DG NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Dollar General Corporation · Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores

Latest close 117.2 USD
-6.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 36.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.8%, after a -1.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 38/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 26d.

Setup score 35 out of 100
Latest Close 117.2 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -6.8% latest completed week
4W Return -1.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 2.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 50.0% 26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 36.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.8%, after a -1.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1312-week average 0.16

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.13Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.4% over four weeks, 2.4% over 12 weeks, and 10.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-6.8%
4W-1.4%
12W2.4%
26W-19.8%
52W10.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.08Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change112.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-9.11Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-26.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength82/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Value75/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Quality78/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Momentum35/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Growth23/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework43/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
16.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
12.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
15.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
30.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
5.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
14.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
7.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
4.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
35.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
38.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

DG shows mixed options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.03, expected move of 8.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction38/100
Expected move8.2%
Put/call volume1.03
Pressure-4
Speculation42
Volatility89
Trend agreement68
Open options detail
Insider activity8 / 12

8 acquisitions and 12 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 60 relevant articles.

16 positive · 41 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings26dNext report is scheduled for 27 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-25.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.7%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-9.9%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week-6.8%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses9
Recent vol5.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.6% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026117.2 USD-6.8%126.5 USD111.4 USD0.08-9.1110.1MOff
17 Jul 2026125.8 USD5.7%127.1 USD111.6 USD0.04-3.1816.1MOff
10 Jul 2026118.9 USD1.1%127.4 USD111.8 USD-0.25-9.9011.5MOff
3 Jul 2026117.6 USD-1.1%127.9 USD112.1 USD-0.44-9.9410.3MOff
26 Jun 2026118.9 USD5.3%128.3 USD112.3 USD-0.67-7.1814.4MOff
19 Jun 2026112.9 USD-1.2%128.0 USD112.6 USD-0.82-14.1816.9MOff
12 Jun 2026114.2 USD10.7%127.6 USD112.9 USD-0.92-12.6915.6MOff
5 Jun 2026103.2 USD-6.7%127.2 USD113.1 USD-0.93-20.9526.7MOff
29 May 2026110.6 USD4.7%127.1 USD113.4 USD-0.87-17.8018.8MOff
22 May 2026105.7 USD3.2%126.6 USD113.7 USD-0.93-20.4918.9MOff
15 May 2026102.4 USD-9.6%126.5 USD114.2 USD-0.95-22.5524.0MOff
8 May 2026113.3 USD-1.0%126.6 USD114.9 USD-0.91-14.2715.7MOff
1 May 2026114.4 USD-5.2%126.1 USD115.5 USD-0.94-11.4412.7MOff
24 Apr 2026120.7 USD-4.7%125.5 USD116.1 USD-0.94-5.7011.2MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.