Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 361-390 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
FND NYSE · Floor & Decor Holdings Inc
26 Jun 202659.61
56.79
-4.73%
Buy
0.33
-
-
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.82
10.65%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FNWB NASDAQ · First Northwest Bancorp
3 Oct 20257.90
12.17
54.05%
Buy
0.41
-
-
FOR NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
4 Jul 202521.73
29.90
37.60%
Buy
0.70
-
-
FOUR NYSE · Shift4 Payments Inc
3 Jul 202651.35
50.31
-2.03%
Buy
0.87
-
-
FRMI NASDAQ · Fermi Inc.
15 May 20266.51
6.05
-7.07%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FRPH NASDAQ · Frp Holdings Ord
5 Jun 202623.54
24.03
2.08%
Buy
0.36
-
-
FRSH NASDAQ · Freshworks Inc
29 May 20269.71
10.89
12.15%
Buy
0.99
-
-
FSK NYSE · FS KKR Capital Corp
8 May 202610.41
10.93
4.97%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FSV NASDAQ · FirstService Corp
12 Jun 2026143.05
148.46
3.78%
Buy
0.18
-
-
FTRE NASDAQ · Fortrea Holdings Inc.
15 Aug 20258.04
17.76
120.90%
Buy
0.90
-
-
FUL NYSE · H B Fuller Company
12 Jun 202663.63
56.96
-10.48%
Buy
0.17
-
-
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
10 Apr 202619.94
17.53
-12.09%
Buy
0.73
-
-
FVN NASDAQ · Future Vision II Acquisition Corporation Ordinary shares
29 Aug 202510.48
10.93
4.31%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FWRG NASDAQ · First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
19 Jun 202611.81
12.45
5.42%
Buy
0.08
-
-
GANX NASDAQ · Gain Therapeutics Inc
13 Sep 20241.47
1.71
16.72%
Buy
0.13
-
-
GBLI NASDAQ · Global Indemnity Group, LLC Class A Common Stock
9 Jan 202627.90
27.38
-1.88%
Buy
0.01
-
-
GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
1 May 20261.59
2.10
32.08%
Buy
1.17
-
-
GDDY NYSE · Godaddy Inc
26 Jun 202684.55
94.35
11.59%
Buy
0.66
-
-
GDOT NYSE · Green Dot Corporation
9 May 202510.94
13.40
22.49%
Buy
0.16
-
-
GDRX NASDAQ · Goodrx Holdings Inc
1 May 20262.55
3.14
23.14%
Buy
0.65
-
-
GDTC NASDAQ · CytoMed Therapeutics Limited Ordinary Shares
15 May 20261.16
1.00
-13.79%
Buy
0.39
-
-
GECC NASDAQ · Great Elm Capital Corp
8 May 20265.60
5.34
-4.63%
Buy
0.00
-
-
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
4 Jul 202575.93
63.07
-16.94%
Buy
0.18
-
-
GELS NASDAQ · Gelteq Limited Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20260.62
0.61
-2.24%
Buy
0.25
-
-
GEMI NASDAQ · Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1 May 20264.72
4.19
-11.23%
Buy
0.07
-
-
GENI NYSE · Genius Sports Ltd
22 May 20265.35
6.30
17.76%
Buy
0.04
-
-
GFR NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
22 Aug 20254.85
6.35
30.93%
Buy
0.48
-
-
GGRP NASDAQ · The Glimpse Group, Inc.
19 Jun 20260.83
0.79
-5.49%
Buy
0.96
-
-
GHI NYSE · Greystone Housing Impact Investors LP
3 Jul 20265.96
5.23
-12.25%
Buy
0.27
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4081-4110 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
5 Sep 2025
Entry
SLVM NYSE · Sylvamo Corp
44.03
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
5 Sep 2025
Exit
SOGP NASDAQ · Sound Group Inc.
26.88
Reversal Risk Warning
608.37%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 3.79
5 Sep 2025
Entry
STRS NASDAQ · Stratus Properties Inc
19.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
5 Sep 2025
Exit
TREE NASDAQ · Lendingtree Inc
71.81
Reversal Risk Warning
342.45%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 16.23
5 Sep 2025
Entry
UONEK NASDAQ · Urban One Inc Class D
9.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.24
5 Sep 2025
Entry
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.71
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.63
5 Sep 2025
Entry
WU NYSE · Western Union Co
7.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.28
5 Sep 2025
Entry
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
5 Sep 2025
Exit
ZEPP NYSE · Zepp Health Corp
49.98
Reversal Risk Warning
384.30%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 10.32
29 Aug 2025
Exit
AFRM NASDAQ · Affirm Holdings Inc
88.46
Reversal Risk Warning
101.00%
Entry 30 Aug 2024 44.01
29 Aug 2025
Exit
ANIP NASDAQ · ANI Pharmaceuticals Inc
93.50
Reversal Risk Warning
58.13%
Entry 23 Feb 2024 59.13
29 Aug 2025
Exit
ANNX NASDAQ · Annexon Inc
2.06
20% entry drawdown
-20.77%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 2.60
29 Aug 2025
Entry
AQB NASDAQ · AquaBounty Technologies Inc
1.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.30
29 Aug 2025
Entry
ARTV NASDAQ · Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
3.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.17
29 Aug 2025
Entry
BLNK NASDAQ · Blink Charging Co
1.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.11
29 Aug 2025
Exit
BWMN NASDAQ · Bowman Consulting Group Ltd
42.73
Reversal Risk Warning
71.81%
Entry 9 May 2025 24.87
29 Aug 2025
Exit
BZ NASDAQ · Kanzhun Ltd ADR
23.46
Reversal Risk Warning
74.96%
Entry 29 Nov 2024 13.41
29 Aug 2025
Exit
CCB NASDAQ · Coastal Financial Corp
114.50
Reversal Risk Warning
139.44%
Entry 12 Jul 2024 47.82
29 Aug 2025
Entry
DAVA NYSE · Endava Ltd
14.68
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
29 Aug 2025
Entry
DYAI NASDAQ · Dyadic International Inc
0.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
29 Aug 2025
Entry
ECO NYSE · Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp.
25.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.71
29 Aug 2025
Entry
FBGL NASDAQ · FBS Global Limited Ordinary Shares
0.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.46
29 Aug 2025
Exit
FSHP NASDAQ · Flag Ship Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
10.56
Reversal Risk Warning
0.57%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 10.50
29 Aug 2025
Entry
FVN NASDAQ · Future Vision II Acquisition Corporation Ordinary shares
10.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.34
29 Aug 2025
Exit
GWH NYSE · ESS Tech Inc
1.45
20% entry drawdown
-25.26%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 1.94
29 Aug 2025
Exit
HITI NASDAQ · High Tide Inc
3.60
Reversal Risk Warning
103.11%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 1.77
29 Aug 2025
Entry
HL NYSE · Hecla Mining Company
8.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.85
29 Aug 2025
Exit
HLI NYSE · Houlihan Lokey Inc
196.26
Reversal Risk Warning
87.12%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 104.88
29 Aug 2025
Entry
INTG NASDAQ · The Intergroup Corporation
16.61
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.33
29 Aug 2025
Entry
IPDN NASDAQ · Professional Diversity Network Inc
6.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.24