View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 361-390 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
FNWB NASDAQ · First Northwest Bancorp
3 Oct 20257.90
11.95
51.27%
Buy
0.41
-
-
FOR NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
4 Jul 202521.73
28.32
30.33%
Buy
0.70
-
-
FOUR NYSE · Shift4 Payments Inc
3 Jul 202651.35
48.35
-5.84%
Buy
0.87
-
-
FRMI NASDAQ · Fermi Inc.
15 May 20266.51
7.40
13.67%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FRPH NASDAQ · Frp Holdings Ord
5 Jun 202623.54
23.42
-0.51%
Buy
0.36
-
-
FRSH NASDAQ · Freshworks Inc
29 May 20269.71
10.27
5.77%
Buy
0.99
-
-
FSK NYSE · FS KKR Capital Corp
8 May 202610.41
10.63
2.09%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FSV NASDAQ · FirstService Corp
12 Jun 2026143.05
137.46
-3.91%
Buy
0.18
-
-
FTRE NASDAQ · Fortrea Holdings Inc.
15 Aug 20258.04
19.52
142.79%
Buy
0.90
-
-
FUL NYSE · H B Fuller Company
12 Jun 202663.63
55.70
-12.46%
Buy
0.17
-
-
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
10 Apr 202619.94
17.37
-12.89%
Buy
0.73
-
-
FVN NASDAQ · Future Vision II Acquisition Corporation Ordinary shares
29 Aug 202510.48
11.00
4.97%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FWRG NASDAQ · First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
19 Jun 202611.81
12.12
2.62%
Buy
0.08
-
-
GANX NASDAQ · Gain Therapeutics Inc
13 Sep 20241.47
1.75
19.45%
Buy
0.13
-
-
GBLI NASDAQ · Global Indemnity Group, LLC Class A Common Stock
9 Jan 202627.90
27.00
-3.24%
Buy
0.01
-
-
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
24 Jul 20260.51
0.51
New Entry week
Buy
0.67
-
-
GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
1 May 20261.59
1.95
22.64%
Buy
1.17
-
-
GDDY NYSE · Godaddy Inc
26 Jun 202684.55
93.16
10.18%
Buy
0.67
-
-
GDOT NYSE · Green Dot Corporation
9 May 202510.94
13.28
21.39%
Buy
0.16
-
-
GDRX NASDAQ · Goodrx Holdings Inc
1 May 20262.55
2.96
16.08%
Buy
0.65
-
-
GDTC NASDAQ · CytoMed Therapeutics Limited Ordinary Shares
15 May 20261.16
0.99
-14.66%
Buy
0.39
-
-
GECC NASDAQ · Great Elm Capital Corp
8 May 20265.60
5.22
-6.78%
Buy
0.00
-
-
GELS NASDAQ · Gelteq Limited Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20260.62
0.70
13.03%
Buy
0.27
-
-
GEMI NASDAQ · Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1 May 20264.72
4.29
-9.11%
Buy
0.07
-
-
GENI NYSE · Genius Sports Ltd
22 May 20265.35
6.48
21.12%
Buy
0.04
-
-
GFR NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
22 Aug 20254.85
6.51
34.23%
Buy
0.48
-
-
GGRP NASDAQ · The Glimpse Group, Inc.
3 Jul 20260.82
0.88
6.22%
Buy
0.91
-
-
GHI NYSE · Greystone Housing Impact Investors LP
3 Jul 20265.96
5.12
-14.09%
Buy
0.27
-
-
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
10 Jul 202667.06
66.43
-0.94%
Buy
0.07
-
-
GIC NYSE · Global Industrial Co
2 May 202524.76
35.12
41.86%
Buy
0.64
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 7531-7560 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
16 Aug 2024
Exit
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.12
20% entry drawdown
-44.83%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 2.03
16 Aug 2024
Exit
TMDX NASDAQ · TransMedics Group Inc
170.28
Reversal Risk Warning
128.07%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 74.66
16 Aug 2024
Entry
ULTA NASDAQ · Ulta Beauty Inc
377.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.00
16 Aug 2024
Exit
UMH NYSE · UMH Properties Inc
17.65
Reversal Risk Warning
38.60%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 12.74
16 Aug 2024
Exit
XCUR NASDAQ · Exicure Inc
1.80
20% entry drawdown
-45.62%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 3.31
16 Aug 2024
Entry
XERS NASDAQ · Xeris Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.95
16 Aug 2024
Entry
ZH NYSE · Zhihu Inc ADR
3.08
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
16 Aug 2024
Entry
ZVIA NYSE · Zevia Pbc
1.19
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.18
9 Aug 2024
Exit
ADTN NASDAQ · ADTRAN Inc
4.78
20% entry drawdown
-26.23%
Entry 26 Jul 2024 6.48
9 Aug 2024
Exit
ALNT NASDAQ · Allient Inc.
20.45
20% entry drawdown
-31.68%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 29.93
9 Aug 2024
Exit
ANTX NASDAQ · AN2 Therapeutics Inc
1.03
20% entry drawdown
-60.84%
Entry 5 Jul 2024 2.63
9 Aug 2024
Entry
APPS NASDAQ · Digital Turbine Inc
3.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.27
9 Aug 2024
Exit
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
16.50
20% entry drawdown
-23.61%
Entry 5 Jul 2024 21.60
9 Aug 2024
Exit
AVAL NYSE · Grupo Aval
1.87
20% entry drawdown
-21.18%
Entry 19 Jan 2024 2.37
9 Aug 2024
Entry
AXGN NASDAQ · Axogen Inc
11.02
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.98
9 Aug 2024
Entry
BBDO NYSE · Banco Bradesco S/A ADR
2.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
9 Aug 2024
Entry
CLPT NASDAQ · Clearpoint Neuro Inc
8.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.11
9 Aug 2024
Entry
CRD-B NYSE · Crawford & Company
8.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
9 Aug 2024
Exit
DELL NYSE · Dell Technologies Inc
89.89
20% entry drawdown
-25.17%
Entry 1 Mar 2024 120.12
9 Aug 2024
Entry
DGICB NASDAQ · Donegal Group B Inc
11.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
9 Aug 2024
Entry
ESEA NASDAQ · Euroseas Ltd
25.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
9 Aug 2024
Entry
GPGI NYSE · GPGI, Inc.
8.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.39
9 Aug 2024
Exit
GRPN NASDAQ · Groupon Inc
10.63
20% entry drawdown
-26.23%
Entry 5 Jul 2024 14.41
9 Aug 2024
Exit
IBIO NASDAQ · iBio, Inc. Common Stock
1.56
20% entry drawdown
-34.45%
Entry 31 May 2024 2.38
9 Aug 2024
Entry
ICU NASDAQ · SeaStar Medical Holding Corporation
74.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
9 Aug 2024
Exit
IDN NASDAQ · Intellicheck Mobilisa Inc
2.07
20% entry drawdown
-32.35%
Entry 22 Mar 2024 3.06
9 Aug 2024
Exit
INGN NASDAQ · Inogen Inc
12.32
Reversal Risk Warning
114.63%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 5.74
9 Aug 2024
Entry
LASE NASDAQ · Laser Photonics Corporation Common Stock
3.24
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
9 Aug 2024
Entry
LDI NYSE · Loandepot Inc
2.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
9 Aug 2024
Exit
MATH NASDAQ · Metalpha Technology Holding Limited
1.14
20% entry drawdown
-21.38%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 1.45