ALCO NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Alico Inc · Consumer Defensive · Farm Products

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Latest close 38.62 USD
-5.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 53.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.6%, after a -7.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 13d.

Setup score 45 out of 100
Latest Close 38.62 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -5.6% latest completed week
4W Return -7.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -4.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 98.1% 51 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 61.20% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -5.6% Latest completed week; four-week move -7.5%. Indicator stack 54/30 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 61.20% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 54/100 51 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 13d Next report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 53.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.6%, after a -7.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6212-week average 0.74

12-week confirmation

Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.62Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -7.5% over four weeks, -4.6% over 12 weeks, and 19.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-5.6%
4W-7.5%
12W-4.6%
26W-6.0%
52W19.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year51
Trend breadth98.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.93Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-46.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-6.40Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-202.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Sep 2025 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 87%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength20/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Value27/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Quality17/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Momentum71/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Growth11/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
17.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
8.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-270.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-147.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
116.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-13.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-66.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity5 / 0

5 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.

15 positive · 33 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings13dNext report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.6%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-5.6%Week of 24 Jul.
Latest week-5.6%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.9% / -2.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape47/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 47/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis37/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.62; 3 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 61.20%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 61.20% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors31/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 54; Small Cap Core rank 79 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.

ALCO Income Statement Insiders5 / 0

5 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings13d

Next report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202638.62 USD-5.6%40.58 USD31.03 USD-0.93-6.4087.0KOff
17 Jul 202640.93 USD-0.6%40.51 USD30.94 USD-0.62-2.4175.9KOn
10 Jul 202641.16 USD-1.5%40.39 USD30.84 USD-0.59-5.9172.6KOn
3 Jul 202641.80 USD0.1%40.27 USD30.74 USD-0.56-2.7991.5KOn
26 Jun 202641.76 USD3.6%40.11 USD30.63 USD-0.64-2.11221.6KOn
19 Jun 202640.29 USD-1.2%39.87 USD30.52 USD-0.90-9.7764.9KOn
12 Jun 202640.78 USD-0.3%39.59 USD30.43 USD-0.87-6.3888.8KOn
5 Jun 202640.92 USD0.8%39.33 USD30.32 USD-0.88-3.9799.1KOn
29 May 202640.60 USD-1.6%39.06 USD30.23 USD-0.88-9.0362.9KOn
22 May 202641.26 USD2.8%38.88 USD30.12 USD-0.83-5.0984.1KOn
15 May 202640.12 USD-1.3%38.69 USD30.01 USD-0.67-6.71115.2KOn
8 May 202640.63 USD0.4%38.51 USD29.89 USD-0.37-5.9281.8KOn
1 May 202640.47 USD-4.4%38.26 USD29.78 USD0.10-1.2196.6KOn
24 Apr 202642.33 USD-2.0%38.03 USD29.67 USD0.434.97123.9KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.