TR NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Tootsie Roll Industries Inc · Consumer Defensive · Confectioners

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Latest close 37.52 USD
-4.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 36.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.0%, after a -1.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 57/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 84d.

Setup score 39 out of 100
Latest Close 37.52 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -4.0% latest completed week
4W Return -1.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -11.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 59.6% 31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -4.0% Latest completed week; four-week move -1.4%. Indicator stack 33/37 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bearish 57/100 conviction; expected move 8.3%. News sentiment 52/100 55 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 84d Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 36.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.0%, after a -1.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3012-week average 0.63

12-week confirmation

Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.30Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.4% over four weeks, -11.5% over 12 weeks, and -2.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.0%
4W-1.4%
12W-11.5%
26W3.4%
52W-2.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.69Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-9.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-10.75Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-21.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 94%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength19/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Value18/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Quality79/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Momentum26/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Growth66/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 35; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework51/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
28.2x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
17.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
35.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
18.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
22.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
11.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.9%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

TR shows bearish options pressure with a 57/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 8.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction57/100
Expected move8.3%
Put/call volume
Pressure-90
Speculation5
Volatility56
Trend agreement49
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.

12 positive · 38 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings84dNext report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-16.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.2%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-6.6%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week-4.0%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains11
Flat weeks1
Modest losses5
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.8% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape39/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 39/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis26/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.30; No reversal markers Factors35/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 39; Small Cap Core rank 87 SVQF51/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 495.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options35/100

TR shows bearish options pressure with a 57/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 8.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 8.3% Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.

Tootsie Roll Industries Inc (TR) Revenue Breakdown: Business Segments, Regional Revenue & Profit Contribution Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings84d

Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202637.52 USD-4.0%39.56 USD32.45 USD-0.69-10.75845.6KOff
17 Jul 202639.08 USD2.4%39.52 USD32.40 USD-0.55-7.90886.9KOff
10 Jul 202638.16 USD-6.4%39.43 USD32.35 USD-0.61-11.621.0MOff
3 Jul 202640.78 USD7.2%39.36 USD32.30 USD-0.56-4.381.1MOff
26 Jun 202638.04 USD5.0%39.21 USD32.23 USD-0.64-8.883.8MOff
19 Jun 202636.24 USD-6.6%39.18 USD32.19 USD-0.73-15.28870.5KOff
12 Jun 202638.78 USD1.3%39.22 USD32.16 USD-0.70-8.71941.8KOff
5 Jun 202638.29 USD1.8%39.19 USD32.13 USD-0.59-9.40902.1KOff
29 May 202637.62 USD-5.9%39.12 USD32.10 USD-0.38-13.361.1MOn
22 May 202639.96 USD-1.1%39.00 USD32.08 USD-0.10-6.90628.5KOn
15 May 202640.42 USD-4.7%38.88 USD32.04 USD0.19-5.11841.9KOn
8 May 202642.39 USD0.0%38.93 USD32.00 USD0.42-0.22523.1KOn
1 May 202642.39 USD1.6%38.89 USD31.94 USD0.662.16578.0KOn
24 Apr 202641.74 USD-2.3%38.88 USD31.89 USD0.791.56545.8KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.