Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 91-120 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
FGBI NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
27 Mar 20268.12
10.00
23.12%
4
18.96
0.38%
2.78
FLG NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
14 Mar 202511.81
14.59
23.50%
4
52.26
1.89%
11.94
FLYW NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
26 Jun 202617.54
18.75
6.90%
6
43.44
1.89%
15.19
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.51
4.75%
4
56.21
4.79%
14.62
FOR NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
6 Mar 202625.96
30.80
18.64%
4
49.13
2.15%
1.10
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
12 Jun 202623.44
20.99
-10.45%
6
80.97
0.70%
1.12
GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
12 Jun 20262.52
2.62
3.97%
5
81.99
16.22%
55.51
GFR NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
6 Feb 20265.74
5.54
-3.48%
4
65.60
2.23%
5.39
GMAB NASDAQ · Genmab AS
29 Aug 202524.87
28.52
14.66%
6
64.19
1.67%
1.72
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
1 Aug 202511.27
9.59
-14.91%
7
98.00
4.60%
1.27
GPRE NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
5 Sep 202510.64
15.51
45.77%
4
90.39
2.21%
16.49
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
1 Dec 20235.29
10.25
93.76%
4
67.56
12.45%
54.93
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
19 Jun 20265.40
4.40
-18.52%
4
65.69
8.79%
44.27
GTN NYSE · Gray Television Inc
4 Jul 20254.60
4.11
-10.61%
6
75.65
1.02%
7.54
HELE NASDAQ · Helen of Troy Ltd
12 Jun 202629.86
28.14
-5.76%
5
71.41
5.26%
17.71
HLX NYSE · Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc
30 Jan 20267.94
8.54
7.56%
4
39.82
1.31%
3.94
HOFT NASDAQ · Hooker Furniture Corporation
9 Jan 202611.62
16.82
44.75%
5
47.27
2.40%
0.20
HQI NASDAQ · Hirequest Inc
20 Feb 202611.47
12.77
11.34%
4
45.12
1.66%
3.40
HTO NASDAQ · H2O America
13 Feb 202654.47
62.42
14.59%
4
86.34
0.66%
0.70
HURA NASDAQ · TuHURA Biosciences Inc
19 Jun 20262.57
2.44
-5.06%
7
44.88
0.52%
5.58
HVT NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.99
24.97
8.60%
4
48.06
1.04%
2.61
HVT-A NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.61
29.95
32.44%
4
39.34
0.79%
0.55
IART NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
26 Jun 202618.76
18.05
-3.78%
4
88.74
6.21%
25.99
IBTA NYSE · Ibotta, Inc.
29 May 202634.25
35.57
3.85%
6
49.47
0.47%
1.93
IEP NASDAQ · Icahn Enterprises LP
3 Apr 20267.25
7.24
-0.07%
5
21.07
0.07%
2.70
IFF NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
27 Mar 202670.64
83.83
18.67%
8
15.87
1.00%
1.68
IFRX NASDAQ · InflaRx N.V.
12 Jun 20261.60
2.24
40.00%
6
62.45
8.20%
10.39
IHS NYSE · IHS Holding Ltd
7 Feb 20253.79
8.22
116.89%
4
52.72
1.34%
8.33
IIPR NYSE · Innovative Industrial Properties Inc
8 May 202655.59
63.36
13.99%
5
51.06
1.20%
0.90
IMRX NASDAQ · Immuneering Corp
25 Jul 20254.06
5.19
27.83%
4
97.64
14.41%
81.13

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 271-300 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
15 May 2026
Exit
IVVD NASDAQ · Invivyd Inc.
