View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

Market United States

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00

Index Value

479.75

Total Return

379.75%

CAGR

56.00% Annualized from first index week

Edge vs Market

+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR

Risk Adjusted

Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16

Current Holdings

1081

Transactions

10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk

Exit Mix

4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions

This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close

ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated

237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc

30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc

32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock

71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc

2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc

49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc

62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc

41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc

10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc

78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC

4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc

9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ONT NYSE · Onterris

20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp

6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation

164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd

5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc

9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc

14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close

ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc

2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%

AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.

34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%

AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC

11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%

ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The

1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%

ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc

6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%

AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc

1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%

BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global

1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%

BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc

11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%

BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc

1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%

EIX NYSE · Edison International

77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%

EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc

1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%

EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR

1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%

GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock

1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%

GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares

1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%

HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc

51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%

INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.

3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%

JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares

9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%

LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation

3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%

LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.

7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%

MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated

4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%

OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.

2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%

OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc

2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%

PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc

62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%

PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc

2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%

PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc

0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%

PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares

0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%

QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc

12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%

RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.

10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%

RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc

2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%

SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc

384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%

SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited

1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%

VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc

2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%

WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc

142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%

WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock

14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%

ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.

5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 241-270 of 1081 open

Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS

CTKB NASDAQ · Cytek Biosciences Inc

27 Jun 20253.55

4.62

30.14%

Buy

0.28

CTNM NASDAQ · Contineum Therapeutics, Inc. Class A Common Stock

15 Aug 20257.38

14.23

92.82%

Buy

1.36

CTRM NASDAQ · Castor Maritime Inc

3 Oct 20252.14

1.98

-7.48%

Buy

0.06

CUB NASDAQ · Lionheart Holdings

23 May 202510.41

10.79

3.65%

Buy

3.47

CUE NASDAQ · Cue Biopharma

17 Apr 202618.19

31.16

71.34%

Buy

0.68

CULP NASDAQ · Culp, Inc. Common Stock

8 May 20263.61

3.70

2.49%

Buy

0.29

CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares

12 Jun 20263.97

3.97

0.00%

Buy

1.10

CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc

17 Jul 20262.33

2.33

New Entry week

Buy

0.16

CVGI NASDAQ · Commercial Vehicle Group Inc

13 Mar 20262.90

4.53

56.21%

Buy

0.95

CVLT NASDAQ · CommVault Systems Inc

24 Apr 202693.92

147.81

57.38%

Buy

0.14

CWAN NYSE · Clearwater Analytics Holdings Inc

14 Nov 202519.25

24.56

27.58%

Buy

0.08

CXM NYSE · Sprinklr Inc

29 May 20265.58

5.83

4.48%

Buy

0.08

CXT NYSE · Crane NXT Co

19 Jun 202646.93

51.27

9.25%

Buy

0.26

CYRX NASDAQ · Cryoport Inc

6 Jun 20257.00

16.51

135.86%

Buy

0.78

CYTK NASDAQ · Cytokinetics Inc

15 Aug 202538.67

80.18

107.34%

Buy

0.65

CZR NASDAQ · Caesars Entertainment Corporation

20 Feb 202621.23

29.86

40.65%

Buy

0.04

DAAQ NASDAQ · Digital Asset Acquisition Corp.

20 Feb 202610.24

10.40

1.51%

Buy

0.27

DAIO NASDAQ · Data I/O Corporation

6 Jun 20252.76

3.35

21.38%

Buy

0.10

DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc

9 Jan 202639.08

63.10

61.46%

Buy

0.76

DBI NYSE · Designer Brands Inc

22 Aug 20253.46

5.72

65.10%

Buy

0.71

DBRG NYSE · Digitalbridge Group Inc

23 May 202511.15

15.80

41.77%

Buy

0.48

DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc

8 May 202628.90

30.62

5.95%

Buy

0.16

DCBO NASDAQ · Docebo Inc

1 May 202620.67

20.38

-1.40%

Buy

0.33

DCH NYSE · Dauch Corporation

23 May 20254.28

5.44

27.10%

Buy

0.05

DDD NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation

22 Aug 20252.10

2.69

28.10%

Buy

0.55

DEA NYSE · Eerly Govt Ppty Inc

27 Jun 202520.55

25.56

24.37%

Buy

0.02

DECK NYSE · Deckers Outdoor Corporation

17 Oct 202599.82

106.49

6.68%

Buy

0.27

DEI NYSE · Douglas Emmett Inc

24 Apr 202610.70

12.51

16.92%

Buy

0.39

DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc

26 Jun 202617.20

15.84

-7.91%

Buy

0.78

DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc

17 Jul 202649.95

49.95

New Entry week

Buy

0.06

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4171-4200 of 10781

Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers

22 Aug 2025

Exit

HMC NYSE · Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR

33.88

Reversal Risk Warning

25.68%

Entry 17 Jan 2025 26.96

22 Aug 2025

Exit

HYFT NASDAQ · ImmunoPrecise Antibodies Ltd.

