Universe
Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.
Signal Validation
Trend Performance Index
United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21
Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001
Avg 1418.2/yr ·
118.2/mo ·
27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365
Stop 57.3% ·
Warning 42.3%
· Other 0.4%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ACCO
NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08
8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN
NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44
4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC
NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14
4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN
NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54
8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG
NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58
8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX
NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82
4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH
NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48
4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC
NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43
4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI
NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30
5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD
NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16
4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
AIRJ
NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74
20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE
NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70
20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN
NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53
20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX
NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82
20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV
NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37
20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX
NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42
20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA
NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38
20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF
NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75
Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG
NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08
20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN
NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38
20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS
NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14
20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN
NYSE · Valens
1.71
20% entry drawdown · -22.62%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signals
Activity
ROC
RS
FGBI
NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
27 Mar 20268.12
9.98
22.87%
4
18.96
0.38%
2.78
FIVN
NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
10 Jul 202625.42
25.58
0.63%
6
41.60
1.63%
2.87
FLG
NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
14 Mar 202511.81
14.90
26.13%
4
52.26
1.89%
11.94
FLYW
NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
26 Jun 202617.54
18.13
3.36%
6
43.38
1.89%
15.19
FNKO
NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.82
10.65%
4
56.21
4.79%
14.62
FOR
NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
6 Mar 202625.96
29.90
15.18%
4
49.13
2.15%
1.10
GCTS
NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
12 Jun 20262.52
2.10
-16.67%
5
81.22
16.22%
55.51
GFR
NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
6 Feb 20265.74
6.35
10.63%
4
65.60
2.23%
5.39
GMAB
NASDAQ · Genmab AS
29 Aug 202524.87
28.72
15.48%
6
64.19
1.67%
1.72
GOOS
NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
1 Aug 202511.27
9.81
-12.95%
7
98.00
4.60%
1.27
GPRE
NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
5 Sep 202510.64
19.23
80.73%
4
90.39
2.21%
16.49
GTN
NYSE · Gray Television Inc
4 Jul 20254.60
3.96
-13.88%
6
75.65
1.02%
7.54
HELE
NASDAQ · Helen of Troy Ltd
12 Jun 202629.86
28.10
-5.89%
5
72.74
5.26%
17.71
HLX
NYSE · Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc
30 Jan 20267.94
9.58
20.65%
4
39.82
1.31%
3.94
HOFT
NASDAQ · Hooker Furniture Corporation
9 Jan 202611.62
14.12
21.51%
5
47.27
2.40%
0.20
HOG
NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
17 Jul 202626.58
26.58
New
Entry week
8
56.36
2.03%
3.60
HPP
NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
10 Jul 202615.18
15.72
3.56%
4
86.04
3.64%
4.60
HQI
NASDAQ · Hirequest Inc
20 Feb 202611.47
12.11
5.58%
4
45.12
1.66%
3.40
HURA
NASDAQ · TuHURA Biosciences Inc
19 Jun 20262.57
2.25
-12.45%
7
44.88
0.52%
5.58
HVT
NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.99
25.63
11.47%
4
48.06
1.04%
2.61
HVT-A
NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.61
29.25
29.34%
4
39.34
0.79%
0.55
IART
NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
26 Jun 202618.76
19.25
2.61%
4
96.32
6.21%
25.99
IBTA
NYSE · Ibotta, Inc.
29 May 202634.25
31.55
-7.88%
6
49.47
0.47%
1.93
IEP
NASDAQ · Icahn Enterprises LP
3 Apr 20267.25
7.49
3.38%
5
21.07
0.07%
2.70
IFBD
NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
10 Jul 20261.21
1.15
-4.96%
4
1.25
1.78%
2.44
IFF
NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
27 Mar 202670.64
78.20
10.70%
8
15.87
1.00%
1.68
IFRX
NASDAQ · InflaRx N.V.
12 Jun 20261.60
1.86
15.94%
6
62.45
8.20%
10.39
IHS
NYSE · IHS Holding Ltd
7 Feb 20253.79
8.15
115.04%
4
52.72
1.34%
8.33
IIPR
NYSE · Innovative Industrial Properties Inc
8 May 202655.59
64.47
15.98%
5
51.06
1.20%
0.90
IMRX
NASDAQ · Immuneering Corp
25 Jul 20254.06
4.64
14.29%
4
97.64
14.41%
81.13
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
22 Sep 2023
Entry
GECC
NASDAQ · Great Elm Capital Corp
5.83
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals
MA 66.44 · ROC 1.81% · RS 1.34
22 Sep 2023
Exit
HOOD
NASDAQ · Robinhood Markets Inc
9.70
20% entry drawdown
-23.98%
Entry 21 Jul 2023
12.76
22 Sep 2023
Exit
LPTH
NASDAQ · LightPath Technologies Inc
1.40
20% entry drawdown
-20.00%
Entry 1 Sep 2023
1.75
22 Sep 2023
Exit
REAL
NASDAQ · TheRealReal Inc
2.14
20% entry drawdown
-20.74%
Entry 21 Jul 2023
2.70
22 Sep 2023
Exit
RKLB
NASDAQ · Rocket Lab USA Inc.
