202610.17
10.28
1.08%
Buy
1.14
-
-
SSTI NASDAQ · Shotspotter Inc
12 Jun 20268.03
8.59
6.97%
Buy
1.17
-
-
SSYS NASDAQ · Stratasys Ltd
27 Sep 20248.14
8.14
0.00%
Buy
0.15
-
-
STAA NASDAQ · STAAR Surgical Company
17 Apr 202625.08
26.44
5.42%
Buy
0.32
-
-
STG NYSE · Sunlands Technology Group
5 Jun 20263.47
3.57
2.88%
Buy
0.04
-
-
STHO NASDAQ · Star Holdings
20 Jun 20257.72
9.41
21.89%
Buy
0.31
-
-
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
10 Jul 20261.76
1.62
-7.95%
Buy
0.50
-
-
STRO NASDAQ · Sutro Biopharma
16 Jan 202613.82
23.57
70.55%
Buy
1.22
-
-
STRR NASDAQ · Star Equity Holdings Inc
19 Sep 202511.47
11.16
-2.70%
Buy
1.58
-
-
STTK NASDAQ · Shattuck Labs Inc
5 Dec 20253.10
7.53
142.90%
Buy
0.51
-
-
STUB NYSE · StubHub Holdings, Inc.
22 May 20269.98
9.25
-7.31%
Buy
0.18
-
-
STVN NYSE · Stevanato Group SpA
8 May 202618.16
19.17
5.53%
Buy
0.61
-
-
STZ NYSE · Constellation Brands Inc Class A
12 Dec 2025145.46
132.87
-8.65%
Buy
0.17
-
-
SUNS NASDAQ · Sunrise Realty Trust, Inc.
12 Jun 20268.23
8.30
0.88%
Buy
0.12
-
-
SUZ NYSE · Suzano Papel e Celulose SA ADR
13 Jun 20259.55
8.21
-14.01%
Buy
0.06
-
-
SVC NASDAQ · Service Properties Trust
26 Jun 20268.55
8.60
0.58%
Buy
0.08
-
-
SVCO NASDAQ · Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock
20 Mar 20266.34
7.94
25.24%
Buy
0.31
-
-
SVV NYSE · Savers Value Village, Inc.
5 Jun 20268.99
9.94
10.57%
Buy
0.01
-
-
SWK NYSE · Stanley Black & Decker Inc
4 Jul 202567.98
90.17
32.64%
Buy
0.13
-
-
SWKS NASDAQ · Skyworks Solutions Inc
24 Apr 202663.11
59.35
-5.96%
Buy
0.14
-
-
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
6 Mar 20265.83
8.37
43.61%
Buy
0.26
-
-
TACO NASDAQ · Berto Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
13 Feb 202610.19
10.50
3.04%
Buy
0.05
-
-
TACT NASDAQ · TransAct Technologies Incorporated
29 May 20264.47
5.23
17.00%
Buy
1.20
-
-
TAVI NASDAQ · Tavia Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
25 Jul 202510.28
10.67
3.84%
Buy
1.24
-
-
TDC NYSE · Teradata Corp
7 Nov 202527.60
30.52
10.58%
Buy
1.11
-
-
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
1 May 20266.46
9.43
45.98%
Buy
0.31
-
-
TDW NYSE · Tidewater Inc
6 Jun 202543.43
75.82
74.58%
Buy
0.18
-
-
TEAM NASDAQ · Atlassian Corp Plc
8 May 202691.60
93.29
1.84%
Buy
0.36
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2731-2760 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
6 Feb 2026
Exit
RNST NYSE · Renasant Corporation
41.29
Reversal Risk Warning
53.93%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 26.83
6 Feb 2026
Exit
RRR NASDAQ · Red Rock Resorts Inc
63.88
Reversal Risk Warning
57.68%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 40.51
6 Feb 2026
Exit
RUSHA NASDAQ · Rush Enterprises A Inc
72.26
Reversal Risk Warning
73.25%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 41.71
6 Feb 2026
Exit
SD NYSE · SandRidge Energy Inc
16.34
Reversal Risk Warning
43.84%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 11.36
6 Feb 2026
Exit
SFST NASDAQ · Southern First Bancshares Inc
59.40
Reversal Risk Warning
68.75%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 35.20
6 Feb 2026
Exit
SHMD NASDAQ · SCHMID Group N.V. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.42
Reversal Risk Warning
242.76%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 3.04
6 Feb 2026
Entry
SM NYSE · SM Energy Co
20.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.69
6 Feb 2026
Exit
SPFI NASDAQ · South Plains Financial Inc
43.04
Reversal Risk Warning
79.58%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 23.97
6 Feb 2026
Exit
STEL NYSE · Stellar Bancorp, Inc.
38.85
Reversal Risk Warning
69.33%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 22.95
6 Feb 2026
Exit
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.56
20% entry drawdown
-25.36%
Entry 30 Jan 2026 2.09
6 Feb 2026
Exit
STKS NASDAQ · One Group Hospitality Inc
2.04
20% entry drawdown
-20.31%
Entry 16 Jan 2026 2.56
6 Feb 2026
Exit
STLA NYSE · Stellantis NV
7.28
20% entry drawdown
-28.21%
Entry 30 May 2025 10.14
6 Feb 2026
Exit
STRT NASDAQ · Strattec Security Corporation
90.47
Reversal Risk Warning
282.05%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 23.68
6 Feb 2026
Exit
SVCO NASDAQ · Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock
3.89
20% entry drawdown
-21.73%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 4.97
6 Feb 2026
Exit
SYY NYSE · Sysco Corporation
85.88
Reversal Risk Warning
27.60%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 67.30
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TAK NYSE · Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd ADR
17.89
Reversal Risk Warning
43.18%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 12.49
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TCBK NASDAQ · TriCo Bancshares
51.47
Reversal Risk Warning
46.49%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 35.13
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TDY NYSE · Teledyne Technologies Incorporated
647.56
Reversal Risk Warning
57.86%
Entry 8 Sep 2023 410.22
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TFC NYSE · Truist Financial Corp
54.68
Reversal Risk Warning
100.07%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 27.33
6 Feb 2026
Exit
THO NYSE · Thor Industries Inc
119.18
Reversal Risk Warning
40.73%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 84.69
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TILE NASDAQ · Interface Inc
34.55
Reversal Risk Warning
182.61%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 12.23
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TJGC NASDAQ · TJGC Group Limited
2.67
20% entry drawdown
-21.24%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 3.39
6 Feb 2026
Entry
TLF NASDAQ · Tandy Leather Factory Inc
2.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.51
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TM NYSE · Toyota Motor Corporation ADR
244.22
Reversal Risk Warning
46.92%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 166.23
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TPB NYSE · Turning Point Brands Inc
129.72
Reversal Risk Warning
211.50%
Entry 20 Sep 2024 41.64
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TPR NYSE · Tapestry Inc
151.25
Reversal Risk Warning
171.62%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 55.68
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TRMK NASDAQ · Trustmark Corporation
44.17
Reversal Risk Warning
118.08%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 20.26
6 Feb 2026
Entry
TRNS NASDAQ · Transcat Inc
76.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.59
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TTC NYSE · Toro Co
97.36
Reversal Risk Warning
31.59%
Entry 30 May 2025 73.99
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TTEC NASDAQ · TTEC Holdings Inc
3.03
20% entry drawdown
-21.50%
Entry 12 Dec 2025 3.86