Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 301-330 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
EDU NYSE · New Oriental Education & Technology
16 May 202547.52
49.15
3.43%
Buy
0.21
-
-
EEFT NASDAQ · Euronet Worldwide Inc
20 Feb 202672.50
81.34
12.19%
Buy
0.39
-
-
EEX NYSE · Emerald Expositions Events Inc
9 Jan 20264.73
5.04
6.54%
Buy
0.17
-
-
EGHT NASDAQ · 8x8 Inc Common Stock
27 Jun 20251.86
1.88
1.08%
Buy
0.09
-
-
EIC NYSE · Eagle Point Income Company Inc
1 May 20269.80
9.89
0.92%
Buy
0.09
-
-
EL NYSE · Estee Lauder Companies Inc
30 May 202565.96
82.13
24.51%
Buy
0.12
-
-
ELDN NASDAQ · Eledon Pharmaceuticals Inc
20 Feb 20262.19
4.07
85.84%
Buy
0.16
-
-
ELF NYSE · ELF Beauty Inc
26 Jun 202667.43
73.69
9.28%
Buy
0.13
-
-
ELS NYSE · Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc
19 Sep 202559.02
65.75
11.40%
Buy
0.25
-
-
ELUT NASDAQ · Elutia Inc.
9 Jan 20260.72
0.95
31.40%
Buy
0.29
-
-
ELV NYSE · Elevance Health Inc
3 Oct 2025345.12
373.11
8.11%
Buy
0.10
-
-
EMIS NASDAQ · Emisphere Technologies Inc
29 May 202610.13
10.18
0.49%
Buy
0.80
-
-
EMN NYSE · Eastman Chemical Company
14 Nov 202558.11
68.60
18.06%
Buy
0.09
-
-
ENGS NASDAQ · Energys Group Limited Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20262.55
2.57
0.78%
Buy
2.08
-
-
ENOV NYSE · Enovis Corp
24 Apr 202624.10
27.07
12.32%
Buy
0.36
-
-
ENR NYSE · Energizer Holdings Inc
12 Jun 202620.25
20.23
-0.10%
Buy
0.26
-
-
ENTA NASDAQ · Enanta Pharmaceuticals Inc
6 Jun 20257.47
13.74
83.94%
Buy
0.43
-
-
EOLS NASDAQ · Evolus Inc
24 Apr 20265.30
5.73
8.11%
Buy
0.10
-
-
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
16 Jan 202618.41
29.66
61.10%
Buy
0.23
-
-
EPSN NASDAQ · Epsilon Energy Ltd
30 Jan 20264.88
5.52
13.18%
Buy
0.48
-
-
ERIE NASDAQ · Erie Indemnity Company
3 Jul 2026257.78
227.31
-11.82%
Buy
0.77
-
-
ESBA NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP ES
3 Jul 20265.64
5.45
-3.37%
Buy
0.68
-
-
ESRT NYSE · Empire State Realty Trust Inc
22 May 20265.54
5.77
4.09%
Buy
0.26
-
-
ESTC NYSE · Elastic NV
22 May 202654.81
61.59
12.37%
Buy
0.08
-
-
ETD NYSE · Ethan Allen Interiors Inc
19 Jun 202621.17
22.78
7.61%
Buy
0.25
-
-
ETSY NYSE · Etsy, Inc.
30 May 202555.35
84.10
51.94%
Buy
0.17
-
-
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
12 Jun 20264.80
5.81
21.04%
Buy
1.29
-
-
EVTC NYSE · Evertec Inc
3 Jul 202629.63
30.27
2.16%
Buy
0.27
-
-
EXFY NASDAQ · Expensify Inc
19 Jun 20261.56
1.83
17.31%
Buy
1.20
-
-
EXLS NASDAQ · ExlService Holdings Inc
22 May 202629.51
28.16
-4.57%
Buy
0.35
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4111-4140 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
29 Aug 2025
Entry
IVVD NASDAQ · Invivyd Inc.
