Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
484.55
Total Return
384.55%
CAGR
56.82% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.37%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.68 Sortino 5.21
Current Holdings
1108
Transactions
10720 Avg 3056.5/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4806 Stop 41.2% · Warning 58.2% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
29
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
93.27 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.15 MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BBOT NASDAQ · BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics, Inc.
8.32 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
7.25 MD 0.71 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Q NYSE · Qnity Electronics, Inc
143.80 MD 0.79 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
37
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BCDA NASDAQ · Biocardia Inc
0.91 20% entry drawdown · -23.77%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BLZE NASDAQ · Backblaze Inc
17.60 Reversal Risk Warning · 135.29%
BMAC NYSE · Black Mountain Acquisition Corp
10.60 Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.00%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CLYM NASDAQ · Climb Bio Inc
14.00 Reversal Risk Warning · 227.10%
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
4.66 Ticker inactive / final available close · 47.47%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
DENN NASDAQ · Dennys Corp
6.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 51.33%
DWSN NASDAQ · Dawson Geophysical Company
7.57 Reversal Risk Warning · 394.77%
EWTX NASDAQ · Edgewise Therapeutics Inc
45.41 Reversal Risk Warning · 315.08%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
10.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 107.49%
IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
50.06 Reversal Risk Warning · 118.07%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
MBX NASDAQ · MBX Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock
61.05 Reversal Risk Warning · 408.75%
MPLT NASDAQ · MapLight Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
39.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.43%
ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp
28.00 Ticker inactive / final available close · 57.57%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
9.40 Ticker inactive / final available close · 41.10%
PTRN NASDAQ · Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock
28.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 81.85%
RCM NASDAQ · R1 RCM Inc
14.31 Ticker inactive / final available close · 28.92%
RLAY NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc
20.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 566.83%
ROSS NYSE · Ross Acquisition II Corp
11.08 Ticker inactive / final available close · 3.84%
SBFG NASDAQ · SB Financial Group Inc
26.27 Reversal Risk Warning · 94.76%
SLRN NASDAQ · ACELYRIN, INC. Common Stock
2.27 Ticker inactive / final available close · -11.67%
THRD NASDAQ · Third Harmonic Bio Inc.
5.38 Ticker inactive / final available close · 4.06%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
9.44 Reversal Risk Warning · 84.02%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%
WKC NYSE · World Kinect Corporation
35.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 71.05%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 181-210 of 1108 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
8 May 202613.18
13.22
0.30%
Buy
1.13
-
-
CCXI NASDAQ · Churchill Capital Corp XI
26 Jun 202613.86
15.55
12.19%
Buy
0.47
-
-
CDW NASDAQ · CDW Corp
22 May 2026110.82
144.39
30.29%
Buy
0.13
-
-
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
13 Mar 20261.61
2.43
50.93%
Buy
0.08
-
-
CELH NASDAQ · Celsius Holdings Inc
21 Mar 202532.93
30.60
-7.08%
Buy
1.29
-
-
CERT NASDAQ · Certara Inc
19 Jun 20265.54
6.77
22.20%
Buy
0.37
-
-
CGBD NASDAQ · Carlyle Secured Lending Inc
1 May 202611.58
10.53
-9.03%
Buy
0.15
-
-
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
31 Oct 20258.66
18.13
109.35%
Buy
1.01
-
-
CHA NASDAQ · Chagee Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
13 Mar 202611.16
11.00
-1.43%
Buy
0.35
-
-
CHAR NASDAQ · Charlton Aria Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares
7 Nov 202510.39
10.81
4.04%
Buy
0.06
-
-
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
14 Nov 202513.98
18.01
28.81%
Buy
0.26
-
-
CHDN NASDAQ · Churchill Downs Incorporated
1 May 202698.65
85.52
-13.31%
Buy
0.04
-
-
CHEC NASDAQ · Chenghe Acquisition III Co. Class A Ordinary Share
5 Jun 202610.15
10.17
0.20%
Buy
1.09
-
-
CHH NYSE · Choice Hotels International Inc
2 Jan 202695.83
109.72
14.49%
Buy
0.06
-
-
CHKP NASDAQ · Check Point Software Technologies Ltd
26 Jun 2026130.05
131.70
1.27%
Buy
0.05
-
-
CHRD NASDAQ · Chord Energy Corp
20 Jun 202599.38
117.39
18.12%
Buy
0.44
-
-
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
5 Sep 20254.04
20.90
417.33%
Buy
0.75
-
-
CHRS NASDAQ · Coherus BioSciences Inc
18 Jul 20250.88
1.54
74.84%
Buy
0.18
-
-
CI NYSE · Cigna Corp
7 Nov 2025260.20
293.46
12.78%
Buy
0.02
-
-
CIGI NASDAQ · Colliers International Group Inc Bats
3 Jul 202698.51
97.64
-0.88%
Buy
0.06
-
-
CLAR NASDAQ · Clarus Corp
19 Jun 20263.13
3.36
7.35%
Buy
0.66
-
-
CLB NYSE · Core Laboratories NV
5 Sep 202512.60
11.10
-11.88%
Buy
0.52
-
-
CLDX NASDAQ · Celldex Therapeutics Inc
16 May 202520.45
39.11
91.25%
Buy
0.37
-
-
CLF NYSE · Cleveland-Cliffs Inc
4 Jul 20258.82
9.40
6.58%
Buy
0.38
-
-
CLNN NASDAQ · Clene Inc.
