View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 91-120 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
ASIX NYSE · AdvanSix Inc
9 Jan 202618.20
20.79
14.25%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ASLE NASDAQ · AerSale Corp
15 Nov 20246.06
6.05
-0.17%
Buy
0.84
-
-
ASPS NASDAQ · Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA
27 Mar 20266.80
6.35
-6.62%
Buy
0.45
-
-
ASTH NASDAQ · Astrana Health Inc
20 Mar 202624.23
44.94
85.47%
Buy
0.21
-
-
ASUR NASDAQ · Asure Software Inc
5 Jan 20248.38
8.14
-2.86%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ATHM NYSE · Autohome Inc
19 Jun 202617.46
21.53
23.34%
Buy
0.21
-
-
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
9 May 202566.27
73.42
10.79%
Buy
0.10
-
-
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
18 Jul 202516.90
23.17
37.13%
Buy
0.28
-
-
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
13 Feb 20263.92
5.62
43.37%
Buy
0.89
-
-
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
10 Jul 2026125.53
132.61
5.64%
Buy
0.18
-
-
ATRA NASDAQ · Atara Biotherapeutics Inc
15 May 20269.58
8.39
-12.42%
Buy
0.58
-
-
ATRC NASDAQ · AtriCure Inc
12 Jul 202423.19
34.95
50.71%
Buy
0.45
-
-
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
30 May 202528.97
27.58
-4.80%
Buy
0.21
-
-
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
27 Feb 20265.89
6.99
18.68%
Buy
0.22
-
-
AUTL NASDAQ · Autolus Therapeutics Ltd
1 May 20261.47
1.44
-2.04%
Buy
0.03
-
-
AVB NYSE · AvalonBay Communities Inc
1 May 2026181.74
192.53
5.94%
Buy
0.11
-
-
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
20 Jun 202532.40
36.97
14.10%
Buy
0.09
-
-
AVNW NASDAQ · Aviat Networks Inc
3 Jan 202518.40
20.79
12.96%
Buy
0.07
-
-
AVTR NYSE · Avantor Inc
12 Jun 20269.39
11.07
17.89%
Buy
0.99
-
-
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
3 Oct 202513.40
19.37
44.55%
Buy
1.48
-
-
AVXL NASDAQ · Anavex Life Sciences Corp
3 Jul 20262.76
2.39
-13.41%
Buy
0.10
-
-
AVY NYSE · Avery Dennison Corp
8 Aug 2025167.03
160.41
-3.96%
Buy
0.38
-
-
AXIN NASDAQ · Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares
6 Mar 202610.15
10.28
1.28%
Buy
0.42
-
-
AXR NYSE · AMREP Corporation
20 Jun 202521.50
25.60
19.07%
Buy
0.18
-
-
AXTA NYSE · Axalta Coating Systems Ltd
5 Jun 202632.18
32.34
0.50%
Buy
0.00
-
-
AYTU NASDAQ · Aytu BioScience Inc
16 May 20252.13
2.15
0.94%
Buy
0.38
-
-
AZTA NASDAQ · Azenta Inc
12 Jun 202622.59
26.29
16.38%
Buy
0.14
-
-
BAER NASDAQ · Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
6 Jun 20251.87
1.94
4.02%
Buy
0.30
-
-
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
3 Jul 202610.93
9.29
-15.00%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BBNX NASDAQ · Beta Bionics, Inc. Common Stock
5 Jun 202613.89
17.29
24.48%
Buy
0.22
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4141-4170 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
22 Aug 2025
Entry
ATLN NASDAQ · Atlantic International Corp. Common Stock
4.71
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
22 Aug 2025
Exit
AZO NYSE · AutoZone Inc
4110.61
Reversal Risk Warning
52.11%
Entry 10 Nov 2023 2702.34
22 Aug 2025
Entry
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
9.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.91
22 Aug 2025
Entry
BETR NASDAQ · Better Home & Finance Holding Company
17.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.42
22 Aug 2025
Exit
BNKK NASDAQ · Bonk, Inc.
16.85
20% entry drawdown
-35.57%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 26.16
22 Aug 2025
Exit
CBRE NYSE · CBRE Group Inc Class A
164.41
Reversal Risk Warning
98.83%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 82.69
22 Aug 2025
Exit
CG NASDAQ · Carlyle Group Inc
63.40
Reversal Risk Warning
110.77%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 30.08
22 Aug 2025
Entry
CGAU NYSE · Centerra Gold Inc
7.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38
22 Aug 2025
Exit
CGTX NASDAQ · Cognition Therapeutics Inc
2.81
Reversal Risk Warning
395.24%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 0.57
22 Aug 2025
Exit
CHCO NASDAQ · City Holding Company
127.28
Reversal Risk Warning
43.97%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 88.41
22 Aug 2025
Entry
CIFR NASDAQ · Cipher Mining Inc
6.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.51
22 Aug 2025
Entry
CNTN NASDAQ · Canton Strategic Holdings, Inc.
4.72
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.84
22 Aug 2025
Exit
COCH NASDAQ · Envoy Medical Inc.
1.15
20% entry drawdown
-31.95%
Entry 9 May 2025 1.69
22 Aug 2025
Entry
CODI NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings
7.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
22 Aug 2025
Entry
CRVS NASDAQ · Corvus Pharmaceuticals Inc
5.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.05
22 Aug 2025
Entry
DBI NYSE · Designer Brands Inc
3.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.71
22 Aug 2025
Entry
DDD NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
2.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.55
22 Aug 2025
Exit
DORM NASDAQ · Dorman Products Inc
162.73
Reversal Risk Warning
102.73%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 80.27
22 Aug 2025
Entry
DWSN NASDAQ · Dawson Geophysical Company
1.53
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
22 Aug 2025
Entry
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
38.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
22 Aug 2025
Exit
FINS NYSE · Angel Oak Financial Strategies Income Term Trust
12.10
Reversal Risk Warning
28.94%
Entry 3 Nov 2023 9.39
22 Aug 2025
Exit
FRMEP NASDAQ · First Merchants Corporation Depository Shares
24.41
Reversal Risk Warning
22.04%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 20.00
22 Aug 2025
Exit
FRMM NASDAQ · Forum Markets, Incorporated
33.00
20% entry drawdown
-53.13%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 70.40
22 Aug 2025
Entry
FTHM NASDAQ · Fathom Holdings Inc
1.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.08
22 Aug 2025
Exit
FUTU NASDAQ · Futu Holdings Ltd
187.68
Reversal Risk Warning
259.85%
Entry 15 Mar 2024 52.16
22 Aug 2025
Entry
FVR NYSE · FrontView REIT, Inc.
13.19
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.73
22 Aug 2025
Exit
GECC NASDAQ · Great Elm Capital Corp
8.95
Reversal Risk Warning
80.49%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 4.96
22 Aug 2025
Entry
GFR NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
4.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.48
22 Aug 2025
Exit
GOGL NASDAQ · Golden Ocean Group Ltd
7.98
Ticker inactive / final available close
0.28%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 7.96
22 Aug 2025
Entry
GXAI NASDAQ · Gaxos.ai Inc
2.08
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17