View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

Market United States

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00

Index Value

483.76

Total Return

383.76%

CAGR

56.75% Annualized from first index week

Edge vs Market

+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR

Risk Adjusted

Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20

Current Holdings

1117

Transactions

10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk

Exit Mix

4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions

This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close

AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC

13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc

161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings

2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation

60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.

0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc

125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc

73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd

4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

GIB NYSE · CGI Inc

67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares

1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share

10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares

11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share

10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated

50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share

10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd

1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.

2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc

11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock

0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co

0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp

1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc

1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc

30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.

72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc

19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc

2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc

2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR

2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close

APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd

1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%

BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc

3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%

BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock

126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%

BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc

3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%

CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation

46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%

CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc

0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%

CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc

6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%

GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.

0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%

GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp

152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%

JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares

0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%

KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc

23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%

LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc

5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%

NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.

14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%

OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc

0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%

TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.

1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%

WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation

17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 151-180 of 1117 open

Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS

BMI NYSE · Badger Meter Inc

26 Jun 2026140.88

144.18

2.34%

Buy

0.35

BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc

23 Jan 202616.48

14.11

-14.38%

Buy

0.41

BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp

22 May 202612.53

14.09

12.45%

Buy

0.04

BOLD NASDAQ · Boundless Bio, Inc. Common Stock

26 Jun 20262.56

2.41

-5.86%

Buy

0.95

BON NASDAQ · Bon Natural Life Ltd

5 Jun 20261.25

1.22

-2.40%

Buy

0.02

BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd

5 Sep 20253.04

4.33

42.43%

Buy

1.85

BOW NYSE · Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.

1 May 202624.32

31.39

29.07%

Buy

0.29

BOX NYSE · Box Inc

8 May 202625.72

28.64

11.35%

Buy

0.36

BPAC NASDAQ · Bullpen Parlay Acquisition Co

12 Jun 202610.12

10.13

0.10%

Buy

0.59

BRAG NASDAQ · Bragg Gaming Group Inc

27 Mar 20261.84

2.01

9.23%

Buy

0.02

BRCC NYSE · BRC Inc.

24 Apr 20261.16

1.18

1.72%

Buy

0.62

BRKR NASDAQ · Bruker Corporation

7 Nov 202539.83

60.06

50.79%

Buy

0.75

BRO NYSE · Brown & Brown Inc

26 Jun 202664.22

67.66

5.36%

Buy

0.24

BRSL NYSE · Brightstar Lottery PLC

18 Apr 202512.34

10.92

-11.48%

Buy

0.03

BSY NASDAQ · Bentley Systems Inc

8 May 202632.69

31.67

-3.13%

Buy

0.01

BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc

22 May 20261.99

1.69

-15.08%

Buy

0.88

BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp

3 Jul 20262.17

2.33

7.37%

Buy

0.93

BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd

10 Jul 20264.19

4.19

New Entry week

Buy

0.14

BWIN NASDAQ · The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.

3 Apr 202622.35

26.50

18.57%

Buy

0.40

BZ NASDAQ · Kanzhun Ltd ADR

5 Jun 202614.03

13.76

-1.92%

Buy

0.15

BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc

15 May 20261.49

1.43

-4.03%

Buy

1.36

BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc

23 May 202520.73

31.89

53.84%

Buy

0.20

BZUN NASDAQ · Baozun Inc

1 Mar 20242.36

2.84

20.34%

Buy

0.08

CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc

24 Apr 202613.48

11.81

-12.36%

Buy

0.10

CAPN NASDAQ · Cayson Acquisition Corp Ordinary shares

17 Oct 202510.46

11.06

5.74%

Buy

0.74

CATO NYSE · Cato Corporation

13 Jun 20253.01

3.47

15.28%

Buy

0.32

CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.

