Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67
Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719
Avg 3056.2/yr ·
254.7/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801
Stop 41.3% ·
Warning 58.4%
· Other 0.2%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88
MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG
NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48
MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO
NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13
MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS
NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44
MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI
NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42
MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR
NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM
NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31
MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR
NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19
MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB
NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46
MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA
NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12
MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73
MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA
NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11
MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V
NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81
MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX
NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15
MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO
NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW
NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD
NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17
MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX
NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55
MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN
NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX
NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM
NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76
MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK
NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH
NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN
NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74
MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP
NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI
NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93
MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB
NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91
MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
APWC
NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53
20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD
NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13
20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN
NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77
Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN
NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87
20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE
NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92
20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG
NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85
20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH
NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22
20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME
NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31
20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS
NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72
Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM
NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54
20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB
NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95
Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO
NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23
20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT
NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78
Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX
NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71
20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH
NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46
Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT
NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99
20% entry drawdown · -27.25%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
BMI
NYSE · Badger Meter Inc
26 Jun 2026140.88
144.18
2.34%
Buy
0.35
-
-
BNAI
NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
23 Jan 202616.48
14.11
-14.38%
Buy
0.41
-
-
BOC
NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
22 May 202612.53
14.09
12.45%
Buy
0.04
-
-
BOLD
NASDAQ · Boundless Bio, Inc. Common Stock
26 Jun 20262.56
2.41
-5.86%
Buy
0.95
-
-
BON
NASDAQ · Bon Natural Life Ltd
5 Jun 20261.25
1.22
-2.40%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BORR
NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
5 Sep 20253.04
4.33
42.43%
Buy
1.85
-
-
BOW
NYSE · Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.
1 May 202624.32
31.39
29.07%
Buy
0.29
-
-
BOX
NYSE · Box Inc
8 May 202625.72
28.64
11.35%
Buy
0.36
-
-
BPAC
NASDAQ · Bullpen Parlay Acquisition Co
12 Jun 202610.12
10.13
0.10%
Buy
0.59
-
-
BRAG
NASDAQ · Bragg Gaming Group Inc
27 Mar 20261.84
2.01
9.23%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BRCC
NYSE · BRC Inc.
24 Apr 20261.16
1.18
1.72%
Buy
0.62
-
-
BRKR
NASDAQ · Bruker Corporation
7 Nov 202539.83
60.06
50.79%
Buy
0.75
-
-
BRO
NYSE · Brown & Brown Inc
26 Jun 202664.22
67.66
5.36%
Buy
0.24
-
-
BRSL
NYSE · Brightstar Lottery PLC
18 Apr 202512.34
10.92
-11.48%
Buy
0.03
-
-
BSY
NASDAQ · Bentley Systems Inc
8 May 202632.69
31.67
-3.13%
Buy
0.01
-
-
BTBT
NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
22 May 20261.99
1.69
-15.08%
Buy
0.88
-
-
BTMD
NASDAQ · biote Corp
3 Jul 20262.17
2.33
7.37%
Buy
0.93
-
-
BUR
NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
10 Jul 20264.19
4.19
New
Entry week
Buy
0.14
-
-
BWIN
NASDAQ · The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.
3 Apr 202622.35
26.50
18.57%
Buy
0.40
-
-
BZ
NASDAQ · Kanzhun Ltd ADR
5 Jun 202614.03
13.76
-1.92%
Buy
0.15
-
-
BZFD
NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
15 May 20261.49
1.43
-4.03%
Buy
1.36
-
-
BZH
NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
23 May 202520.73
31.89
53.84%
Buy
0.20
-
-
BZUN
NASDAQ · Baozun Inc
1 Mar 20242.36
2.84
20.34%
Buy
0.08
-
-
CAL
NYSE · Caleres Inc
24 Apr 202613.48
11.81
-12.36%
Buy
0.10
-
-
CAPN
NASDAQ · Cayson Acquisition Corp Ordinary shares
17 Oct 202510.46
11.06
5.74%
Buy
0.74
-
-
CATO
NYSE · Cato Corporation
13 Jun 20253.01
3.47
15.28%
Buy
0.32
-
-
CAVA
NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
26 Dec 202560.15
72.18
20.00%
Buy
0.07
-
-
CBC
NASDAQ · Central Bancompany, Inc. Class A Common Stock
12 Jun 202628.79
31.11
8.06%
Buy
1.89
-
-
CBLL
NASDAQ · CeriBell, Inc
7 Nov 202511.98
19.56
63.27%
Buy
0.35
-
-
CBRL
NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
22 May 202632.39
50.42
55.67%
Buy
0.75
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
12 Dec 2025
Exit
GALT
NASDAQ · Galectin Therapeutics Inc
6.25
Reversal Risk Warning
293.08%
Entry 21 Mar 2025
1.59
12 Dec 2025
Exit
GM
NYSE · General Motors Company
80.52
Reversal Risk Warning
112.21%
Entry 2 Feb 2024
37.94
12 Dec 2025
Exit
HKD
NYSE · AMTD Digital Inc.