1.21
20% entry drawdown
-23.66%
Entry 7 Nov 2025 1.59
15 May 2026
Entry
KZIA NASDAQ · Kazia Therapeutics Ltd ADR
13.16
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.60 · ROC 10.82% · RS 35.61
15 May 2026
Exit
LRMR NASDAQ · Larimar Therapeutics Inc
3.58
20% entry drawdown
-21.15%
Entry 24 Apr 2026 4.54
15 May 2026
Exit
LXEO NASDAQ · Lexeo Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
5.09
20% entry drawdown
-24.82%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 6.77
15 May 2026
Exit
NBTX NASDAQ · Nanobiotix
51.50
Reversal Risk Warning
1052.13%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 4.47
15 May 2026
Entry
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
2.22
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.94 · ROC 4.89% · RS 0.87
15 May 2026
Exit
NUS NYSE · Nu Skin Enterprises Inc
6.06
20% entry drawdown
-30.14%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 8.67
15 May 2026
Exit
OKUR NASDAQ · OnKure Therapeutics, Inc.
3.16
20% entry drawdown
-26.34%
Entry 3 Apr 2026 4.29
15 May 2026
Exit
ORMP NASDAQ · Oramed Pharmaceuticals Inc
4.64
Reversal Risk Warning
92.06%
Entry 21 Nov 2025 2.42
15 May 2026
Exit
PRTS NASDAQ · CarParts.Com Inc
6.83
20% entry drawdown
-29.74%
Entry 24 Apr 2026 9.72
15 May 2026
Exit
QXO NYSE · QXO, Inc.
16.33
20% entry drawdown
-29.03%
Entry 6 Feb 2026 23.01
15 May 2026
Entry
RXO NYSE · RXO Inc.
18.69
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.71 · ROC 3.17% · RS 6.91
15 May 2026
Entry
SAIH NASDAQ · SAIHEAT Limited
11.74
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 87.09 · ROC 2.75% · RS 18.60
15 May 2026
Exit
SAM NYSE · Boston Beer Company Inc
174.73
20% entry drawdown
-24.52%
Entry 13 Mar 2026 231.50
15 May 2026
Exit
SCYX NASDAQ · Scynexis Inc
5.92
20% entry drawdown
-25.28%
Entry 1 May 2026 7.92
15 May 2026
Exit
SILC NASDAQ · Silicom
48.08
Reversal Risk Warning
165.05%
Entry 20 Mar 2026 18.14
15 May 2026
Exit
ST NYSE · Sensata Technologies Holding NV
48.50
Reversal Risk Warning
46.46%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 33.11
15 May 2026
Exit
UA NYSE · Under Armour Inc C
4.99
20% entry drawdown
-22.15%
Entry 6 Mar 2026 6.41
15 May 2026
Exit
UAA NYSE · Under Armour Inc A
5.12
20% entry drawdown
-22.31%
Entry 6 Mar 2026 6.59
8 May 2026
Exit
ADM NYSE · Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
77.14
Reversal Risk Warning
37.62%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 56.06
8 May 2026
Entry
AMN NYSE · AMN Healthcare Services Inc
28.97
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 67.09 · ROC 2.62% · RS 32.60
8 May 2026
Entry
AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp
7.97
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 41.83 · ROC 0.86% · RS 16.91
8 May 2026
Exit
ATRC NASDAQ · AtriCure Inc
26.28
20% entry drawdown
-21.58%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 33.51
8 May 2026
Exit
AVNW NASDAQ · Aviat Networks Inc
15.81
20% entry drawdown
-33.96%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 23.94
8 May 2026
Exit
BCAT NYSE · BlackRock Capital Allocation Trust
15.02
Reversal Risk Warning
81.66%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 8.27
8 May 2026
Exit
BIO-B NYSE · Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc
255.54
20% entry drawdown
-20.42%
Entry 24 Oct 2025 321.12
8 May 2026
Exit
CELH NASDAQ · Celsius Holdings Inc
32.29
20% entry drawdown
-20.47%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 40.60
8 May 2026
Exit
CLB NYSE · Core Laboratories NV
13.12
20% entry drawdown
-21.94%
Entry 5 Dec 2025 16.81
8 May 2026
Exit
CSTM NYSE · Constellium Nv
33.88
Reversal Risk Warning
132.69%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 14.56
8 May 2026
Exit
CXDO NASDAQ · Crexendo Inc
9.36
Reversal Risk Warning
194.34%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 3.18