MDLZ NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Mondelez International Inc · Consumer Defensive · Confectioners

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Latest close 60.52 USD
-0.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 54.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.8%, after a 0.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 44/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 5d.

Setup score 51 out of 100
Latest Close 60.52 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.8% latest completed week
4W Return 0.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -0.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 28.8% 15 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 13-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.8% Latest completed week; four-week move 0.4%. Indicator stack 61/53 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bearish 44/100 conviction; expected move 4.3%. News sentiment 53/100 41 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 5d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 54.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.8%, after a 0.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6612-week average 0.59

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.66Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.4% over four weeks, -0.5% over 12 weeks, and -12.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 13 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.8%
4W0.4%
12W-0.5%
26W4.5%
52W-12.0%
Active trend streak13 weeks
Active weeks in one year15
Trend breadth28.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.41Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-58.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.78Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change50.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength7/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
Value18/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Quality33/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Momentum19/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Growth7/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
29.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
19.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
5.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
28.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
9.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
13.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
6.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
7.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-27.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-13.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

MDLZ shows bearish options pressure with a 44/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.45, expected move of 4.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction44/100
Expected move4.3%
Put/call volume1.45
Pressure-20
Speculation41
Volatility57
Trend agreement79
Open options detail
Insider activity12 / 5

12 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 41 relevant articles.

7 positive · 34 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move4.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.6%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-6.1%Week of 20 Feb.
Latest week-0.8%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses4
Recent vol2.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.0% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape52/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 52/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis67/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.66; No reversal markers Factors18/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 30 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options51/100

MDLZ shows bearish options pressure with a 44/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.45, expected move of 4.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 4.3% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 41 relevant articles.

Mondelez International, Inc. $MDLZ Shares Bought by Sei Investments Co. Insiders12 / 5

12 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings5d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202660.52 USD-0.8%58.91 USD62.61 USD0.41-5.7840.6MOn
17 Jul 202661.00 USD3.7%58.68 USD62.67 USD0.61-7.1947.4MOn
10 Jul 202658.83 USD-3.4%58.43 USD62.71 USD0.75-14.8038.8MOn
3 Jul 202660.91 USD1.1%58.24 USD62.77 USD1.03-10.8743.8MOn
26 Jun 202660.27 USD1.1%58.01 USD62.80 USD0.97-11.6855.2MOn
19 Jun 202659.60 USD-4.6%57.88 USD62.85 USD0.80-17.1654.4MOn
12 Jun 202662.45 USD1.5%57.76 USD62.90 USD0.60-11.6838.8MOn
5 Jun 202661.51 USD1.4%57.54 USD62.93 USD0.39-11.6437.1MOn
29 May 202660.65 USD-1.0%57.37 USD62.97 USD0.31-17.3532.8MOn
22 May 202661.23 USD2.2%57.23 USD63.02 USD0.35-14.8632.4MOn
15 May 202659.92 USD-1.8%57.17 USD63.07 USD0.22-16.3337.6MOn
8 May 202661.02 USD0.3%57.22 USD63.14 USD0.14-15.6632.6MOn
1 May 202660.84 USD5.6%57.20 USD63.20 USD0.12-12.0549.4MOn
24 Apr 202657.61 USD0.6%57.22 USD63.27 USD-0.00-16.1436.2MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.