Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 931-960 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
TECH NASDAQ · Bio-Techne Corp
19 Jun 202657.94
72.12
24.47%
Buy
0.11
-
-
TECX NASDAQ · Tectonic Therapeutic, Inc.
21 Nov 202519.18
32.60
69.97%
Buy
0.02
-
-
TENB NASDAQ · Tenable Holdings Inc
1 May 202621.23
39.88
87.85%
Buy
0.34
-
-
TENX NASDAQ · Tenax Therapeutics Inc
26 Sep 20257.26
15.85
118.32%
Buy
1.03
-
-
TFIN NYSE · Triumph Financial, Inc.
7 Nov 202553.86
80.61
49.67%
Buy
0.08
-
-
TFX NYSE · Teleflex Incorporated
25 Jul 2025115.85
134.61
16.20%
Buy
0.19
-
-
TGE NYSE · The Generation Essentials Group
12 Jun 20261.04
0.94
-9.62%
Buy
0.05
-
-
TGHL NASDAQ · The GrowHub Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
10 Apr 20260.36
1.04
189.61%
Buy
0.59
-
-
TGT NYSE · Target Corporation
27 Jun 202595.12
139.60
46.77%
Buy
0.27
-
-
THRM NASDAQ · Gentherm Inc
6 Jun 202527.05
35.94
32.87%
Buy
0.10
-
-
TITN NASDAQ · Titan Machinery Inc
28 Mar 202517.27
19.14
10.83%
Buy
0.63
-
-
TJGC NASDAQ · TJGC Group Limited
10 Apr 20262.82
4.47
58.51%
Buy
0.67
-
-
TLF NASDAQ · Tandy Leather Factory Inc
6 Feb 20262.41
2.40
-0.65%
Buy
0.51
-
-
TLIH NASDAQ · Ten-League International Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
1 May 20263.66
5.70
55.74%
Buy
0.29
-
-
TLSI NASDAQ · TriSalus Life Sciences Inc.
26 Jun 20264.73
4.29
-9.30%
Buy
0.10
-
-
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
6 Mar 20267.52
10.46
39.10%
Buy
0.31
-
-
TLYS NYSE · Tillys Inc
13 Mar 20262.69
3.96
47.21%
Buy
0.32
-
-
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
15 May 20262.66
4.30
61.65%
Buy
0.92
-
-
TNC NYSE · Tennant Company
24 Apr 202681.23
86.11
6.01%
Buy
0.11
-
-
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
15 May 20260.78
0.69
-10.95%
Buy
0.53
-
-
TREX NYSE · Trex Company Inc
23 Jan 202642.55
45.13
6.06%
Buy
0.12
-
-
TRIP NASDAQ · TripAdvisor Inc
1 May 202611.56
14.58
26.12%
Buy
0.05
-
-
TRNS NASDAQ · Transcat Inc
6 Feb 202676.33
87.90
15.16%
Buy
0.59
-
-
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
23 Jan 20266.21
5.84
-5.98%
Buy
1.79
-
-
TRUP NASDAQ · Trupanion Inc
19 Jun 202623.54
26.70
13.42%
Buy
0.11
-
-
TSQ NYSE · Townsquare Media Inc
23 Jan 20265.65
6.61
16.91%
Buy
0.17
-
-
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
10 Jul 202630.99
31.59
1.94%
Buy
0.06
-
-
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
22 Nov 20244.13
3.53
-14.53%
Buy
0.21
-
-
TUSK NASDAQ · Mammoth Energy Services Inc
16 Jan 20262.29
2.80
22.27%
Buy
0.35
-
-
TV NYSE · Grupo Televisa SAB ADR
21 Feb 20251.85
2.71
46.33%
Buy
0.21
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2611-2640 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BBT NYSE · Beacon Financial Corporation
30.88
Reversal Risk Warning
58.92%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 19.43
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BFC NASDAQ · Bank First National Corp
150.94
Reversal Risk Warning
92.99%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 78.21
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BFST NASDAQ · Business First Bancshares Inc
29.52
Reversal Risk Warning
51.10%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 19.54
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BIP NYSE · Brookfield Infrastructure Partners LP
36.44
Reversal Risk Warning
40.22%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 25.98
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BKD NYSE · Brookdale Senior Living Inc
16.12
Reversal Risk Warning
165.13%
Entry 14 Mar 2025 6.08
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BKU NYSE · BankUnited Inc
50.57
Reversal Risk Warning
111.70%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 23.89
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BLTE NASDAQ · Belite Bio Inc ADR
187.86
Reversal Risk Warning
283.78%
Entry 31 May 2024 48.95
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BMY NYSE · Bristol-Myers Squibb Company
61.34
Reversal Risk Warning
36.53%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 44.93
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BOKF NASDAQ · BOK Financial Corporation
135.26
Reversal Risk Warning
68.36%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 80.34
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BRC NYSE · Brady Corporation
92.01
Reversal Risk Warning
72.89%
Entry 8 Sep 2023 53.22
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BSM NYSE · Black Stone Minerals LP
14.38
Reversal Risk Warning
14.75%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 12.53
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.80
20% entry drawdown
-23.73%
Entry 30 May 2025 2.36
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BTI NYSE · British American Tobacco p.l.c.
61.91
Reversal Risk Warning
97.81%
Entry 26 Jul 2024 31.30
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BWB NASDAQ · Bridgewater Bancshares Inc
19.97
Reversal Risk Warning
81.88%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 10.98
6 Feb 2026
Exit
CAH NYSE · Cardinal Health Inc
225.78
Reversal Risk Warning
134.10%
Entry 3 Nov 2023 96.44
6 Feb 2026
Exit
CB NYSE · Chubb Ltd
328.97
Reversal Risk Warning
60.76%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 204.64
6 Feb 2026
Exit
CBAN NYSE · Colony Bankcorp Inc.
20.82
Reversal Risk Warning
105.64%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 10.12
6 Feb 2026
Entry
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
33.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.50
6 Feb 2026
Exit
CCK NYSE · Crown Holdings Inc
112.11
Reversal Risk Warning
36.98%
Entry 10 May 2024 81.84
6 Feb 2026
Exit
CFBK NASDAQ · CF Bankshares Inc
33.21
Reversal Risk Warning
96.36%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 16.91
6 Feb 2026
Exit
CFG NYSE · Citizens Financial Group, Inc.
67.64
Reversal Risk Warning
161.04%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 25.91
6 Feb 2026
Entry
CLDT NYSE · Chatham Lodging Trust REIT
7.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.12
6 Feb 2026
Exit
CMC NYSE · Commercial Metals Company
82.72
Reversal Risk Warning
70.81%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 48.43
6 Feb 2026
Exit
CME NASDAQ · CME Group Inc
293.60
Reversal Risk Warning
62.06%
Entry 8 Sep 2023 181.16
6 Feb 2026
Entry
CNMD NYSE · CONMED Corporation
41.52
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
6 Feb 2026
Exit
COLB NASDAQ · Columbia Banking System Inc
31.27
Reversal Risk Warning
73.30%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 18.04
6 Feb 2026
Exit
CPA NYSE · Copa Holdings SA
150.41
Reversal Risk Warning
72.56%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 87.16
6 Feb 2026
Exit
CZNC NASDAQ · Citizens & Northern Corp
23.19
Reversal Risk Warning
30.92%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 17.71
6 Feb 2026
Exit
DCI NYSE · Donaldson Company Inc
108.33
Reversal Risk Warning
66.73%
Entry 2 Feb 2024 64.98
6 Feb 2026
Entry
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
19.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15