Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 91-120 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
FGBI NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
27 Mar 20268.12
10.00
23.12%
4
18.96
0.38%
2.78
FLG NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
14 Mar 202511.81
14.59
23.50%
4
52.26
1.89%
11.94
FLYW NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
26 Jun 202617.54
18.75
6.90%
6
43.44
1.89%
15.19
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.51
4.75%
4
56.21
4.79%
14.62
FOR NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
6 Mar 202625.96
30.80
18.64%
4
49.13
2.15%
1.10
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
12 Jun 202623.44
20.99
-10.45%
6
80.97
0.70%
1.12
GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
12 Jun 20262.52
2.62
3.97%
5
81.99
16.22%
55.51
GFR NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
6 Feb 20265.74
5.54
-3.48%
4
65.60
2.23%
5.39
GMAB NASDAQ · Genmab AS
29 Aug 202524.87
28.52
14.66%
6
64.19
1.67%
1.72
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
1 Aug 202511.27
9.59
-14.91%
7
98.00
4.60%
1.27
GPRE NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
5 Sep 202510.64
15.51
45.77%
4
90.39
2.21%
16.49
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
1 Dec 20235.29
10.25
93.76%
4
67.56
12.45%
54.93
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
19 Jun 20265.40
4.40
-18.52%
4
65.69
8.79%
44.27
GTN NYSE · Gray Television Inc
4 Jul 20254.60
4.11
-10.61%
6
75.65
1.02%
7.54
HELE NASDAQ · Helen of Troy Ltd
12 Jun 202629.86
28.14
-5.76%
5
71.41
5.26%
17.71
HLX NYSE · Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc
30 Jan 20267.94
8.54
7.56%
4
39.82
1.31%
3.94
HOFT NASDAQ · Hooker Furniture Corporation
9 Jan 202611.62
16.82
44.75%
5
47.27
2.40%
0.20
HQI NASDAQ · Hirequest Inc
20 Feb 202611.47
12.77
11.34%
4
45.12
1.66%
3.40
HTO NASDAQ · H2O America
13 Feb 202654.47
62.42
14.59%
4
86.34
0.66%
0.70
HURA NASDAQ · TuHURA Biosciences Inc
19 Jun 20262.57
2.44
-5.06%
7
44.88
0.52%
5.58
HVT NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.99
24.97
8.60%
4
48.06
1.04%
2.61
HVT-A NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.61
29.95
32.44%
4
39.34
0.79%
0.55
IART NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
26 Jun 202618.76
18.05
-3.78%
4
88.74
6.21%
25.99
IBTA NYSE · Ibotta, Inc.
29 May 202634.25
35.57
3.85%
6
49.47
0.47%
1.93
IEP NASDAQ · Icahn Enterprises LP
3 Apr 20267.25
7.24
-0.07%
5
21.07
0.07%
2.70
IFF NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
27 Mar 202670.64
83.83
18.67%
8
15.87
1.00%
1.68
IFRX NASDAQ · InflaRx N.V.
12 Jun 20261.60
2.24
40.00%
6
62.45
8.20%
10.39
IHS NYSE · IHS Holding Ltd
7 Feb 20253.79
8.22
116.89%
4
52.72
1.34%
8.33
IIPR NYSE · Innovative Industrial Properties Inc
8 May 202655.59
63.36
13.99%
5
51.06
1.20%
0.90
IMRX NASDAQ · Immuneering Corp
25 Jul 20254.06
5.19
27.83%
4
97.64
14.41%
81.13

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 361-390 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
24 Apr 2026
Entry
VFS NASDAQ · VinFast Auto Ltd. Ordinary Shares
4.36
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 37.42 · ROC 4.33% · RS 10.96
17 Apr 2026
Entry
AESI NYSE · Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
13.29
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 48.84 · ROC 1.80% · RS 2.59
17 Apr 2026
Exit
ANRO NYSE · Alto Neuroscience, Inc.
