Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
487.74
Total Return
387.74%
CAGR
57.51% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+35.40%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.70 Sortino 5.25
Current Holdings
1105
Transactions
10675 Avg 3060.4/yr · 255.0/mo · 58.9/wk
Exit Mix
4785 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.5% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
47
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
95.40 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ACET NASDAQ · Adicet Bio Inc
9.00 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
1.24 MD 0.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
2.27 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALIT NYSE · Alight Inc
14.26 MD 0.88 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ANGI NASDAQ · ANGI Homeservices Inc
6.06 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AVXL NASDAQ · Anavex Life Sciences Corp
2.76 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
10.93 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BILL NYSE · Bill Com Holdings Inc
40.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp
2.17 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
6.97 MD 0.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CIGI NASDAQ · Colliers International Group Inc Bats
98.51 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
6.48 MD 0.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRAC NASDAQ · Crown Reserve Acquisition Corp. I Class A Ordinary Shares
10.12 MD 1.89 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DEFT NASDAQ · DeFi Technologies Inc.
0.53 MD 0.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DNMX NASDAQ · Dynamix Corporation III Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DYAI NASDAQ · Dyadic International Inc
0.94 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ELBM NASDAQ · Electra Battery Materials Corp
0.56 MD 0.28 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ESBA NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP ES
5.64 MD 0.68 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
2.90 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EVTC NYSE · Evertec Inc
29.63 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FISK NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP 250
5.61 MD 0.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FOUR NYSE · Shift4 Payments Inc
51.35 MD 0.87 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GHI NYSE · Greystone Housing Impact Investors LP
5.96 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIS NYSE · General Mills Inc
37.57 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HELP NASDAQ · Cybin Inc. Common Stock
6.24 MD 0.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INCR NASDAQ · InterCure Ltd.
1.09 MD 1.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNSL NYSE · Kinsale Capital Group Inc
354.85 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAB NASDAQ · Standard Biotools Inc
0.91 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
6.92 MD 0.38 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MRSH NYSE · Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.
178.54 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MSTR NASDAQ · MicroStrategy Incorporated
100.77 MD 0.01 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NKE NYSE · Nike Inc
44.09 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
9.79 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OWLT NYSE · Owlet Inc
5.76 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OXBR NASDAQ · Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd
1.28 MD 1.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PGY NASDAQ · Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
17.79 MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
2.17 MD 0.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SLNG NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc
4.19 MD 0.43 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
1.04 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.06 MD 1.64 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UTZ NYSE · Utz Brands Inc
8.27 MD 0.58 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WAY NASDAQ · Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock
23.46 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
177.99 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
YSG NYSE · Yatsen Holding
3.47 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZBH NYSE · Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc
87.47 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZS NASDAQ · Zscaler Inc
147.33 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
22
ABCL NASDAQ · Abcellera Biologics Inc
8.11 Reversal Risk Warning · 137.83%
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.60%
AIRT NASDAQ · Air T Inc
28.87 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.30%
ALAR NASDAQ · Alarum Technologies Ltd.
6.35 20% entry drawdown · -34.06%
ALGT NASDAQ · Allegiant Travel Company
118.67 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.01%
ASTL NASDAQ · Algoma Steel Group Inc
3.77 20% entry drawdown · -20.46%
BGDE NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.
7.45 20% entry drawdown · -30.18%
ENVX NASDAQ · Enovix Corp
5.36 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
FA NASDAQ · First Advantage Corp
20.53 Reversal Risk Warning · 58.29%
GCBC NASDAQ · Greene County Bancorp Inc
34.66 Reversal Risk Warning · 41.97%
ILMN NASDAQ · Illumina Inc
188.68 Reversal Risk Warning · 117.05%
LFVN NASDAQ · Lifevantage Corporation
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -20.55%
MB NASDAQ · MasterBeef Group Ordinary Shares
4.51 20% entry drawdown · -26.31%
MOVE NASDAQ · Movano Inc
17.37 20% entry drawdown · -24.12%
NEUP NASDAQ · Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc
3.38 20% entry drawdown · -32.94%
OPTU NYSE · Optimum Communications, Inc.
1.16 20% entry drawdown · -30.12%
RDZN NASDAQ · Roadzen Inc.
1.34 20% entry drawdown · -25.56%
SMCI NASDAQ · Super Micro Computer Inc
27.22 20% entry drawdown · -23.04%
TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
7.12 Reversal Risk Warning · 38.79%
USIO NASDAQ · Usio Inc
2.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 63.16%
VGAS NASDAQ · Verde Clean Fuels Inc.
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -34.21%
WXM NASDAQ · WF International Limited Ordinary Shares
4.29 20% entry drawdown · -23.38%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 361-390 of 1105 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
FIP NASDAQ · FTAI Infrastructure Inc.
19 Dec 20254.64
4.44
-4.33%
Buy
0.05
-
-
FISK NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP 250
3 Jul 20265.61
5.61
New Entry week
Buy
0.63
-
-
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
1 May 202622.24
23.44
5.40%
Buy
0.12
-
-
FIZZ NASDAQ · National Beverage Corp
30 Jan 202634.08
33.33
-2.20%
Buy
0.18
-
-
FLG NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
7 Feb 202512.25
14.59
19.09%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FLGT NASDAQ · Fulgent Genetics Inc
14 Mar 202517.24
20.85
20.94%
Buy
0.07
-
-
FLL NASDAQ · Full House Resorts Inc
3 Apr 20262.55
2.79
9.41%
Buy
0.36
-
-
FLO NYSE · Flowers Foods Inc
12 Jun 20267.79
8.63
10.78%
Buy
0.07
-
-
FLOC NYSE · Flowco Holdings Inc.
