- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
HSAI
NASDAQ
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Hesai Group Sponsored ADR · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
Latest close
16.90 USD
15.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -21.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 15.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 15.8%, after a -1.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 30/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 59/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 11d.
Setup score
21
out of 100
Latest Close
16.90 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
15.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
-1.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-21.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
38.5%
20 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.1x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.63% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
15.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move -1.7%.
Indicator stack
21/29
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.63%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Mixed
30/100 conviction; expected move 17.6%.
News sentiment
59/100
36 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
11d
Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -21.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 15.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 15.8%, after a -1.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0112-week average 0.04
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.01Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -1.7% over four weeks, -21.8% over 12 weeks, and -9.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year20
Trend breadth38.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.17Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-1.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-31.41Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change10.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 97%
Model confidence 93%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength1/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
Value5/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Quality13/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Momentum11/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Growth85/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework26/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 38.9x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 5.8x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 32.2x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 2.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 41.2% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 3.7% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 13.0% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 1.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 41.9% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.6% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -23.2% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -21.6% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningMixed
HSAI shows mixed options pressure with a 30/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.84, expected move of 17.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction30/100
Expected move17.6%
Put/call volume0.84
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment59/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 36 relevant articles.
14 positive · 21 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move17.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-45.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.1%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-19.3%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week+15.8%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses9
Recent vol8.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.5% / -7.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank- / 100
Group average1.4%
Trend breadth37.0%
Trend37.0%active weekly trend signals
MD54.0%positive activity pressure
RS34.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Auto Parts
4-week rank24 / 56
Group average-7.9%
Trend breadth33.9%
Trend33.9%active weekly trend signals
MD39.3%positive activity pressure
RS23.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape21/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 21/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.01; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.63%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.63% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors6/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 92; Small Cap Core rank 98 SVQF26/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 541.0 of 735 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options40/100HSAI shows mixed options pressure with a 30/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.84, expected move of 17.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 17.6% Sentiment59/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 36 relevant articles.
Hesai Group (NASDAQ: HSAI) lifts Sharpa deal cap to RMB300m Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 16.90 USD | 15.8% | 21.53 USD | 14.10 USD | -1.17 | -31.41 | 9.6M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 14.60 USD | -2.7% | 21.77 USD | 14.07 USD | -1.12 | -40.72 | 5.7M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 15.00 USD | -7.2% | 22.04 USD | 14.06 USD | -1.07 | -40.59 | 7.1M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 16.16 USD | -6.0% | 22.32 USD | 14.03 USD | -1.06 | -39.21 | 9.6M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 17.19 USD | 16.1% | 22.47 USD | 14.01 USD | -1.16 | -34.89 | 13.3M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 14.80 USD | -12.4% | 22.56 USD | 13.96 USD | -1.33 | -43.91 | 8.2M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 16.89 USD | -6.9% | 22.71 USD | 13.94 USD | -1.30 | -39.47 | 7.5M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 18.15 USD | -1.8% | 22.66 USD | 13.89 USD | -1.06 | -33.61 | 7.5M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 18.49 USD | -2.2% | 22.71 USD | 13.84 USD | -0.86 | -31.26 | 11.0M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 18.90 USD | -8.4% | 22.80 USD | 13.78 USD | -0.78 | -33.29 | 7.0M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 20.63 USD | -8.1% | 22.96 USD | 13.72 USD | -0.71 | -25.48 | 12.4M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 22.44 USD | 3.9% | 23.03 USD | 13.63 USD | -0.75 | -18.51 | 9.1M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 21.60 USD | -1.9% | 23.03 USD | 13.55 USD | -0.79 | -21.91 | 5.7M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 22.01 USD | -1.5% | 23.05 USD | 13.46 USD | -0.83 | -16.18 | 5.7M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.