27.72
Reversal Risk Warning
302.32%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 6.89
17 Apr 2026
Entry
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
18.01
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.08 · ROC 6.92% · RS 37.06
17 Apr 2026
Exit
AVNS NYSE · Avanos Medical Inc
24.62
Reversal Risk Warning
65.23%
Entry 13 Feb 2026 14.90
17 Apr 2026
Entry
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
9.30
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 68.45 · ROC 1.11% · RS 2.62
17 Apr 2026
Exit
DLR NYSE · Digital Realty Trust Inc
202.29
Reversal Risk Warning
80.78%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 111.90
17 Apr 2026
Exit
EQIX NASDAQ · Equinix Inc
1083.37
Reversal Risk Warning
70.14%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 636.77
17 Apr 2026
Exit
IRD NASDAQ · Opus Genetics, Inc.
5.75
Reversal Risk Warning
352.76%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 1.27
17 Apr 2026
Entry
KRO NYSE · Kronos Worldwide Inc
6.27
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 74.90 · ROC 1.06% · RS 0.35
17 Apr 2026
Entry
LYB NYSE · LyondellBasell Industries NV
65.60
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 97.33 · ROC 5.97% · RS 12.09
17 Apr 2026
Exit
MNSB NASDAQ · Mainstreet Bank
24.14
Reversal Risk Warning
23.03%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 19.62
17 Apr 2026
Exit
NCSM NASDAQ · NCS Multistage Holdings Inc
75.33
Reversal Risk Warning
304.97%
Entry 10 May 2024 18.60
17 Apr 2026
Exit
NN NASDAQ · Nextnav Acquisition Corp
22.83
Reversal Risk Warning
470.75%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 4.00
17 Apr 2026
Exit
SATS NASDAQ · EchoStar Corporation
133.21
Reversal Risk Warning
620.44%
Entry 24 May 2024 18.49
17 Apr 2026
Entry
SM NYSE · SM Energy Co
25.79
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 58.09 · ROC 1.97% · RS 0.36
17 Apr 2026
Exit
SQM NYSE · Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA ADR B
87.81
Reversal Risk Warning
104.64%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 42.91
17 Apr 2026
Exit
SSSS NASDAQ · SuRo Capital Corp
12.93
Reversal Risk Warning
236.20%
Entry 20 Oct 2023 3.85
17 Apr 2026
Exit
SYPR NASDAQ · Sypris Solutions Inc
3.97
Reversal Risk Warning
105.70%
Entry 21 Feb 2025 1.93
17 Apr 2026
Exit
TSAT NASDAQ · Telesat Corp
51.80
Reversal Risk Warning
333.11%
Entry 20 Sep 2024 11.96
17 Apr 2026
Entry
TUSK NASDAQ · Mammoth Energy Services Inc
2.71
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 42.35 · ROC 1.69% · RS 2.67
17 Apr 2026
Exit
UI NYSE · Ubiquiti Networks Inc
1083.07
Reversal Risk Warning
568.27%
Entry 12 Jul 2024 162.07
17 Apr 2026
Exit
XPO NYSE · XPO Logistics Inc
225.02
Reversal Risk Warning
525.23%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 35.99
17 Apr 2026
Entry
ZD NASDAQ · Ziff Davis Inc
47.55
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 91.45 · ROC 2.32% · RS 20.55
10 Apr 2026
Entry
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
192.52
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 11.80 · ROC 4.45% · RS 14.01
10 Apr 2026
Exit
AMX NYSE · America Movil SAB de CV ADR
27.19
Reversal Risk Warning
65.37%
Entry 30 May 2025 16.44
10 Apr 2026
Entry
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
5.09
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 15.56 · ROC 3.98% · RS 16.03
10 Apr 2026
Exit
CBUS NASDAQ · Cibus Global LLC
1.51
20% entry drawdown
-27.40%
Entry 6 Feb 2026 2.08
10 Apr 2026
Exit
CENX NASDAQ · Century Aluminum Company
66.96
Reversal Risk Warning
478.24%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 11.58
10 Apr 2026
Exit
ECVT NYSE · Ecovyst Inc
13.93
Reversal Risk Warning
54.95%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 8.99