Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
484.55
Total Return
384.55%
CAGR
56.82% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.37%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.68 Sortino 5.21
Current Holdings
1108
Transactions
10720 Avg 3056.5/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4806 Stop 41.2% · Warning 58.2% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
29
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
93.27 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.15 MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BBOT NASDAQ · BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics, Inc.
8.32 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
7.25 MD 0.71 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Q NYSE · Qnity Electronics, Inc
143.80 MD 0.79 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
37
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BCDA NASDAQ · Biocardia Inc
0.91 20% entry drawdown · -23.77%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BLZE NASDAQ · Backblaze Inc
17.60 Reversal Risk Warning · 135.29%
BMAC NYSE · Black Mountain Acquisition Corp
10.60 Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.00%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CLYM NASDAQ · Climb Bio Inc
14.00 Reversal Risk Warning · 227.10%
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
4.66 Ticker inactive / final available close · 47.47%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
DENN NASDAQ · Dennys Corp
6.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 51.33%
DWSN NASDAQ · Dawson Geophysical Company
7.57 Reversal Risk Warning · 394.77%
EWTX NASDAQ · Edgewise Therapeutics Inc
45.41 Reversal Risk Warning · 315.08%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
10.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 107.49%
IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
50.06 Reversal Risk Warning · 118.07%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
MBX NASDAQ · MBX Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock
61.05 Reversal Risk Warning · 408.75%
MPLT NASDAQ · MapLight Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
39.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.43%
ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp
28.00 Ticker inactive / final available close · 57.57%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
9.40 Ticker inactive / final available close · 41.10%
PTRN NASDAQ · Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock
28.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 81.85%
RCM NASDAQ · R1 RCM Inc
14.31 Ticker inactive / final available close · 28.92%
RLAY NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc
20.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 566.83%
ROSS NYSE · Ross Acquisition II Corp
11.08 Ticker inactive / final available close · 3.84%
SBFG NASDAQ · SB Financial Group Inc
26.27 Reversal Risk Warning · 94.76%
SLRN NASDAQ · ACELYRIN, INC. Common Stock
2.27 Ticker inactive / final available close · -11.67%
THRD NASDAQ · Third Harmonic Bio Inc.
5.38 Ticker inactive / final available close · 4.06%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
9.44 Reversal Risk Warning · 84.02%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%
WKC NYSE · World Kinect Corporation
35.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 71.05%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 931-960 of 1108 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
STG NYSE · Sunlands Technology Group
5 Jun 20263.47
3.97
14.41%
Buy
0.04
-
-
STHO NASDAQ · Star Holdings
20 Jun 20257.72
9.06
17.36%
Buy
0.31
-
-
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
10 Jul 20261.76
1.76
New Entry week
Buy
0.50
-
-
STRO NASDAQ · Sutro Biopharma
16 Jan 202613.82
29.73
115.12%
Buy
1.22
-
-
STRR NASDAQ · Star Equity Holdings Inc
19 Sep 202511.47
11.25
-1.92%
Buy
1.58
-
-
STTK NASDAQ · Shattuck Labs Inc
5 Dec 20253.10
6.64
114.19%
Buy
0.51
-
-
STUB NYSE · StubHub Holdings, Inc.
22 May 20269.98
11.10
11.22%
Buy
0.18
-
-
STVN NYSE · Stevanato Group SpA
8 May 202618.16
19.59
7.85%
Buy
0.61
-
-
STZ NYSE · Constellation Brands Inc Class A
12 Dec 2025145.46
134.06
-7.84%
Buy
0.17
-
-
SUNS NASDAQ · Sunrise Realty Trust, Inc.
12 Jun 20268.23
8.04
-2.28%
Buy
0.12
-
-
SUZ NYSE · Suzano Papel e Celulose SA ADR
13 Jun 20259.55
8.07
-15.47%
Buy
0.06
-
-
SVC NASDAQ · Service Properties Trust
26 Jun 20268.55
8.83
3.27%
Buy
0.08
-
-
SVCO NASDAQ · Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock
20 Mar 20266.34
10.86
71.29%
Buy
0.31
-
-
SVV NYSE · Savers Value Village, Inc.
5 Jun 20268.99
9.77
8.68%
Buy
0.01
-
-
SWK NYSE · Stanley Black & Decker Inc
4 Jul 202567.98
88.22
29.77%
Buy
0.13
-
-
SWKS NASDAQ · Skyworks Solutions Inc
24 Apr 202663.11
60.38
-4.33%
Buy
0.14
-
-
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
6 Mar 20265.83
8.22
41.04%
Buy
0.26
-
-
TACO NASDAQ · Berto Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
13 Feb 202610.19
10.52
3.24%
Buy
0.05
-
-
TACT NASDAQ · TransAct Technologies Incorporated
29 May 20264.47
5.19
16.11%
Buy
1.20
-
-
TAVI NASDAQ · Tavia Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
25 Jul 202510.28
10.65
3.65%
Buy
1.24
-
-
TDC NYSE · Teradata Corp
7 Nov 202527.60
33.74
22.25%
Buy
1.11
-
-
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
1 May 20266.46
9.28
43.65%
Buy
0.31
-
-
TDW NYSE · Tidewater Inc
6 Jun 202543.43
73.37
68.94%
Buy
0.18
-
-
TEAM NASDAQ · Atlassian Corp Plc
8 May 202691.60
88.86
-2.99%
Buy
0.36
-
-
TECH NASDAQ · Bio-Techne Corp
19 Jun 202657.94
71.30
23.06%
Buy
0.11
-
-
TECX NASDAQ · Tectonic Therapeutic, Inc.
