- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 62.47% based on similar historical setup states.
WPM
NYSE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp · Basic Materials · Gold
Latest close
109.0 USD
-2.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 24.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.2%, after a -5.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 25/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 5d.
Setup score
30
out of 100
Latest Close
109.0 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-2.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
-5.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-21.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
82.7%
43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move -5.8%.
Indicator stack
45/21
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 62.47%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Mixed
25/100 conviction; expected move 2.1%.
News sentiment
56/100
53 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
5d
Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 24.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.2%, after a -5.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1812-week average 0.38
12-week confirmation
Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.18Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -5.8% over four weeks, -21.4% over 12 weeks, and 19.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.42Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-43.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-16.21Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-49.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 96%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength46/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 55; rank 1 is best.
Value10/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Quality98/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Momentum71/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Growth100/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework37/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 28.1x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 18.4x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 20.2x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 7.5% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 77.1% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 76.4% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 132.0% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 25.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 88.3% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 190.8% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 148.4% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.3% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.3% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.9x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningMixed
WPM shows mixed options pressure with a 25/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.81, expected move of 2.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction25/100
Expected move2.1%
Put/call volume0.81
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.
30 positive · 15 neutral · 8 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move2.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-34.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.3%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-18.1%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-2.2%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains10
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses10
Recent vol6.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.4% / -6.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Basic Materials
4-week rank55 / 100
Group average-4.2%
Trend breadth27.0%
Trend27.0%active weekly trend signals
MD22.0%positive activity pressure
RS29.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Gold
4-week rank10 / 29
Group average-9.8%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD3.4%positive activity pressure
RS3.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape33/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 33/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis21/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 3/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 2/12.
Activity pressure 0.18; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 62.47%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 62.47% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors56/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 69 SVQF37/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 642.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options43/100WPM shows mixed options pressure with a 25/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.81, expected move of 2.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 2.1% Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.
Archer Aviation vs. Wheaton Precious Metals: Which Industrials Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 109.0 USD | -2.2% | 130.0 USD | 79.16 USD | -1.42 | -16.21 | 7.8M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 111.5 USD | 7.0% | 130.2 USD | 78.73 USD | -1.39 | -13.41 | 8.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 104.2 USD | -5.3% | 130.6 USD | 78.29 USD | -1.19 | -19.53 | 8.3M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 110.0 USD | -4.9% | 131.2 USD | 77.90 USD | -1.07 | -16.32 | 7.6M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 115.7 USD | 2.1% | 131.4 USD | 77.47 USD | -0.99 | -10.81 | 6.4M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 113.3 USD | -7.5% | 131.1 USD | 76.99 USD | -1.02 | -10.68 | 14.1M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 122.6 USD | 5.6% | 131.0 USD | 76.53 USD | -1.14 | -5.55 | 11.7M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 116.1 USD | -0.1% | 130.2 USD | 76.01 USD | -1.20 | -9.57 | 14.0M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 116.2 USD | -12.3% | 129.8 USD | 75.55 USD | -1.10 | -8.93 | 8.8M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 132.6 USD | 5.0% | 129.2 USD | 75.08 USD | -0.87 | 1.39 | 6.0M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 126.3 USD | -3.0% | 128.0 USD | 74.52 USD | -0.83 | -1.69 | 6.5M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 130.2 USD | -6.1% | 127.0 USD | 73.98 USD | -0.67 | 2.43 | 11.7M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 138.6 USD | 10.3% | 126.2 USD | 73.45 USD | -0.54 | 9.82 | 12.0M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 125.6 USD | -9.8% | 125.0 USD | 72.87 USD | -0.53 | 2.29 | 12.1M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.