Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 91-120 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
FGBI NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
27 Mar 20268.12
10.00
23.12%
4
18.96
0.38%
2.78
FLG NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
14 Mar 202511.81
14.59
23.50%
4
52.26
1.89%
11.94
FLYW NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
26 Jun 202617.54
18.75
6.90%
6
43.44
1.89%
15.19
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.51
4.75%
4
56.21
4.79%
14.62
FOR NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
6 Mar 202625.96
30.80
18.64%
4
49.13
2.15%
1.10
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
12 Jun 202623.44
20.99
-10.45%
6
80.97
0.70%
1.12
GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
12 Jun 20262.52
2.62
3.97%
5
81.99
16.22%
55.51
GFR NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
6 Feb 20265.74
5.54
-3.48%
4
65.60
2.23%
5.39
GMAB NASDAQ · Genmab AS
29 Aug 202524.87
28.52
14.66%
6
64.19
1.67%
1.72
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
1 Aug 202511.27
9.59
-14.91%
7
98.00
4.60%
1.27
GPRE NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
5 Sep 202510.64
15.51
45.77%
4
90.39
2.21%
16.49
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
1 Dec 20235.29
10.25
93.76%
4
67.56
12.45%
54.93
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
19 Jun 20265.40
4.40
-18.52%
4
65.69
8.79%
44.27
GTN NYSE · Gray Television Inc
4 Jul 20254.60
4.11
-10.61%
6
75.65
1.02%
7.54
HELE NASDAQ · Helen of Troy Ltd
12 Jun 202629.86
28.14
-5.76%
5
71.41
5.26%
17.71
HLX NYSE · Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc
30 Jan 20267.94
8.54
7.56%
4
39.82
1.31%
3.94
HOFT NASDAQ · Hooker Furniture Corporation
9 Jan 202611.62
16.82
44.75%
5
47.27
2.40%
0.20
HQI NASDAQ · Hirequest Inc
20 Feb 202611.47
12.77
11.34%
4
45.12
1.66%
3.40
HTO NASDAQ · H2O America
13 Feb 202654.47
62.42
14.59%
4
86.34
0.66%
0.70
HURA NASDAQ · TuHURA Biosciences Inc
19 Jun 20262.57
2.44
-5.06%
7
44.88
0.52%
5.58
HVT NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.99
24.97
8.60%
4
48.06
1.04%
2.61
HVT-A NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.61
29.95
32.44%
4
39.34
0.79%
0.55
IART NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
26 Jun 202618.76
18.05
-3.78%
4
88.74
6.21%
25.99
IBTA NYSE · Ibotta, Inc.
29 May 202634.25
35.57
3.85%
6
49.47
0.47%
1.93
IEP NASDAQ · Icahn Enterprises LP
3 Apr 20267.25
7.24
-0.07%
5
21.07
0.07%
2.70
IFF NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
27 Mar 202670.64
83.83
18.67%
8
15.87
1.00%
1.68
IFRX NASDAQ · InflaRx N.V.
