Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 181-210 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
CGBD NASDAQ · Carlyle Secured Lending Inc
1 May 202611.58
10.45
-9.72%
Buy
0.15
-
-
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
31 Oct 20258.66
17.69
104.27%
Buy
1.01
-
-
CHA NASDAQ · Chagee Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
13 Mar 202611.16
11.30
1.25%
Buy
0.35
-
-
CHAR NASDAQ · Charlton Aria Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares
7 Nov 202510.39
10.84
4.33%
Buy
0.06
-
-
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
14 Nov 202513.98
18.81
34.54%
Buy
0.26
-
-
CHDN NASDAQ · Churchill Downs Incorporated
1 May 202698.65
83.95
-14.90%
Buy
0.04
-
-
CHEC NASDAQ · Chenghe Acquisition III Co. Class A Ordinary Share
5 Jun 202610.15
10.20
0.49%
Buy
1.09
-
-
CHH NYSE · Choice Hotels International Inc
2 Jan 202695.83
111.84
16.70%
Buy
0.06
-
-
CHKP NASDAQ · Check Point Software Technologies Ltd
26 Jun 2026130.05
137.10
5.42%
Buy
0.05
-
-
CHRD NASDAQ · Chord Energy Corp
20 Jun 202599.38
128.10
28.90%
Buy
0.44
-
-
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
5 Sep 20254.04
26.43
554.21%
Buy
0.75
-
-
CHRS NASDAQ · Coherus BioSciences Inc
18 Jul 20250.88
1.40
58.95%
Buy
0.18
-
-
CI NYSE · Cigna Corp
7 Nov 2025260.20
281.45
8.17%
Buy
0.02
-
-
CIGI NASDAQ · Colliers International Group Inc Bats
3 Jul 202698.51
101.92
3.46%
Buy
0.06
-
-
CLAR NASDAQ · Clarus Corp
19 Jun 20263.13
3.43
9.58%
Buy
0.66
-
-
CLB NYSE · Core Laboratories NV
5 Sep 202512.60
11.34
-9.97%
Buy
0.52
-
-
CLDX NASDAQ · Celldex Therapeutics Inc
16 May 202520.45
35.35
72.86%
Buy
0.37
-
-
CLF NYSE · Cleveland-Cliffs Inc
4 Jul 20258.82
9.28
5.22%
Buy
0.38
-
-
CLNN NASDAQ · Clene Inc.
13 Jun 20254.10
5.92
44.39%
Buy
0.17
-
-
CLPR NYSE · Clipper Realty Inc
1 May 20263.24
2.89
-10.78%
Buy
0.05
-
-
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
3 Jul 20266.48
7.30
12.65%
Buy
0.65
-
-
CLW NYSE · Clearwater Paper Corporation
29 May 202616.30
15.98
-1.96%
Buy
0.10
-
-
CMCSA NASDAQ · Comcast Corp
2 Jan 202625.57
23.79
-6.97%
Buy
0.04
-
-
CMG NYSE · Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
26 Jun 202633.34
34.44
3.30%
Buy
0.32
-
-
CMP NYSE · Compass Minerals International Inc
20 Sep 202411.34
29.46
159.79%
Buy
0.54
-
-
CNC NYSE · Centene Corp
3 Oct 202538.70
66.44
71.68%
Buy
0.11
-
-
CNH NYSE · CNH Industrial N.V.
16 Jan 202610.81
10.64
-1.60%
Buy
0.04
-
-
CNMD NYSE · CONMED Corporation
26 Jun 202635.95
43.20
20.17%
Buy
0.19
-
-
CNNE NYSE · Cannae Holdings Inc
1 May 202613.53
14.95
10.53%
Buy
0.15
-
-
CNR NYSE · Core Natural Resources, Inc.
11 Jul 202575.23
83.02
10.35%
Buy
0.56
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3451-3480 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
14 Nov 2025
Exit
AEHR NASDAQ · Aehr Test Systems
20.34
20% entry drawdown
-20.42%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 25.56
14 Nov 2025
Exit
AHR NYSE · American Healthcare REIT, Inc.
