View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

Market United States

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00

Index Value

483.76

Total Return

383.76%

CAGR

56.75% Annualized from first index week

Edge vs Market

+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR

Risk Adjusted

Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20

Current Holdings

1117

Transactions

10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk

Exit Mix

4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions

This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close

AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC

13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc

161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings

2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation

60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.

0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc

125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc

73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd

4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

GIB NYSE · CGI Inc

67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares

1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share

10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares

11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share

10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated

50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share

10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd

1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.

2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc

11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock

0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co

0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp

1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc

1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc

30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.

72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc

19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc

2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc

2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR

2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close

APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd

1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%

BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc

3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%

BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock

126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%

BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc

3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%

CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation

46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%

CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc

0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%

CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc

6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%

GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.

0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%

GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp

152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%

JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares

0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%

KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc

23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%

LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc

5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%

NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.

14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%

OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc

0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%

TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.

1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%

WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation

17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 181-210 of 1117 open

Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS

CBT NYSE · Cabot Corporation

9 Jan 202672.01

87.32

21.26%

Buy

0.01

CBZ NYSE · CBIZ Inc

29 May 202633.20

37.79

13.83%

Buy

0.50

CC NYSE · Chemours Co

27 Jun 202511.47

17.81

55.32%

Buy

0.27

CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc

8 May 202613.18

13.22

0.30%

Buy

1.13

CCXI NASDAQ · Churchill Capital Corp XI

26 Jun 202613.86

15.55

12.19%

Buy

0.47

CDW NASDAQ · CDW Corp

22 May 2026110.82

144.39

30.29%

Buy

0.13

CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc

13 Mar 20261.61

2.43

50.93%

Buy

0.08

CELH NASDAQ · Celsius Holdings Inc

21 Mar 202532.93

30.60

-7.08%

Buy

1.29

CERT NASDAQ · Certara Inc

19 Jun 20265.54

6.77

22.20%

Buy

0.37

CGBD NASDAQ · Carlyle Secured Lending Inc

1 May 202611.58

10.53

-9.03%

Buy

0.15

CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC

31 Oct 20258.66

18.13

109.35%

Buy

1.01

CHA NASDAQ · Chagee Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares

13 Mar 202611.16

11.00

-1.43%

Buy

0.35

CHAR NASDAQ · Charlton Aria Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares

7 Nov 202510.39

10.81

4.04%

Buy

0.06

CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc

14 Nov 202513.98

18.01

28.81%

Buy

0.26

CHDN NASDAQ · Churchill Downs Incorporated

1 May 202698.65

85.52

-13.31%

Buy

0.04

CHEC NASDAQ · Chenghe Acquisition III Co. Class A Ordinary Share

5 Jun 202610.15

10.17

0.20%

Buy

1.09

CHH NYSE · Choice Hotels International Inc

2 Jan 202695.83

109.72

14.49%

Buy

0.06

CHKP NASDAQ · Check Point Software Technologies Ltd

26 Jun 2026130.05

131.70

1.27%

Buy

0.05

CHRD NASDAQ · Chord Energy Corp

20 Jun 202599.38

117.39

18.12%

Buy

0.44

CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation

5 Sep 20254.04

20.90

417.33%

Buy

0.75

CHRS NASDAQ · Coherus BioSciences Inc

18 Jul 20250.88

1.54

74.84%

Buy

0.18

CI NYSE · Cigna Corp

7 Nov 2025260.20

293.46

12.78%

Buy

0.02

CIGI NASDAQ · Colliers International Group Inc Bats

3 Jul 202698.51

97.64

-0.88%

Buy

0.06

CLAR NASDAQ · Clarus Corp

19 Jun 20263.13

3.36

7.35%

Buy

0.66

CLB NYSE · Core Laboratories NV

5 Sep 202512.60

11.10

-11.88%

Buy

0.52

CLDX NASDAQ · Celldex Therapeutics Inc

16 May 202520.45

39.11

91.25%

Buy

0.37

CLF NYSE · Cleveland-Cliffs Inc

4 Jul 20258.82

9.40

6.58%

Buy

0.38

CLNN NASDAQ · Clene Inc.

