Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.05
Total Return
337.05%
CAGR
52.28% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.83%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4971 Avg 1417.3/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2344 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.5% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 91-120 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
FGBI NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
27 Mar 20268.12
9.94
22.38%
4
18.96
0.38%
2.78
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
10 Jul 202625.42
25.42
New Entry week
6
41.93
1.63%
2.87
FLG NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
14 Mar 202511.81
15.09
27.73%
4
52.26
1.89%
11.94
FLYW NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
26 Jun 202617.54
17.62
0.46%
6
43.44
1.89%
15.19
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.58
6.08%
4
56.21
4.79%
14.62
FOR NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
6 Mar 202625.96
30.51
17.53%
4
49.13
2.15%
1.10
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
12 Jun 202623.44
19.46
-16.98%
6
80.97
0.70%
1.12
GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
12 Jun 20262.52
2.46
-2.38%
5
81.99
16.22%
55.51
GFR NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
6 Feb 20265.74
5.57
-2.96%
4
65.60
2.23%
5.39
GMAB NASDAQ · Genmab AS
29 Aug 202524.87
29.00
16.61%
6
64.19
1.67%
1.72
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
1 Aug 202511.27
9.66
-14.29%
7
98.00
4.60%
1.27
GPRE NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
5 Sep 202510.64
16.89
58.74%
4
90.39
2.21%
16.49
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
1 Dec 20235.29
10.25
93.76%
4
67.56
12.45%
54.93
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
19 Jun 20265.40
4.50
-16.67%
4
65.78
8.79%
44.27
GTN NYSE · Gray Television Inc
4 Jul 20254.60
3.78
-17.79%
6
75.65
1.02%
7.54
HELE NASDAQ · Helen of Troy Ltd
12 Jun 202629.86
26.34
-11.79%
5
72.22
5.26%
17.71
HLX NYSE · Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc
30 Jan 20267.94
9.22
16.12%
4
39.82
1.31%
3.94
HOFT NASDAQ · Hooker Furniture Corporation
9 Jan 202611.62
14.99
29.00%
5
47.27
2.40%
0.20
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
10 Jul 202615.18
15.18
New Entry week
4
83.69
3.64%
4.60
HQI NASDAQ · Hirequest Inc
20 Feb 202611.47
12.41
8.20%
4
45.12
1.66%
3.40
HTO NASDAQ · H2O America
13 Feb 202654.47
61.47
12.85%
4
86.34
0.66%
0.70
HURA NASDAQ · TuHURA Biosciences Inc
19 Jun 20262.57
2.39
-7.00%
7
44.88
0.52%
5.58
HVT NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.99
25.10
9.17%
4
48.06
1.04%
2.61
HVT-A NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.61
28.60
26.47%
4
39.34
0.79%
0.55
IART NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
26 Jun 202618.76
18.79
0.16%
4
96.31
6.21%
25.99
IBTA NYSE · Ibotta, Inc.
29 May 202634.25
30.86
-9.90%
6
49.47
0.47%
1.93
IEP NASDAQ · Icahn Enterprises LP
3 Apr 20267.25
7.49
3.38%
5
21.07
0.07%
2.70
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
10 Jul 20261.21
1.21
New Entry week
4
0.63
1.78%
2.44
IFF NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
27 Mar 202670.64
77.53
9.75%
8
15.87
1.00%
1.68
IFRX NASDAQ · InflaRx N.V.
12 Jun 20261.60
2.05
28.13%
6
62.45
8.20%
10.39

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1741-1770 of 4971
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
2 May 2025
Exit
SOGP NASDAQ · Sound Group Inc.
1.19
20% entry drawdown
-41.18%
Entry 14 Mar 2025 2.02
2 May 2025
Exit
SQM NYSE · Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA ADR B
33.57
20% entry drawdown
-21.04%
Entry 14 Mar 2025 42.51
2 May 2025
Entry
TCI NYSE · Transcontinental Realty Investors
29.18
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 1.91 · ROC 0.13% · RS 1.69
25 Apr 2025
Exit
ADAG NASDAQ · Adagene Inc
1.42
20% entry drawdown
-24.47%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 1.88
25 Apr 2025
Entry
FWDI NASDAQ · Forward Industries, Inc.
