Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 151-180 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
BMI NYSE · Badger Meter Inc
26 Jun 2026140.88
144.18
2.34%
Buy
0.35
-
-
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
23 Jan 202616.48
14.11
-14.38%
Buy
0.41
-
-
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
22 May 202612.53
14.09
12.45%
Buy
0.04
-
-
BOLD NASDAQ · Boundless Bio, Inc. Common Stock
26 Jun 20262.56
2.41
-5.86%
Buy
0.95
-
-
BON NASDAQ · Bon Natural Life Ltd
5 Jun 20261.25
1.22
-2.40%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
5 Sep 20253.04
4.33
42.43%
Buy
1.85
-
-
BOW NYSE · Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.
1 May 202624.32
31.39
29.07%
Buy
0.29
-
-
BOX NYSE · Box Inc
8 May 202625.72
28.64
11.35%
Buy
0.36
-
-
BPAC NASDAQ · Bullpen Parlay Acquisition Co
12 Jun 202610.12
10.13
0.10%
Buy
0.59
-
-
BRAG NASDAQ · Bragg Gaming Group Inc
27 Mar 20261.84
2.01
9.23%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BRCC NYSE · BRC Inc.
24 Apr 20261.16
1.18
1.72%
Buy
0.62
-
-
BRKR NASDAQ · Bruker Corporation
7 Nov 202539.83
60.06
50.79%
Buy
0.75
-
-
BRO NYSE · Brown & Brown Inc
26 Jun 202664.22
67.66
5.36%
Buy
0.24
-
-
BRSL NYSE · Brightstar Lottery PLC
18 Apr 202512.34
10.92
-11.48%
Buy
0.03
-
-
BSY NASDAQ · Bentley Systems Inc
8 May 202632.69
31.67
-3.13%
Buy
0.01
-
-
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
22 May 20261.99
1.69
-15.08%
Buy
0.88
-
-
BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp
3 Jul 20262.17
2.33
7.37%
Buy
0.93
-
-
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
10 Jul 20264.19
4.19
New Entry week
Buy
0.14
-
-
BWIN NASDAQ · The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.
3 Apr 202622.35
26.50
18.57%
Buy
0.40
-
-
BZ NASDAQ · Kanzhun Ltd ADR
5 Jun 202614.03
13.76
-1.92%
Buy
0.15
-
-
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
15 May 20261.49
1.43
-4.03%
Buy
1.36
-
-
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
23 May 202520.73
31.89
53.84%
Buy
0.20
-
-
BZUN NASDAQ · Baozun Inc
1 Mar 20242.36
2.84
20.34%
Buy
0.08
-
-
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
24 Apr 202613.48
11.81
-12.36%
Buy
0.10
-
-
CAPN NASDAQ · Cayson Acquisition Corp Ordinary shares
17 Oct 202510.46
11.06
5.74%
Buy
0.74
-
-
CATO NYSE · Cato Corporation
13 Jun 20253.01
3.47
15.28%
Buy
0.32
-
-
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
26 Dec 202560.15
72.18
20.00%
Buy
0.07
-
-
CBC NASDAQ · Central Bancompany, Inc. Class A Common Stock
12 Jun 202628.79
31.11
8.06%
Buy
1.89
-
-
CBLL NASDAQ · CeriBell, Inc
7 Nov 202511.98
19.56
63.27%
Buy
0.35
-
-
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
22 May 202632.39
50.42
55.67%
Buy
0.75
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 991-1020 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
29 May 2026
Entry
QTTB NASDAQ · Q32 Bio Inc
11.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
29 May 2026
Exit
QUIK NASDAQ · QuickLogic Corporation
20.73
Reversal Risk Warning
145.62%
Entry 16 Jan 2026 8.44
29 May 2026
Exit
RDW NYSE · Redwire Corp
24.57
Reversal Risk Warning
207.13%
Entry 19 Dec 2025 8.00
29 May 2026
Entry
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
29.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.72
29 May 2026
Exit
RIOT NASDAQ · Riot Platforms, Inc.
27.11
Reversal Risk Warning
175.23%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 9.85
29 May 2026
Entry
SAIL NASDAQ · SailPoint, Inc. Common Stock
18.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.41
29 May 2026
Entry
SIBN NASDAQ · Si-Bone Inc
14.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
29 May 2026
Exit
SPIR NYSE · Spire Global Inc
22.84
Reversal Risk Warning
222.14%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 7.09
29 May 2026
Entry
TACT NASDAQ · TransAct Technologies Incorporated
4.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.20
29 May 2026
Exit
TD NYSE · Toronto Dominion Bank
113.58
Reversal Risk Warning
84.06%
Entry 2 May 2025 61.71
29 May 2026
Exit
TE NYSE · T1 Energy Inc.
10.56
Reversal Risk Warning
156.31%
Entry 28 Nov 2025 4.12
29 May 2026
Exit
TFII NYSE · TFI International Inc
153.62
Reversal Risk Warning
78.46%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 86.08
29 May 2026
Entry
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
33.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.55
29 May 2026
Exit
USEA NASDAQ · United Maritime Corporation
2.50
Reversal Risk Warning
93.13%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 1.29
29 May 2026
Entry
VEEV NYSE · Veeva Systems Inc Class A
174.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.39
29 May 2026
Exit
VICR NASDAQ · Vicor Corporation
334.84
Reversal Risk Warning
270.23%
Entry 24 Oct 2025 90.44
29 May 2026
Exit
VLN NYSE · Valens
3.53
Reversal Risk Warning
50.85%
Entry 1 May 2026 2.34
29 May 2026
Exit
VSAT NASDAQ · ViaSat Inc
80.62
Reversal Risk Warning
214.68%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 25.62
29 May 2026
Entry
VYX NYSE · NCR Voyix Corporation
7.19
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
29 May 2026
Entry
WFF NASDAQ · WF Holding Limited Ordinary Shares
2.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.08
29 May 2026
Exit
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.31
20% entry drawdown
-23.68%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 1.71
29 May 2026
Exit
XMTR NASDAQ · Xometry Inc
95.29
Reversal Risk Warning
184.53%
Entry 23 May 2025 33.49
29 May 2026
Entry
XOS NASDAQ · Xos Inc
2.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38
29 May 2026
Entry
YDKG NASDAQ · Yueda Digital Holding
0.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.46
29 May 2026
Exit
YPF NYSE · YPF Sociedad Anonima
53.01
Reversal Risk Warning
209.28%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 17.14
29 May 2026
Entry
YXT NASDAQ · YXT.COM GROUP HOLDING LIMITED American Depository Shares
0.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
29 May 2026
Entry
ZBAO NASDAQ · Zhibao Technology Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares
0.90
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
22 May 2026
Entry
ADP NASDAQ · Automatic Data Processing Inc
223.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.48
22 May 2026
Entry
AGYS NASDAQ · Agilysys Inc
79.84
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
22 May 2026
Entry
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.41