4.48
20% entry drawdown
-21.82%
Entry 7 Jul 2023
5.73
22 Sep 2023
Exit
ROKU
NASDAQ · Roku Inc
69.27
20% entry drawdown
-22.70%
Entry 28 Jul 2023
89.61
22 Sep 2023
Entry
SAM
NYSE · Boston Beer Company Inc
378.31
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 64.03 · ROC 0.69% · RS 3.39
22 Sep 2023
Exit
SG
NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
11.48
20% entry drawdown
-24.87%
Entry 21 Jul 2023
15.28
22 Sep 2023
Exit
SIFY
NASDAQ · Sify Technologies Limited
10.26
20% entry drawdown
-23.66%
Entry 28 Jul 2023
13.44
22 Sep 2023
Entry
TAL
NYSE · TAL Education Group
7.23
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 25.64 · ROC 0.87% · RS 6.54
22 Sep 2023
Exit
TBCH
NASDAQ · Turtle Beach Corporation
9.25
20% entry drawdown
-21.68%
Entry 14 Apr 2023
11.81
22 Sep 2023
Entry
TIGR
NASDAQ · Up Fintech Holding Ltd
4.99
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 91.75 · ROC 5.03% · RS 16.61
22 Sep 2023
Exit
XBIT
NASDAQ · XBiotech Inc
4.36
20% entry drawdown
-20.00%
Entry 9 Jun 2023
5.45
22 Sep 2023
Exit
XERS
NASDAQ · Xeris Pharmaceuticals Inc
1.80
20% entry drawdown
-25.00%
Entry 5 May 2023
2.40
15 Sep 2023
Entry
AKR
NYSE · Acadia Realty Trust
14.35
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals
MA 10.05 · ROC 0.14% · RS 4.59
15 Sep 2023
Exit
AP
NYSE · Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation
2.87
20% entry drawdown
-25.26%
Entry 21 Jul 2023
3.84
15 Sep 2023
Entry
CHTR
NASDAQ · Charter Communications Inc
447.95
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals
MA 75.03 · ROC 1.06% · RS 3.27
15 Sep 2023
Entry
DBI
NYSE · Designer Brands Inc
10.96
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 58.69 · ROC 1.42% · RS 3.33
15 Sep 2023
Exit
EVCM
NASDAQ · EverCommerce Inc
9.50
20% entry drawdown
-21.29%
Entry 28 Apr 2023
12.07
15 Sep 2023
Exit
HFFG
NASDAQ · Hf Foods Group Inc
4.11
20% entry drawdown
-22.45%
Entry 4 Aug 2023
5.30
15 Sep 2023
Entry
HNI
NYSE · HNI Corp
29.85
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 79.05 · ROC 0.81% · RS 5.91
15 Sep 2023
Exit
INDP
NASDAQ · Indaptus Therapeutics Inc
94.64
Reversal Risk Warning
14.97%
Entry 1 Sep 2023
82.32
15 Sep 2023
Entry
JOYY
NASDAQ · JOYY Inc
34.72
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 58.84 · ROC 0.76% · RS 6.54
15 Sep 2023
Exit
MARA
NASDAQ · Marathon Digital Holdings Inc
9.80
20% entry drawdown
-22.90%
Entry 23 Jun 2023
12.71
15 Sep 2023
Exit
MNSO
NYSE · Miniso Group Holding Ltd
25.73
Reversal Risk Warning
128.43%
Entry 6 Jan 2023
11.26
15 Sep 2023
Exit
NAUT
NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
3.94
Reversal Risk Warning
39.22%
Entry 14 Apr 2023
2.83
15 Sep 2023
Exit
NKE
NYSE · Nike Inc
90.73
20% entry drawdown
-20.51%
Entry 10 Feb 2023
114.15
15 Sep 2023
Entry
NTZ
NYSE · Natuzzi SpA
7.05
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals
MA 14.09 · ROC 0.13% · RS 2.91
15 Sep 2023
Exit
PCT
NASDAQ · Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp
6.18
20% entry drawdown
-40.17%
Entry 14 Jul 2023
10.33
15 Sep 2023
Entry
PSIX
NASDAQ · Power Solutions International, Inc. Common Stock
3.25
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 18.24 · ROC 0.94% · RS 1.48