3.20

Reversal Risk Warning

356.17%

Entry 13 Jun 2025 0.70

22 Aug 2025

Entry

LASE NASDAQ · Laser Photonics Corporation Common Stock

5.07

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.65

22 Aug 2025

Entry

LSTR NASDAQ · Landstar System Inc

132.88

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06

22 Aug 2025

Exit

LWAY NASDAQ · Lifeway Foods Inc

31.73

Reversal Risk Warning

187.93%

Entry 25 Aug 2023 11.02

22 Aug 2025

Exit

MBI NYSE · MBIA Inc

7.68

Reversal Risk Warning

129.19%

Entry 1 Dec 2023 3.35

22 Aug 2025

Exit

MBOT NASDAQ · Microbot Medical Inc

3.85

Reversal Risk Warning

277.45%

Entry 8 Nov 2024 1.02

22 Aug 2025

Exit

MFIN NASDAQ · Medallion Financial Corp

10.27

Reversal Risk Warning

23.18%

Entry 24 Nov 2023 8.34

22 Aug 2025

Entry

NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc

2.44

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.33

22 Aug 2025

Entry

NESR NASDAQ · National Energy Services Reunited Corp Ordinary Shares

8.65

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.01

22 Aug 2025

Entry

NRGV NYSE · Energy Vault Holdings Inc

1.64

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.33

22 Aug 2025

Entry

OKUR NASDAQ · OnKure Therapeutics, Inc.

2.83

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.52

22 Aug 2025

Entry

OLN NYSE · Olin Corporation

22.41

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.14

22 Aug 2025

Entry

OXM NYSE · Oxford Industries Inc

44.69

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07

22 Aug 2025

Exit

PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation

330.77

Reversal Risk Warning

75.99%

Entry 24 Nov 2023 187.95

22 Aug 2025

Entry

PROF NASDAQ · Profound Medical Corp

4.74

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18

22 Aug 2025

Entry

PVLA NASDAQ · Palvella Therapeutics, Inc

53.42

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.56

22 Aug 2025

Exit

SCNX NASDAQ · Scienture Holdings, Inc.

1.03

20% entry drawdown

-28.97%

Entry 4 Jul 2025 1.45

22 Aug 2025

Exit

SE NYSE · Sea Ltd

185.53

Reversal Risk Warning

178.32%

Entry 3 May 2024 66.66

22 Aug 2025

Entry

SEED NASDAQ · Origin Agritech Ltd

1.10

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.59

22 Aug 2025

Exit

SITC NYSE · Site Centers Corp

6.81

Reversal Risk Warning

79.52%

Entry 24 Nov 2023 3.80

22 Aug 2025

Exit

SNWV NASDAQ · SANUWAVE Health, Inc. Common Stock

45.00

Reversal Risk Warning

385.54%

Entry 20 Sep 2024 9.27

22 Aug 2025

Exit

SWIM NASDAQ · Latham Group Inc

8.22

Reversal Risk Warning

201.10%

Entry 22 Dec 2023 2.73

22 Aug 2025

Exit

TDUP NASDAQ · ThredUp Inc

11.68

Reversal Risk Warning

244.54%

Entry 11 Apr 2025 3.39

22 Aug 2025

Entry

TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.

0.49

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16

22 Aug 2025

Entry

TLYS NYSE · Tillys Inc

1.79

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.64

22 Aug 2025

Exit

TRTX NYSE · TPG RE Finance Trust Inc

8.10

Reversal Risk Warning

66.85%

Entry 22 Dec 2023 4.85

22 Aug 2025

Entry

TTI NYSE · Tetra Technologies Inc

4.47

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.17

22 Aug 2025

Exit

VITL NASDAQ · Vital Farms Inc

50.94

Reversal Risk Warning

202.49%

Entry 23 Feb 2024 16.84

22 Aug 2025

Exit

VNT NYSE · Vontier Corp

43.59

Reversal Risk Warning

22.35%

Entry 30 May 2025 35.62