47.81
Reversal Risk Warning
74.16%
Entry 22 Nov 2024 27.45
14 Nov 2025
Entry
ALDF NASDAQ · Aldel Financial II Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
14 Nov 2025
Exit
ALGS NASDAQ · Aligos Therapeutics Inc
6.66
20% entry drawdown
-20.33%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 8.36
14 Nov 2025
Exit
ALTG NYSE · Alta Equipment Group Inc
4.63
20% entry drawdown
-22.18%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 5.95
14 Nov 2025
Exit
ARGX NASDAQ · argenx NV ADR
907.98
Reversal Risk Warning
94.67%
Entry 12 Jul 2024 466.42
14 Nov 2025
Exit
ASMB NASDAQ · Assembly Biosciences Inc
36.71
Reversal Risk Warning
159.43%
Entry 30 May 2025 14.15
14 Nov 2025
Exit
ASTH NASDAQ · Astrana Health Inc
21.53
20% entry drawdown
-26.59%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 29.33
14 Nov 2025
Exit
ASYS NASDAQ · Amtech Systems Inc
7.28
20% entry drawdown
-21.21%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 9.24
14 Nov 2025
Entry
AVBP NASDAQ · ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock
20.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.28
14 Nov 2025
Exit
BBGI NASDAQ · Beasley Broadcast Group Inc
4.00
20% entry drawdown
-24.95%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 5.33
14 Nov 2025
Exit
BGDE NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.
11.00
20% entry drawdown
-28.75%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 15.44
14 Nov 2025
Exit
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
5.05
20% entry drawdown
-27.23%
Entry 16 May 2025 6.94
14 Nov 2025
Exit
BLNE NASDAQ · Beeline Holdings, Inc.
1.74
20% entry drawdown
-25.96%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 2.35
14 Nov 2025
Exit
CELU NASDAQ · Celularity Inc
1.55
20% entry drawdown
-24.02%
Entry 16 May 2025 2.04
14 Nov 2025
Entry
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
13.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26
14 Nov 2025
Entry
COLA NASDAQ · Columbus Acquisition Corp Ordinary Shares
10.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.48
14 Nov 2025
Entry
CRT NYSE · Cross Timbers Royalty Trust
8.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
14 Nov 2025
Entry
CWAN NYSE · Clearwater Analytics Holdings Inc
19.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
14 Nov 2025
Entry
CYCU NASDAQ · Cycurion, Inc.
6.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
14 Nov 2025
Exit
CYPH NASDAQ · Cypherpunk Technologies Inc.
0.46
Price scale break
-14.10%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 0.53
14 Nov 2025
Entry
EMN NYSE · Eastman Chemical Company
58.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
14 Nov 2025
Exit
FERG NYSE · Ferguson Plc
239.96
Reversal Risk Warning
55.42%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 154.39
14 Nov 2025
Exit
FTHM NASDAQ · Fathom Holdings Inc
1.02
20% entry drawdown
-32.00%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 1.50
14 Nov 2025
Exit
GPOR NYSE · Gulfport Energy Operating Corp
210.41
Reversal Risk Warning
84.59%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 113.99
14 Nov 2025
Exit
GREE NASDAQ · Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc
1.31
20% entry drawdown
-22.49%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 1.69
14 Nov 2025
Exit
HGTY NYSE · Hagerty Inc
13.69
Reversal Risk Warning
58.27%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 8.65
14 Nov 2025
Exit
IDXX NASDAQ · IDEXX Laboratories Inc
689.93
Reversal Risk Warning
46.20%
Entry 2 May 2025 471.90
14 Nov 2025
Entry
IFF NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
64.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.34
14 Nov 2025
Exit
IMDX NASDAQ · Insight Molecular Diagnostics Inc.
7.40
Reversal Risk Warning
164.29%
Entry 28 Feb 2025 2.80