1.45
20% entry drawdown
-20.33%
Entry 12 Sep 2025
1.82
12 Dec 2025
Exit
HUHU
NASDAQ · HUHUTECH International Group Inc. Ordinary Shares
11.70
Reversal Risk Warning
122.86%
Entry 16 May 2025
5.25
12 Dec 2025
Entry
HUN
NYSE · Huntsman Corporation
10.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.67
12 Dec 2025
Exit
HURN
NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
179.51
Reversal Risk Warning
80.47%
Entry 4 Aug 2023
99.47
12 Dec 2025
Entry
IBRX
NASDAQ · Immunitybio Inc
2.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.09
12 Dec 2025
Entry
IMMR
NASDAQ · Immersion Corporation
6.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.13
12 Dec 2025
Exit
JFU
NASDAQ · 9F Inc
7.37
Reversal Risk Warning
302.73%
Entry 15 Aug 2025
1.83
12 Dec 2025
Entry
JHX
NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
20.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.05
12 Dec 2025
Entry
KIDS
NASDAQ · Orthopediatrics Corp
17.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.06
12 Dec 2025
Exit
LC
NYSE · LendingClub Corp
19.90
Reversal Risk Warning
139.76%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
8.30
12 Dec 2025
Exit
LNC
NYSE · Lincoln National Corporation
44.00
Reversal Risk Warning
81.56%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
24.23
12 Dec 2025
Entry
MKZR
NASDAQ · MacKenzie Realty Capital, Inc. Common Stock
4.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.30
12 Dec 2025
Entry
MRTN
NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
11.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.21
12 Dec 2025
Entry
MTVA
NASDAQ · MetaVia Inc.
9.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.01
12 Dec 2025
Exit
MVBF
NASDAQ · MVB Financial Corp
27.49
Reversal Risk Warning
50.00%
Entry 23 May 2025
18.33
12 Dec 2025
Exit
NBIX
NASDAQ · Neurocrine Biosciences Inc
152.80
Reversal Risk Warning
27.14%
Entry 23 May 2025
120.18
12 Dec 2025
Exit
NDLS
NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
5.84
20% entry drawdown
-25.37%
Entry 5 Dec 2025
7.83
12 Dec 2025
Exit
NMRA
NASDAQ · Neumora Therapeutics, Inc.
2.09
20% entry drawdown
-20.53%
Entry 24 Oct 2025
2.63
12 Dec 2025
Entry
NOG
NYSE · Northern Oil & Gas Inc
21.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.07
12 Dec 2025
Entry
NRDY
NYSE · Nerdy Inc
1.35
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.52
12 Dec 2025
Exit
NRIM
NASDAQ · Northrim BanCorp Inc
27.13
Reversal Risk Warning
139.19%
Entry 24 Nov 2023
11.34
12 Dec 2025
Exit
NRXP
NASDAQ · NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.07
20% entry drawdown
-21.59%
Entry 30 May 2025
2.64
12 Dec 2025
Exit
NUTX
NASDAQ · Nutex Health Inc
184.89
Reversal Risk Warning
461.80%
Entry 22 Nov 2024
32.91
12 Dec 2025
Exit
OCUL
NASDAQ · Ocular Therapeutix Inc
14.56
Reversal Risk Warning
270.48%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
3.93
12 Dec 2025
Exit
OESX
NASDAQ · Orion Energy Systems Inc
17.68
Reversal Risk Warning
143.53%
Entry 5 Sep 2025
7.26
12 Dec 2025
Exit
OLMA
NASDAQ · Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc
33.05
Reversal Risk Warning
247.53%
Entry 26 Sep 2025
9.51
12 Dec 2025
Exit
OMF
NYSE · OneMain Holdings Inc
66.25
Reversal Risk Warning
78.41%
Entry 8 Dec 2023
37.14
12 Dec 2025
Entry
PNBK
NASDAQ · Patriot National Bancorp Inc
1.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.39