26 Dec 202560.15

72.18

20.00%

Buy

0.07

CBC NASDAQ · Central Bancompany, Inc. Class A Common Stock

12 Jun 202628.79

31.11

8.06%

Buy

1.89

CBLL NASDAQ · CeriBell, Inc

7 Nov 202511.98

19.56

63.27%

Buy

0.35

CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store

22 May 202632.39

50.42

55.67%

Buy

0.75

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1861-1890 of 10719

Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers

10 Apr 2026

Entry

KOYN NASDAQ · CSLM Digital Asset Acquisition Corp III, Ltd

10.07

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.14

10 Apr 2026

Entry

KPRX NASDAQ · Kiora Pharmaceuticals Inc

2.47

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.44

10 Apr 2026

Exit

KRUS NASDAQ · Kura Sushi USA Inc

55.26

20% entry drawdown

-20.12%

Entry 9 Jan 2026 69.18

10 Apr 2026

Entry

LGN NASDAQ · Legence Corp. Class A Common stock

63.20

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.86

10 Apr 2026

Entry

LOT NASDAQ · Lotus Technology Inc.

1.49

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26

10 Apr 2026

Entry

LOVE NASDAQ · The Lovesac Company

15.35

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05

10 Apr 2026

Exit

MDU NYSE · MDU Resources Group Inc

22.19

Reversal Risk Warning

85.22%

Entry 22 Mar 2024 11.98

10 Apr 2026

Entry

MENS NASDAQ · Jyong Biotech Ltd. Ordinary Shares

2.49

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04

10 Apr 2026

Entry

MFIC NASDAQ · MidCap Financial Investment Corporation

11.35

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.42

10 Apr 2026

Entry

MMI NYSE · Marcus & Millichap Inc

26.20

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24

10 Apr 2026

Exit

NPKI NYSE · NPK International Inc.

15.03

Reversal Risk Warning

153.89%

Entry 25 Aug 2023 5.92

10 Apr 2026

Entry

NRXP NASDAQ · NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc

2.22

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03

10 Apr 2026

Exit

NWE NASDAQ · NorthWestern Corporation

69.95

Reversal Risk Warning

55.46%

Entry 24 Nov 2023 44.99

10 Apr 2026

Entry

ONEG NASDAQ · OneConstruction Group Limited Ordinary Shares

3.87

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.49

10 Apr 2026

Exit

PATH NYSE · Uipath Inc

9.38

20% entry drawdown

-29.53%

Entry 30 May 2025 13.31

10 Apr 2026

Exit

PBR NYSE · Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras SA ADR

21.22

Reversal Risk Warning

76.36%

Entry 15 Sep 2023 12.03

10 Apr 2026

Exit

PBYI NASDAQ · Puma Biotechnology Inc

7.78

Reversal Risk Warning

159.33%

Entry 22 Nov 2024 3.00

10 Apr 2026

Entry

PENG NASDAQ · Penguin Solutions, Inc.

23.02

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08

10 Apr 2026

Entry

PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc

2.74

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15

10 Apr 2026

Exit

PNW NYSE · Pinnacle West Capital Corp

102.67

Reversal Risk Warning

53.97%

Entry 22 Mar 2024 66.68

10 Apr 2026

Exit

PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.

2.37

20% entry drawdown

-24.52%

Entry 18 Jul 2025 3.14

10 Apr 2026

Exit

PROV NASDAQ · Provident Financial Holdings Inc

16.99

Reversal Risk Warning

47.79%

Entry 29 Dec 2023 11.50

10 Apr 2026

Exit

QTTB NASDAQ · Q32 Bio Inc

5.05

20% entry drawdown

-25.95%

Entry 13 Mar 2026 6.82

10 Apr 2026

Entry

RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd

5.01

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.58

10 Apr 2026

Exit

RDZN NASDAQ · Roadzen Inc.

1.05

20% entry drawdown

-20.45%

Entry 17 Oct 2025 1.32

10 Apr 2026

Exit

RILYG NASDAQ · B. Riley Financial Inc. 5.00% Senior Notes due 2026

23.39

Reversal Risk Warning

96.26%

Entry 27 Jun 2025 11.92

10 Apr 2026

Exit

RLMD NASDAQ · Relmada Therapeutics Inc

7.29

Reversal Risk Warning

341.82%

Entry 5 Sep 2025 1.65

10 Apr 2026

Exit

RNR NYSE · Renaissancere Holdings Ltd

302.61

Reversal Risk Warning

51.80%

Entry 22 Sep 2023 199.35

10 Apr 2026

Entry

SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock

0.82

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.50

10 Apr 2026

Exit

SBS NYSE · Companhia de Saneamento Basico do Estado de Sao Paulo SABESP ADR

6.82

Reversal Risk Warning

146.96%

Entry 22 Dec 2023 2.76