Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.05
Total Return
337.05%
CAGR
52.28% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.83%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4971 Avg 1417.3/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2344 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.5% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 91-120 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
FGBI NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
27 Mar 20268.12
9.94
22.38%
4
18.96
0.38%
2.78
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
10 Jul 202625.42
25.42
New Entry week
6
41.93
1.63%
2.87
FLG NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
14 Mar 202511.81
15.09
27.73%
4
52.26
1.89%
11.94
FLYW NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
26 Jun 202617.54
17.62
0.46%
6
43.44
1.89%
15.19
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.58
6.08%
4
56.21
4.79%
14.62
FOR NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
6 Mar 202625.96
30.51
17.53%
4
49.13
2.15%
1.10
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
12 Jun 202623.44
19.46
-16.98%
6
80.97
0.70%
1.12
GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
12 Jun 20262.52
2.46
-2.38%
5
81.99
16.22%
55.51
GFR NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
6 Feb 20265.74
5.57
-2.96%
4
65.60
2.23%
5.39
GMAB NASDAQ · Genmab AS
29 Aug 202524.87
29.00
16.61%
6
64.19
1.67%
1.72
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
1 Aug 202511.27
9.66
-14.29%
7
98.00
4.60%
1.27
GPRE NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
5 Sep 202510.64
16.89
58.74%
4
90.39
2.21%
16.49
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
1 Dec 20235.29
10.25
93.76%
4
67.56
12.45%
54.93
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
19 Jun 20265.40
4.50
-16.67%
4
65.78
8.79%
44.27
GTN NYSE · Gray Television Inc
4 Jul 20254.60
3.78
-17.79%
6
75.65
1.02%
7.54
HELE NASDAQ · Helen of Troy Ltd
12 Jun 202629.86
26.34
-11.79%
5
72.22
5.26%
17.71
HLX NYSE · Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc
30 Jan 20267.94
9.22
16.12%
4
39.82
1.31%
3.94
HOFT NASDAQ · Hooker Furniture Corporation
9 Jan 202611.62
14.99
29.00%
5
47.27
2.40%
0.20
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
10 Jul 202615.18
15.18
New Entry week
4
83.69
3.64%
4.60
HQI NASDAQ · Hirequest Inc
20 Feb 202611.47
12.41
8.20%
4
45.12
1.66%
3.40
HTO NASDAQ · H2O America
13 Feb 202654.47
61.47
12.85%
4
86.34
0.66%
0.70
HURA NASDAQ · TuHURA Biosciences Inc
19 Jun 20262.57
2.39
-7.00%
7
44.88
0.52%
5.58
HVT NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.99
25.10
9.17%
4
48.06
1.04%
2.61
HVT-A NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.61
28.60
26.47%
4
39.34
0.79%
0.55
IART NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
26 Jun 202618.76
18.79
0.16%
4
96.31
6.21%
25.99
IBTA NYSE · Ibotta, Inc.
29 May 202634.25
30.86
-9.90%
6
49.47
0.47%
1.93
IEP NASDAQ · Icahn Enterprises LP
3 Apr 20267.25
7.49
3.38%
5
21.07
0.07%
2.70
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
10 Jul 20261.21
1.21
New Entry week
4
0.63
1.78%
2.44
IFF NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
27 Mar 202670.64
77.53
9.75%
8
15.87
1.00%
1.68
IFRX NASDAQ · InflaRx N.V.
12 Jun 20261.60
2.05
28.13%
6
62.45
8.20%
10.39

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1561-1590 of 4971
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
11 Jul 2025
Entry
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
12.15
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 46.06 · ROC 5.62% · RS 23.29
11 Jul 2025
Exit
CNVS NASDAQ · Cineverse Corp.