0.97
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
29 Aug 2025
Entry
KYNB NASDAQ · Kyntra Bio, Inc.
11.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.39
29 Aug 2025
Exit
LASE NASDAQ · Laser Photonics Corporation Common Stock
4.02
20% entry drawdown
-20.71%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 5.07
29 Aug 2025
Entry
LFST NASDAQ · Lifestance Health Group Inc
5.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.36
29 Aug 2025
Entry
LWLG NASDAQ · Lightwave Logic Inc
3.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.56
29 Aug 2025
Entry
NEO NASDAQ · NeoGenomics Inc
8.78
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.47
29 Aug 2025
Exit
NEU NYSE · NewMarket Corporation
813.86
Reversal Risk Warning
66.69%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 488.23
29 Aug 2025
Exit
NOTV NASDAQ · Inotiv Inc
1.69
20% entry drawdown
-23.87%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 2.22
29 Aug 2025
Entry
OMH NASDAQ · Ohmyhome Limited Ordinary Shares
1.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
29 Aug 2025
Exit
PAXS NYSE · PIMCO Access Income Fund
14.58
Reversal Risk Warning
39.80%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 10.43
29 Aug 2025
Entry
PCG NYSE · PG&E Corp
15.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
29 Aug 2025
Exit
RM NYSE · Regional Management Corp
42.75
Reversal Risk Warning
85.49%
Entry 19 Jan 2024 23.05
29 Aug 2025
Entry
RMTI NASDAQ · Rockwell Medical Inc
17.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.08
29 Aug 2025
Exit
ROMA NASDAQ · Roma Green Finance Limited Ordinary Shares
2.22
20% entry drawdown
-27.92%
Entry 30 May 2025 3.08
29 Aug 2025
Exit
SJ NASDAQ · Scienjoy Holding Corp
0.64
20% entry drawdown
-30.12%
Entry 2 May 2025 0.92
29 Aug 2025
Exit
SNDL NASDAQ · SNDL Inc.
2.68
Reversal Risk Warning
74.03%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 1.54
29 Aug 2025
Exit
TBBK NASDAQ · The Bancorp Inc
76.24
Reversal Risk Warning
114.82%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 35.49
29 Aug 2025
Exit
TELO NASDAQ · Telomir Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Common Stock
1.32
20% entry drawdown
-25.00%
Entry 1 Aug 2025 1.76
29 Aug 2025
Entry
TROO NASDAQ · TROOPS Inc
1.02
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.40
29 Aug 2025
Entry
UNH NYSE · UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
301.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
29 Aug 2025
Exit
WYNN NASDAQ · Wynn Resorts Limited
125.86
Reversal Risk Warning
31.30%
Entry 16 May 2025 95.86
29 Aug 2025
Exit
YI NASDAQ · 111 Inc
6.43
20% entry drawdown
-23.09%
Entry 21 Feb 2025 8.36
22 Aug 2025
Exit
AAME NASDAQ · Atlantic American Corporation
3.28
Reversal Risk Warning
99.32%
Entry 6 Sep 2024 1.65
22 Aug 2025
Entry
AFRI NASDAQ · Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares
9.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.71
22 Aug 2025
Exit
AIIO NASDAQ · Robo.ai Inc.
22.20
20% entry drawdown
-21.28%
Entry 1 Aug 2025 28.20
22 Aug 2025
Exit
ALLE NYSE · Allegion PLC
169.85
Reversal Risk Warning
60.26%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 105.98
22 Aug 2025
Exit
AN NYSE · AutoNation Inc
218.80
Reversal Risk Warning
56.05%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 140.21
22 Aug 2025
Exit
AORT NYSE · Artivion Inc
44.83
Reversal Risk Warning
148.09%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 18.07
22 Aug 2025
Exit
AS NYSE · Amer Sports, Inc.
41.48
Reversal Risk Warning
185.87%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 14.51
22 Aug 2025
Entry
ASC NYSE · Ardmore Shpng
10.96
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.96