5.66
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 46.97 · ROC 6.22% · RS 26.07
25 Apr 2025
Entry
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
8.66
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 69.36 · ROC 1.11% · RS 13.17
25 Apr 2025
Exit
PTLO NASDAQ · Portillo's Inc
10.73
20% entry drawdown
-22.97%
Entry 7 Mar 2025 13.93
25 Apr 2025
Exit
REBN NASDAQ · Reborn Coffee Inc
2.68
20% entry drawdown
-28.53%
Entry 28 Mar 2025 3.75
25 Apr 2025
Entry
VALN NASDAQ · Valneva SE ADR
7.03
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 32.16 · ROC 0.36% · RS 11.50
25 Apr 2025
Entry
YHGJ NASDAQ · Yunhong Green CTI Ltd.
9.70
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 86.71 · ROC 1.48% · RS 11.34
25 Apr 2025
Exit
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
7.70
20% entry drawdown
-32.10%
Entry 7 Feb 2025 11.34
18 Apr 2025
Entry
ABVC NASDAQ · ABVC Biopharma Inc
0.86
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 65.71 · ROC 3.66% · RS 30.91
18 Apr 2025
Exit
AGL NYSE · agilon health Inc
100.00
20% entry drawdown
-29.58%
Entry 11 Apr 2025 142.00
18 Apr 2025
Exit
AIP NASDAQ · Arteris Inc
5.82
20% entry drawdown
-20.49%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 7.32
18 Apr 2025
Entry
BRTX NASDAQ · BioRestorative Therapies Inc
1.75
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 0.76 · ROC 0.52% · RS 14.79
18 Apr 2025
Entry
EQNR NYSE · Equinor ASA ADR
21.76
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 14.24 · ROC 0.01% · RS 2.45
18 Apr 2025
Exit
INKT NASDAQ · Mink Therapeutics Inc
7.25
20% entry drawdown
-20.33%
Entry 21 Mar 2025 9.10
18 Apr 2025
Entry
KORE NYSE · KORE Group Holdings Inc
2.42
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 7.04 · ROC 0.00% · RS 3.91
18 Apr 2025
Exit
LU NYSE · Lufax Holding Ltd
2.36
20% entry drawdown
-20.27%
Entry 28 Mar 2025 2.96
18 Apr 2025
Exit
LUV NYSE · Southwest Airlines Company
24.14
20% entry drawdown
-23.25%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 31.46
18 Apr 2025
Entry
PGNY NASDAQ · Progyny Inc
21.44
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 46.57 · ROC 0.15% · RS 5.50
18 Apr 2025
Entry
VIVO NASDAQ · VivoPower PLC
2.54
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 91.92 · ROC 17.63% · RS 49.42
11 Apr 2025
Exit
ADAM NASDAQ · New York Mortgage Trust, Inc.
3.64
20% entry drawdown
-21.70%
Entry 7 Mar 2025 4.65
11 Apr 2025
Entry
AGL NYSE · agilon health Inc
142.00
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 85.16 · ROC 3.55% · RS 41.08
11 Apr 2025
Exit
BRSP NYSE · Brightspire Capital Inc
3.83
20% entry drawdown
-22.12%
Entry 28 Mar 2025 4.91
11 Apr 2025
Exit
CCSI NASDAQ · Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc
19.17
20% entry drawdown
-20.42%
Entry 30 Aug 2024 24.09
11 Apr 2025
Exit
CHMI NYSE · Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corp
2.07
20% entry drawdown
-25.24%
Entry 28 Mar 2025 2.77
11 Apr 2025
Entry
ELVA NASDAQ · Electrovaya Inc.
2.48
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 5.66 · ROC 2.42% · RS 5.53
11 Apr 2025
Exit
FET NYSE · Forum Energy Technologies Inc
14.16
20% entry drawdown
-25.71%
Entry 14 Mar 2025 19.06
11 Apr 2025
Exit
IBIO NASDAQ · iBio, Inc. Common Stock
1.20
20% entry drawdown
-47.37%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 2.28