13 Jun 20254.10
6.27
52.93%
Buy
0.17
-
-
CLPR NYSE · Clipper Realty Inc
1 May 20263.24
2.87
-11.40%
Buy
0.05
-
-
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
3 Jul 20266.48
8.39
29.48%
Buy
0.65
-
-
CLW NYSE · Clearwater Paper Corporation
29 May 202616.30
15.80
-3.07%
Buy
0.10
-
-
CMCSA NASDAQ · Comcast Corp
2 Jan 202625.57
23.57
-7.84%
Buy
0.04
-
-
CMG NYSE · Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
26 Jun 202633.34
35.25
5.73%
Buy
0.32
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3271-3300 of 10720
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
5 Dec 2025
Exit
DDS NYSE · Dillard's, Inc.
668.08
Reversal Risk Warning
87.33%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 356.63
5 Dec 2025
Exit
DIBS NASDAQ · 1Stdibs.Com Inc
6.08
Reversal Risk Warning
113.33%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 2.85
5 Dec 2025
Entry
FLOC NYSE · Flowco Holdings Inc.
17.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.65
5 Dec 2025
Entry
KLIC NASDAQ · Kulicke and Soffa Industries Inc
48.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.84
5 Dec 2025
Exit
KVAC NASDAQ · Keen Vision Acquisition Corporation Ordinary Shares
11.91
Reversal Risk Warning
7.69%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 11.06
5 Dec 2025
Entry
LCUT NASDAQ · Lifetime Brands Inc
4.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
5 Dec 2025
Entry
LNTH NASDAQ · Lantheus Holdings Inc
63.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.64
5 Dec 2025
Entry
LUNR NASDAQ · Intuitive Machines Inc.
11.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
5 Dec 2025
Entry
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
7.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.68
5 Dec 2025
Entry
PACB NASDAQ · Pacific Biosciences of California
2.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.33
5 Dec 2025
Entry
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
1.22
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.00
5 Dec 2025
Exit
QNCX NASDAQ · Quince Therapeutics, Inc.
802.00
Reversal Risk Warning
445.58%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 147.00
5 Dec 2025
Exit
SF NYSE · Stifel Financial Corporation
83.38
Reversal Risk Warning
91.00%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 43.65
5 Dec 2025
Exit
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
8.39
20% entry drawdown
-25.62%
Entry 21 Nov 2025 11.28
5 Dec 2025
Entry
STTK NASDAQ · Shattuck Labs Inc
3.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.51
5 Dec 2025
Exit
TKLF NASDAQ · Yoshitsu Co Ltd ADR
2.39
20% entry drawdown
-26.53%
Entry 12 Jul 2024 3.25
5 Dec 2025
Entry
UONEK NASDAQ · Urban One Inc Class D
8.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
5 Dec 2025
Entry
VPG NYSE · Vishay Precision Group Inc
39.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.30
5 Dec 2025
Exit
VS NASDAQ · Versus Systems Inc
1.31
20% entry drawdown
-23.84%
Entry 6 Dec 2024 1.72
5 Dec 2025
Exit
WETH NASDAQ · Wetouch Technology Inc. Common Stock
1.82
20% entry drawdown
-26.91%
Entry 31 Oct 2025 2.49
5 Dec 2025
Exit
WHLRD NASDAQ · Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc.
42.00
Reversal Risk Warning
202.27%
Entry 27 Oct 2023 13.90
5 Dec 2025
Entry
WHWK NASDAQ · Whitehawk Therapeutics, Inc.
2.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.25
5 Dec 2025
Exit
ZUMZ NASDAQ · Zumiez Inc
30.62
Reversal Risk Warning
97.68%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 15.49
28 Nov 2025
Exit
ALAR NASDAQ · Alarum Technologies Ltd.
9.16
20% entry drawdown
-28.72%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 12.85
28 Nov 2025
Entry
ALGN NASDAQ · Align Technology Inc
147.19
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.56
28 Nov 2025
Entry
ARVN NASDAQ · Arvinas Inc
12.59
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.44
28 Nov 2025
Exit
ATEC NASDAQ · Alphatec Holdings Inc
22.55
Reversal Risk Warning
139.89%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 9.40
28 Nov 2025
Exit
AVA NYSE · Avista Corporation
40.40
Reversal Risk Warning
30.46%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 30.97
28 Nov 2025
Entry
BIOA NASDAQ · BioAge Labs, Inc
9.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.96
28 Nov 2025
Exit
BKH NYSE · Black Hills Corporation
72.39
Reversal Risk Warning
50.86%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 47.99