HMC NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

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Latest close 30.11 USD
6.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 9.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 62.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.9%, after a 7.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 42/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 48 out of 100
Latest Close 30.11 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 6.9% latest completed week
4W Return 7.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 22.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 25.0% 13 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 6.9% Latest completed week; four-week move 7.5%. Indicator stack 14/62 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 42/100 conviction; expected move 5.7%. News sentiment 57/100 59 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 3d Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 9.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 62.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.9%, after a 7.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3812-week average 0.17

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.38Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 7.5% over four weeks, 22.8% over 12 weeks, and -1.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W6.9%
4W7.5%
12W22.8%
26W-0.7%
52W-1.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year13
Trend breadth25.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.72Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-8.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.07Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change61.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 81%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength24/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Value38/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
Quality37/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Momentum39/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
Growth39/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
-
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
16.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-1.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
7.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-1.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
0.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
491.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
8.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

HMC shows mixed options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.43, expected move of 5.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction42/100
Expected move5.7%
Put/call volume1.43
Pressure-18
Speculation40
Volatility41
Trend agreement84
Open options detail
Insider activity20 / 0

20 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.

26 positive · 27 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.2%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-9.7%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+6.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains7
Flat weeks1
Modest losses10
Sharp losses4
Recent vol2.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.0% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape40/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 40/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis31/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.38; No reversal markers Factors33/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 50 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options58/100

HMC shows mixed options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.43, expected move of 5.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 5.7% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.

Is Honda Motor Co. (HMC) Stock Undervalued Right Now? Insiders20 / 0

20 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings3d

Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202630.11 USD6.9%27.44 USD29.31 USD0.72-5.077.5MOff
24 Jul 202628.16 USD0.0%27.43 USD29.30 USD0.67-10.644.4MOff
17 Jul 202628.16 USD0.8%27.49 USD29.30 USD0.74-11.694.6MOff
10 Jul 202627.93 USD-0.3%27.55 USD29.31 USD0.74-14.136.6MOff
3 Jul 202628.02 USD4.4%27.65 USD29.30 USD0.79-13.139.8MOff
26 Jun 202626.83 USD2.2%27.70 USD29.30 USD0.71-15.4110.1MOff
19 Jun 202626.26 USD-0.7%27.81 USD29.31 USD0.51-19.568.4MOff
12 Jun 202626.44 USD-1.0%27.92 USD29.32 USD0.41-18.7410.8MOff
5 Jun 202626.70 USD-1.1%28.05 USD29.33 USD0.18-17.9311.1MOff
29 May 202626.99 USD2.0%28.15 USD29.34 USD-0.19-19.546.4MOff
22 May 202626.47 USD1.1%28.27 USD29.34 USD-0.46-20.4812.5MOff
15 May 202626.18 USD6.8%28.43 USD29.34 USD-0.74-21.1712.0MOff
8 May 202624.51 USD1.7%28.59 USD29.33 USD-0.87-26.467.0MOff
1 May 202624.09 USD-1.0%28.77 USD29.34 USD-0.86-26.657.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.