21 Nov 202519.18
34.37
79.20%
Buy
0.02
-
-
TENB NASDAQ · Tenable Holdings Inc
1 May 202621.23
39.78
87.38%
Buy
0.34
-
-
TENX NASDAQ · Tenax Therapeutics Inc
26 Sep 20257.26
17.55
141.74%
Buy
1.03
-
-
TFIN NYSE · Triumph Financial, Inc.
7 Nov 202553.86
78.44
45.64%
Buy
0.08
-
-
TFX NYSE · Teleflex Incorporated
25 Jul 2025115.85
135.73
17.16%
Buy
0.19
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2581-2610 of 10720
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
6 Feb 2026
Exit
DKL NYSE · Delek Logistics Partners LP
51.45
Reversal Risk Warning
42.17%
Entry 3 Nov 2023 36.19
6 Feb 2026
Exit
DOV NYSE · Dover Corporation
222.60
Reversal Risk Warning
54.36%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 144.21
6 Feb 2026
Exit
EAF NYSE · GrafTech International Ltd
8.44
20% entry drawdown
-27.24%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 11.60
6 Feb 2026
Exit
EBC NASDAQ · Eastern Bankshares Inc
21.58
Reversal Risk Warning
60.35%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 13.46
6 Feb 2026
Exit
EBMT NASDAQ · Eagle Bancorp Montana Inc
23.14
Reversal Risk Warning
85.88%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 12.45
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ECOR NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
5.45
20% entry drawdown
-23.67%
Entry 16 Jan 2026 7.14
6 Feb 2026
Exit
EGBN NASDAQ · Eagle Bancorp Inc
27.57
Reversal Risk Warning
53.11%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 18.01
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ELAN NYSE · Elanco Animal Health
25.20
Reversal Risk Warning
95.05%
Entry 16 May 2025 12.92
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ESQ NASDAQ · Esquire Financial Holdings Inc
114.94
Reversal Risk Warning
111.86%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 54.25
6 Feb 2026
Exit
FBNC NASDAQ · First Bancorp
61.97
Reversal Risk Warning
96.25%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 31.58
6 Feb 2026
Exit
FELE NASDAQ · Franklin Electric Co Inc
107.25
Reversal Risk Warning
18.39%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 90.59
6 Feb 2026
Exit
FER NASDAQ · Ferrovial SE
70.55
Reversal Risk Warning
69.57%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 41.60
6 Feb 2026
Exit
FHN NYSE · First Horizon Corporation
25.85
Reversal Risk Warning
112.31%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 12.18
6 Feb 2026
Exit
FIBK NASDAQ · First Interstate BancSystem Inc
37.84
Reversal Risk Warning
83.98%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 20.57
6 Feb 2026
Exit
FITB NASDAQ · Fifth Third Bancorp
54.61
Reversal Risk Warning
114.78%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 25.43
6 Feb 2026
Exit
FLS NYSE · Flowserve Corporation
85.20
Reversal Risk Warning
93.36%
Entry 22 Mar 2024 44.06
6 Feb 2026
Exit
FNB NYSE · F.N.B. Corp
18.63
Reversal Risk Warning
62.94%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 11.43
6 Feb 2026
Exit
GATX NYSE · GATX Corporation
187.06
Reversal Risk Warning
65.47%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 113.05
6 Feb 2026
Exit
GDYN NASDAQ · Grid Dynamics Holdings Inc
7.13
20% entry drawdown
-23.66%
Entry 31 Oct 2025 9.34
6 Feb 2026
Exit
GEF NYSE · Greif Bros Corporation
74.01
Reversal Risk Warning
16.23%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 63.67
6 Feb 2026
Exit
GEL NYSE · Genesis Energy LP
17.01
Reversal Risk Warning
87.31%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 9.08
6 Feb 2026
Exit
GFF NYSE · Griffon Corporation
94.36
Reversal Risk Warning
131.85%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 40.70
6 Feb 2026
Exit
GIL NYSE · Gildan Activewear Inc.
70.61
Reversal Risk Warning
108.18%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 33.92
6 Feb 2026
Exit
GILD NASDAQ · Gilead Sciences Inc
150.65
Reversal Risk Warning
101.79%
Entry 3 Nov 2023 74.66
6 Feb 2026
Entry
GROV NYSE · Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc.
1.53
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
6 Feb 2026
Exit
GSK NYSE · GlaxoSmithKline PLC ADR
59.27
Reversal Risk Warning
76.15%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 33.65
6 Feb 2026
Exit
HFWA NASDAQ · Heritage Financial Corporation
27.95
Reversal Risk Warning
69.41%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 16.50
6 Feb 2026
Exit
HIFS NASDAQ · Hingham Institution for Savings
332.62
Reversal Risk Warning
73.00%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 192.26
6 Feb 2026
Exit
HON NASDAQ · Honeywell International Inc
247.41
Reversal Risk Warning
36.45%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 181.32
6 Feb 2026
Exit
HSY NYSE · Hershey Co
228.24
Reversal Risk Warning
28.14%
Entry 7 Mar 2025 178.12