Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 1-30 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ABLV NASDAQ · Able View Global Inc. Class B Ordinary Shares
12 Jun 20261.10
1.19
8.18%
4
47.21
4.07%
9.75
ABVC NASDAQ · ABVC Biopharma Inc
18 Apr 20250.86
1.80
110.53%
4
65.71
3.66%
30.91
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
20 Mar 20266.42
5.15
-19.78%
5
87.50
2.10%
14.76
ACHC NASDAQ · Acadia Healthcare Company Inc
15 May 202625.81
31.91
23.63%
5
83.10
1.05%
3.19
ACRS NASDAQ · Aclaris Therapeutics Inc
31 Oct 20252.52
5.56
120.63%
8
32.15
4.84%
5.56
ACTG NASDAQ · Acacia Research Corporation
13 Feb 20264.01
4.54
13.22%
7
60.85
0.98%
2.74
ADNT NYSE · Adient PLC
1 Aug 202521.40
18.76
-12.34%
4
90.40
3.89%
9.73
ADV NASDAQ · Advantage Solutions Inc
5 Jun 202638.75
38.86
0.28%
4
89.18
2.82%
6.16
AERT NASDAQ · Aeries Technology Inc.
19 Jun 20267.22
7.34
1.66%
4
36.85
4.36%
15.43
AESI NYSE · Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
17 Apr 202613.29
14.47
8.88%
6
48.84
1.80%
2.59
AGL NYSE · agilon health Inc
29 May 202692.28
111.01
20.30%
4
89.13
40.13%
161.74
AIN NYSE · Albany International Corporation
5 Jun 202667.74
73.39
8.34%
8
92.31
2.26%
6.44
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3 Jul 20264.84
4.84
0.00%
5
76.39
4.24%
3.81
ALB NYSE · Albemarle Corp
26 Sep 202587.40
135.56
55.10%
5
39.35
0.77%
0.68
ALGN NASDAQ · Align Technology Inc
27 Feb 2026190.10
184.52
-2.94%
5
85.89
0.43%
6.62
ALLO NASDAQ · Allogene Therapeutics Inc
9 Jan 20261.71
2.08
21.64%
7
50.24
2.34%
4.48
AMLX NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
4 Jul 20256.30
18.27
190.00%
5
47.68
1.96%
41.91
AMN NYSE · AMN Healthcare Services Inc
8 May 202628.97
34.75
19.95%
4
67.09
2.62%
32.60
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
10 Apr 2026192.52
160.00
-16.89%
4
11.80
4.45%
14.01
AMRC NYSE · Ameresco Inc
5 Sep 202525.93
25.40
-2.04%
4
93.91
1.74%
12.36
AMRN NASDAQ · Amarin Corporation PLC
27 Jun 202515.71
16.37
4.20%
4
74.06
3.72%
23.38
AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp
8 May 20267.97
9.25
16.06%
4
41.83
0.86%
16.91
ANIK NASDAQ · Anika Therapeutics Inc
27 Feb 202614.36
15.36
6.96%
4
65.94
1.32%
18.81
ANTX NASDAQ · AN2 Therapeutics Inc
27 Mar 20263.66
4.42
20.77%
4
88.09
31.68%
170.00
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
20 Jun 202567.05
58.89
-12.17%
5
53.28
2.66%
0.22
ARCO NYSE · Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc
13 Feb 20268.29
8.23
-0.69%
6
75.07
1.36%
3.99
ARL NYSE · American Realty Investors Inc
19 Sep 202516.42
21.22
29.23%
5
71.46
2.09%
2.55
ASC NYSE · Ardmore Shpng
19 Sep 202512.24
14.86
21.39%
5
58.56
1.92%
0.74
ASIX NYSE · AdvanSix Inc
24 Apr 202623.25
20.29
-12.71%
5
87.79
2.44%
6.49
ASLE NASDAQ · AerSale Corp
28 Feb 20257.00
6.57
-6.14%
7
67.42
0.28%
2.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 301-330 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
8 May 2026
Exit
DAO NYSE · Youdao Inc
12.42
Reversal Risk Warning
137.48%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 5.23
8 May 2026
Exit
ENGN NASDAQ · enGene Holdings Inc. Common Stock
1.50
20% entry drawdown
-79.20%
Entry 31 Oct 2025 7.21
8 May 2026
Entry
FC NYSE · Franklin Covey Company
22.15
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.03 · ROC 2.36% · RS 3.66
8 May 2026
Entry
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
5.26