6.80
Reversal Risk Warning
149.08%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 2.73
11 Jul 2025
Entry
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
2.88
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.03 · ROC 3.64% · RS 6.61
11 Jul 2025
Entry
FIVE NASDAQ · Five Below Inc
129.46
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 92.58 · ROC 4.34% · RS 26.69
11 Jul 2025
Exit
IPHA NASDAQ · Innate Pharma
1.74
20% entry drawdown
-20.40%
Entry 30 May 2025 2.19
11 Jul 2025
Entry
LKFT NASDAQ · Lakefront Biotherapeutics NV
30.30
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 54.25 · ROC 0.76% · RS 0.66
11 Jul 2025
Entry
MARPS NASDAQ · Marine Petroleum Trust
4.26
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 69.81 · ROC 3.71% · RS 6.00
11 Jul 2025
Entry
MNSB NASDAQ · Mainstreet Bank
19.62
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 47.36 · ROC 0.41% · RS 1.47
11 Jul 2025
Entry
NVNO NASDAQ · enVVeno Medical Corp
146.30
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 76.28 · ROC 4.00% · RS 1.28
11 Jul 2025
Exit
NYC NYSE · New York City REIT Inc
15.94
Reversal Risk Warning
58.76%
Entry 5 Jul 2024 10.04
11 Jul 2025
Entry
PKX NYSE · POSCO Holdings Inc
57.27
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 59.91 · ROC 1.08% · RS 2.49
11 Jul 2025
Exit
RMNI NASDAQ · Rimini Street Inc
5.24
Reversal Risk Warning
53.22%
Entry 14 Feb 2025 3.42
11 Jul 2025
Entry
SKLZ NYSE · Skillz Platform Inc
6.82
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 64.53 · ROC 3.40% · RS 10.30
11 Jul 2025
Entry
SPWH NASDAQ · Sportsmans
3.43
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.93 · ROC 9.06% · RS 36.14
11 Jul 2025
Entry
STM NYSE · STMicroelectronics NV ADR
31.97
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.37 · ROC 2.96% · RS 11.68
11 Jul 2025
Entry
TCX NASDAQ · Tucows Inc.
22.75
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 89.45 · ROC 2.66% · RS 8.10
11 Jul 2025
Entry
TWI NYSE · Titan International Inc
10.22
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 64.49 · ROC 4.67% · RS 18.94
4 Jul 2025
Entry
ADCT NYSE · ADC Therapeutics SA
2.85
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 74.13 · ROC 3.47% · RS 8.74
4 Jul 2025
Entry
AGEN NASDAQ · Agenus Inc
6.07
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 98.70 · ROC 8.03% · RS 30.86
4 Jul 2025
Entry
AIIO NASDAQ · Robo.ai Inc.
32.00
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 56.68 · ROC 8.55% · RS 53.77
4 Jul 2025
Entry
AMLX NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
6.30
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 47.68 · ROC 1.96% · RS 41.91
4 Jul 2025
Entry
AYTU NASDAQ · Aytu BioScience Inc
2.39
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 61.25 · ROC 4.49% · RS 14.52
4 Jul 2025
Entry
CSTM NYSE · Constellium Nv
14.56
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 84.85 · ROC 2.10% · RS 4.91
4 Jul 2025
Entry
GTN NYSE · Gray Television Inc
4.60
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 75.65 · ROC 1.02% · RS 7.54
4 Jul 2025
Entry
HLF NYSE · Herbalife Nutrition Ltd
9.98
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 78.75 · ROC 1.17% · RS 16.99
4 Jul 2025
Exit
ICL NYSE · ICL Israel Chemicals Ltd
7.12
Reversal Risk Warning
46.29%
Entry 3 Jan 2025 4.87
4 Jul 2025
Exit
MOS NYSE · The Mosaic Company
36.03
Reversal Risk Warning
6.49%
Entry 16 May 2025 33.83
4 Jul 2025
Entry
NUS NYSE · Nu Skin Enterprises Inc
8.67
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 62.88 · ROC 1.54% · RS 8.96
4 Jul 2025
Entry
OM NASDAQ · Outset Medical Inc
20.90
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 49.44 · ROC 5.54% · RS 12.50
4 Jul 2025
Exit
PRA NYSE · ProAssurance Corporation
23.63
Reversal Risk Warning
39.08%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 16.99