RRGB NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 7.84 USD
8.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 68.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 92.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.6%, after a 9.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 64/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 10d.

Setup score 60 out of 100
Latest Close 7.84 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 8.6% latest completed week
4W Return 9.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 110.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 42.3% 22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 8-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 8.6% Latest completed week; four-week move 9.7%. Indicator stack 51/74 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 64/100 conviction; expected move 20.1%. News sentiment 52/100 39 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 10d Next report is scheduled for 12 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 68.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 92.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.6%, after a 9.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8012-week average 0.43

12-week confirmation

Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.80Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 9.7% over four weeks, 110.2% over 12 weeks, and 41.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 8 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W8.6%
4W9.7%
12W110.2%
26W110.2%
52W41.5%
Active trend streak8 weeks
Active weeks in one year22
Trend breadth42.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.40Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-13.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership43.34Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change69.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 78%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength41/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 60; rank 1 is best.
Value46/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 55; rank 1 is best.
Quality44/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
Momentum46/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 55; rank 1 is best.
Growth46/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 55; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
12.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
20.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-0.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
4.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-0.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-4.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
17.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
9.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

RRGB shows volatility options pressure with a 63/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 20.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction64/100
Expected move20.1%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure100
Speculation42
Volatility96
Trend agreement10
Open options detail
Insider activity7 / 0

7 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 39 relevant articles.

6 positive · 31 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings10dNext report is scheduled for 12 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move20.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-5.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+34.1%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-18.8%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+8.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains11
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses2
Sharp losses8
Recent vol10.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol11.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.5% / -8.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape56/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 56/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis72/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 7/12.

Activity pressure 0.80; No reversal markers Factors43/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Tiny Titans rank 22; Buyback Yield rank 37; Small Cap Core rank 57 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options42/100

RRGB shows volatility options pressure with a 63/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 20.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 20.1% Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 39 relevant articles.

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB) Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance, Indicators & Moving Averages Insiders7 / 0

7 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings10d

Next report is scheduled for 12 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20267.84 USD8.6%4.66 USD6.16 USD1.4043.34750.7KOn
24 Jul 20267.22 USD3.0%4.54 USD6.20 USD1.4633.17656.5KOn
17 Jul 20267.01 USD0.3%4.44 USD6.24 USD1.5626.77565.1KOn
10 Jul 20266.99 USD-2.2%4.35 USD6.29 USD1.6420.85937.8KOn
3 Jul 20267.15 USD-4.5%4.25 USD6.34 USD1.6225.511.7MOn
26 Jun 20267.49 USD19.6%4.14 USD6.39 USD1.3631.972.2MOn
19 Jun 20266.26 USD22.7%4.04 USD6.43 USD1.285.472.4MOn
12 Jun 20265.10 USD16.7%3.96 USD6.47 USD1.28-12.011.1MOn
5 Jun 20264.37 USD-13.6%3.93 USD6.52 USD1.07-23.261.3MOff
29 May 20265.06 USD11.0%3.94 USD6.57 USD1.02-16.411.2MOff
22 May 20264.56 USD21.0%3.94 USD6.62 USD0.75-23.038.2MOff
15 May 20263.77 USD1.1%4.00 USD6.67 USD0.43-35.571.6MOff
8 May 20263.73 USD0.8%4.09 USD6.74 USD0.41-36.61846.6KOff
1 May 20263.70 USD-7.0%4.18 USD6.80 USD0.26-33.741.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.