13 Jun 20254.10

6.27

52.93%

Buy

0.17

CLPR NYSE · Clipper Realty Inc

1 May 20263.24

2.87

-11.40%

Buy

0.05

CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc

3 Jul 20266.48

8.39

29.48%

Buy

0.65

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3061-3090 of 10719

Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers

2 Jan 2026

Exit

DX NYSE · Dynex Capital Inc

13.22

Reversal Risk Warning

49.23%

Entry 15 Dec 2023 8.86

2 Jan 2026

Exit

EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc

2.05

20% entry drawdown

-20.23%

Entry 4 Jul 2025 2.57

2 Jan 2026

Exit

ESHA NASDAQ · ESH Acquisition Corp. Class A Common Stock

15.25

Reversal Risk Warning

35.68%

Entry 10 Jan 2025 11.24

2 Jan 2026

Exit

FDMT NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc

7.32

20% entry drawdown

-25.61%

Entry 17 Oct 2025 9.84

2 Jan 2026

Entry

INBK NASDAQ · First Internet Bancorp

20.37

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23

2 Jan 2026

Exit

IRS NYSE · IRSA Inversiones Y Representaciones

16.62

Reversal Risk Warning

142.66%

Entry 8 Dec 2023 6.85

2 Jan 2026

Exit

MSB NYSE · Mesabi Trust

38.93

Reversal Risk Warning

147.82%

Entry 13 Sep 2024 15.71

2 Jan 2026

Entry

NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company

5.93

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.69

2 Jan 2026

Exit

NRDY NYSE · Nerdy Inc

1.02

20% entry drawdown

-24.44%

Entry 12 Dec 2025 1.35

2 Jan 2026

Entry

OMSE NASDAQ · OMS Energy Technologies Inc.

4.49

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10

2 Jan 2026

Entry

OPTX NASDAQ · Syntec Optics Holdings Inc.

3.13

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04

2 Jan 2026

Exit

ORIO NASDAQ · Orion Digital Corp.

1.01

20% entry drawdown

-21.09%

Entry 16 May 2025 1.28

2 Jan 2026

Exit

OXLCO NASDAQ · Oxford Lane Capital Corp Corp Pref 9

22.83

Reversal Risk Warning

23.53%

Entry 22 Dec 2023 18.48

2 Jan 2026

Entry

POWI NASDAQ · Power Integrations Inc

37.04

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13

2 Jan 2026

Entry

PSEC NASDAQ · Prospect Capital Corporation

2.41

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.62

2 Jan 2026

Entry

PSIG NASDAQ · PS International Group Ltd. Ordinary Shares

4.64

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.79

2 Jan 2026

Exit

REKR NASDAQ · Rekor Systems Inc

1.42

20% entry drawdown

-20.67%

Entry 19 Sep 2025 1.79

2 Jan 2026

Entry

SIDU NASDAQ · Sidus Space Inc

4.33

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.29

2 Jan 2026

Entry

SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc

480.42

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02

2 Jan 2026

Entry

SON NYSE · Sonoco Products Company

43.50

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19

2 Jan 2026

Exit

TMO NYSE · Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc

591.32

Reversal Risk Warning

43.10%

Entry 18 Jul 2025 413.24

2 Jan 2026

Entry

UA NYSE · Under Armour Inc C

5.07

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.43

2 Jan 2026

Entry

UAA NYSE · Under Armour Inc A

5.29

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.54

2 Jan 2026

Entry

UXIN NASDAQ · Uxin Ltd

3.62

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.46

2 Jan 2026

Exit

WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares

2.25

20% entry drawdown

-26.12%

Entry 19 Dec 2025 3.04

26 Dec 2025

Entry

AAOI NASDAQ · Applied Opt

37.17

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09

26 Dec 2025

Exit

ALGS NASDAQ · Aligos Therapeutics Inc

10.11

20% entry drawdown

-23.96%

Entry 12 Dec 2025 13.30

26 Dec 2025

Entry

AOUT NASDAQ · American Outdoor Brands Inc

8.28

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.41

26 Dec 2025

Exit

ASPC NASDAQ · A SPAC III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares

24.01

Reversal Risk Warning

73.86%

Entry 19 Dec 2025 13.81

26 Dec 2025

Exit

BAC NYSE · Bank of America Corp

55.16

Reversal Risk Warning

99.78%

Entry 24 Nov 2023 27.61