12 Jun 20261.60
2.24
40.00%
6
62.45
8.20%
10.39
IHS NYSE · IHS Holding Ltd
7 Feb 20253.79
8.22
116.89%
4
52.72
1.34%
8.33
IIPR NYSE · Innovative Industrial Properties Inc
8 May 202655.59
63.36
13.99%
5
51.06
1.20%
0.90
IMRX NASDAQ · Immuneering Corp
25 Jul 20254.06
5.19
27.83%
4
97.64
14.41%
81.13

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1501-1530 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
25 Jul 2025
Exit
HFFG NASDAQ · Hf Foods Group Inc
3.03
20% entry drawdown
-20.47%
Entry 30 May 2025 3.81
25 Jul 2025
Entry
IMRX NASDAQ · Immuneering Corp
4.06
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.64 · ROC 14.41% · RS 81.13
25 Jul 2025
Exit
LGCL NASDAQ · Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares
33.20
20% entry drawdown
-21.70%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 42.40
25 Jul 2025
Exit
LKQ NASDAQ · LKQ Corporation
30.88
20% entry drawdown
-22.88%
Entry 11 Apr 2025 40.04
25 Jul 2025
Entry
LPL NYSE · LG Display Co Ltd
3.83
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 46.76 · ROC 1.56% · RS 1.01
25 Jul 2025
Exit
NTRB NASDAQ · Nutriband Inc
8.53
Reversal Risk Warning
171.31%
Entry 19 Apr 2024 3.14
25 Jul 2025
Entry
PBT NYSE · Permian Basin Royalty Trust
12.79
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 47.53 · ROC 1.59% · RS 5.31
25 Jul 2025
Entry
PHIO NASDAQ · Phio Pharmaceuticals Corp
2.74
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 27.92 · ROC 0.96% · RS 3.90
25 Jul 2025
Entry
RCON NASDAQ · Recon Technology Ltd
2.65
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 46.70 · ROC 2.35% · RS 1.67
25 Jul 2025
Entry
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
15.02
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 98.79 · ROC 1.97% · RS 0.52
25 Jul 2025
Entry
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
1.79
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 69.31 · ROC 3.15% · RS 3.52
25 Jul 2025
Entry
SNES NASDAQ · SenesTech Inc
5.65
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 49.52 · ROC 9.07% · RS 63.07
25 Jul 2025
Entry
TPCS NASDAQ · TechPrecision Corporation Common stock
4.14
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 47.57 · ROC 0.01% · RS 10.89
25 Jul 2025
Entry
TTEC NASDAQ · TTEC Holdings Inc
5.26
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 47.43 · ROC 0.68% · RS 0.91
25 Jul 2025
Entry
VC NASDAQ · Visteon Corp
111.96
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.88 · ROC 3.00% · RS 11.42
25 Jul 2025
Exit
WDH NYSE · Waterdrop Inc ADR
1.97
Reversal Risk Warning
54.76%
Entry 14 Feb 2025 1.27
25 Jul 2025
Entry
WDS NYSE · Woodside Energy Group Ltd
16.20
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 38.70 · ROC 1.48% · RS 3.01
18 Jul 2025
Entry
AGCO NYSE · AGCO Corporation
105.95
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 46.16 · ROC 1.53% · RS 2.19
18 Jul 2025
Entry
ANIX NASDAQ · Anixa Biosciences Inc
3.44
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 54.02 · ROC 1.19% · RS 1.41
18 Jul 2025
Entry
APYX NASDAQ · Apyx Medical Inc
2.26
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.21 · ROC 5.53% · RS 42.21
18 Jul 2025
Exit
ATYR NASDAQ · aTyr Pharma, Inc.
5.99
Reversal Risk Warning
168.61%
Entry 11 Oct 2024 2.23
18 Jul 2025
Entry
DINO NYSE · HF Sinclair Corp
42.39
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.09 · ROC 2.69% · RS 5.31
18 Jul 2025
Exit
FNGR NASDAQ · FingerMotion Inc
1.63
20% entry drawdown
-33.20%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 2.44
18 Jul 2025
Exit
IH NYSE · Ihuman Inc
2.99
Reversal Risk Warning
69.48%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 1.77
18 Jul 2025
Entry
IMCC NASDAQ · Im Cannabis Corp
3.42
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 39.65 · ROC 1.02% · RS 27.81
18 Jul 2025
Entry
IMCR NASDAQ · Immunocore Holdings Ltd
36.31
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 19.45 · ROC 1.53% · RS 0.28
18 Jul 2025
Exit
JOBY NYSE · Joby Aviation
17.78
Reversal Risk Warning
231.72%
Entry 26 May 2023 5.36
18 Jul 2025
Entry
LGCL NASDAQ · Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares
42.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 22.52 · ROC 12.67% · RS 6.26
18 Jul 2025
Exit
MPT NYSE · Medical Properties Trust, Inc.
3.80
20% entry drawdown
-20.73%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 4.79
18 Jul 2025
Entry
MTW NYSE · Manitowoc Company Inc
12.31
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 86.13 · ROC 3.84% · RS 12.50