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 56.21 · ROC 4.79% · RS 14.62
8 May 2026
Exit
HR NYSE · Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated
19.91
Reversal Risk Warning
25.82%
Entry 26 Jul 2024 15.82
8 May 2026
Entry
IIPR NYSE · Innovative Industrial Properties Inc
55.59
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 51.06 · ROC 1.20% · RS 0.90
8 May 2026
Exit
JRVR NASDAQ · James River Group Holdings Ltd
4.14
20% entry drawdown
-32.52%
Entry 2 Jan 2026 6.13
8 May 2026
Exit
LAR NYSE · Lithium Argentina AG
11.68
Reversal Risk Warning
230.88%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 3.53
8 May 2026
Exit
MDV NYSE · Modiv Inc
17.77
Reversal Risk Warning
72.72%
Entry 9 Jun 2023 10.29
8 May 2026
Entry
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
4.53
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 90.75 · ROC 4.68% · RS 25.39
8 May 2026
Exit
MXL NASDAQ · MaxLinear Inc
99.83
Reversal Risk Warning
463.06%
Entry 26 Dec 2025 17.73
8 May 2026
Exit
OOMA NYSE · Ooma Inc
19.31
Reversal Risk Warning
69.39%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 11.40
8 May 2026
Exit
OUT NYSE · Outfront Media Inc
33.58
Reversal Risk Warning
135.90%
Entry 8 Mar 2024 14.23
8 May 2026
Entry
OXM NYSE · Oxford Industries Inc
45.48
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 86.11 · ROC 2.04% · RS 1.89
8 May 2026
Exit
SITM NASDAQ · Sitime Corporation
833.08
Reversal Risk Warning
557.52%
Entry 9 Aug 2024 126.70
8 May 2026
Exit
SKYQ NASDAQ · Sky Quarry Inc
3.91
20% entry drawdown
-33.73%
Entry 1 May 2026 5.90
8 May 2026
Exit
SMRT NYSE · SmartRent Inc
1.12
20% entry drawdown
-24.83%
Entry 24 Oct 2025 1.49
8 May 2026
Exit
TRDA NASDAQ · Entrada Therapeutics Inc
6.84
20% entry drawdown
-37.70%
Entry 19 Dec 2025 10.98
8 May 2026
Exit
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
58.85
20% entry drawdown
-31.40%
Entry 13 Feb 2026 85.79
8 May 2026
Exit
WILC NASDAQ · G Willi-Food International Ltd
36.00
Reversal Risk Warning
256.57%
Entry 20 Sep 2024 10.10
8 May 2026
Entry
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
2.29
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 86.07 · ROC 3.36% · RS 20.03
8 May 2026
Entry
XIFR NYSE · XPLR Infrastructure LP Unit
11.73
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 34.34 · ROC 0.51% · RS 6.37
8 May 2026
Exit
XMAX NASDAQ · XMax Inc.
8.34
Reversal Risk Warning
583.61%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 1.22
1 May 2026
Exit
ADTN NASDAQ · ADTRAN Inc
18.45
Reversal Risk Warning
128.34%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 8.08
1 May 2026
Exit
BTE NYSE · Baytex Energy Corp
4.96
Reversal Risk Warning
99.45%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 2.49
1 May 2026
Entry
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
2.92
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 36.56 · ROC 1.30% · RS 12.68
1 May 2026
Entry
CODI NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings
11.80
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 92.52 · ROC 8.24% · RS 54.02
1 May 2026
Exit
DINO NYSE · HF Sinclair Corp
68.70
Reversal Risk Warning
62.06%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 42.39
1 May 2026
Exit
DQ NYSE · Daqo New Energy Corp ADR
19.14
20% entry drawdown
-25.84%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 25.81
1 May 2026
Exit
HP NYSE · Helmerich and Payne Inc
40.19
Reversal Risk Warning
57.00%
Entry 7 Nov 2025 25.60