5 Dec 202517.88
20.74
16.03%
Buy
1.65
-
-
FLYW NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
6 Jun 202510.50
18.75
78.57%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FND NYSE · Floor & Decor Holdings Inc
26 Jun 202659.61
59.04
-0.96%
Buy
0.33
-
-
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.51
4.75%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FNWB NASDAQ · First Northwest Bancorp
3 Oct 20257.90
11.15
41.14%
Buy
0.41
-
-
FOR NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
4 Jul 202521.73
30.80
41.74%
Buy
0.70
-
-
FOUR NYSE · Shift4 Payments Inc
3 Jul 202651.35
51.35
New Entry week
Buy
0.87
-
-
FRMI NASDAQ · Fermi Inc.
15 May 20266.51
8.06
23.81%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FRPH NASDAQ · Frp Holdings Ord
5 Jun 202623.54
25.31
7.52%
Buy
0.36
-
-
FRSH NASDAQ · Freshworks Inc
29 May 20269.71
10.34
6.49%
Buy
0.99
-
-
FSK NYSE · FS KKR Capital Corp
8 May 202610.41
10.43
0.17%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FSV NASDAQ · FirstService Corp
12 Jun 2026143.05
145.74
1.87%
Buy
0.18
-
-
FTRE NASDAQ · Fortrea Holdings Inc.
15 Aug 20258.04
17.28
114.93%
Buy
0.90
-
-
FUL NYSE · H B Fuller Company
12 Jun 202663.63
58.06
-8.75%
Buy
0.17
-
-
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
10 Apr 202619.94
20.99
5.27%
Buy
0.73
-
-
FVN NASDAQ · Future Vision II Acquisition Corporation Ordinary shares
29 Aug 202510.48
10.97
4.69%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FWRG NASDAQ · First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
19 Jun 202611.81
13.09
10.84%
Buy
0.08
-
-
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
22 May 20260.46
0.37
-19.07%
Buy
1.01
-
-
GANX NASDAQ · Gain Therapeutics Inc
13 Sep 20241.47
1.91
30.38%
Buy
0.13
-
-
GBLI NASDAQ · Global Indemnity Group, LLC Class A Common Stock
9 Jan 202627.90
25.05
-10.23%
Buy
0.01
-
-
GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
1 May 20261.59
2.62
64.78%
Buy
1.17
-
-
GDDY NYSE · Godaddy Inc
26 Jun 202684.55
88.51
4.68%
Buy
0.66
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 181-210 of 10675
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 Jun 2026
Exit
HNGE NYSE · Hinge Health, Inc.
78.97
Reversal Risk Warning
73.83%
Entry 1 May 2026 45.43
26 Jun 2026
Entry
HYNE NASDAQ · Hoyne Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
16.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.39
26 Jun 2026
Exit
HZO NYSE · MarineMax Inc
37.74
Reversal Risk Warning
57.71%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 23.93
26 Jun 2026
Exit
INDV NASDAQ · Indivior PLC Ordinary Shares
41.83
Reversal Risk Warning
225.27%
Entry 30 May 2025 12.86
26 Jun 2026
Exit
INN NYSE · Summit Hotel Properties Inc
7.07
Reversal Risk Warning
54.59%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 4.57
26 Jun 2026
Exit
INNV NASDAQ · InnovAge Holding Corp
10.79
Reversal Risk Warning
196.43%
Entry 9 May 2025 3.64
26 Jun 2026
Exit
INTG NASDAQ · The Intergroup Corporation
46.26
Reversal Risk Warning
178.51%
Entry 29 Aug 2025 16.61
26 Jun 2026
Exit
INVE NASDAQ · Identiv Inc
2.62
20% entry drawdown
-30.13%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 3.75
26 Jun 2026
Entry
JACK NASDAQ · Jacktel AS
13.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.34
26 Jun 2026
Exit
JFIN NASDAQ · Jiayin Group Inc
3.01
20% entry drawdown
-24.94%
Entry 19 Jun 2026 4.01
26 Jun 2026
Entry
JILL NYSE · J.Jill Inc
15.89
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.40
26 Jun 2026
Entry
JJSF NASDAQ · J & J Snack Foods Corp
75.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
26 Jun 2026
Exit
JKS NYSE · JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited
16.28
20% entry drawdown
-20.61%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 20.51
26 Jun 2026
Entry
KBR NYSE · KBR Inc
33.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
26 Jun 2026
Exit
KBSX NASDAQ · FST Corp. Ordinary Shares
0.94
20% entry drawdown
-27.98%
Entry 13 Mar 2026 1.31
26 Jun 2026
Entry
KMPR NYSE · Kemper Corporation
26.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
26 Jun 2026
Exit
KRKR NASDAQ · 36Kr Holdings Inc
2.74
20% entry drawdown
-22.74%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 3.54
26 Jun 2026
Exit
KRYS NASDAQ · Krystal Biotech Inc
372.25
Reversal Risk Warning
190.00%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 128.36
26 Jun 2026
Exit
KYMR NASDAQ · Kymera Therapeutics Inc
108.12
Reversal Risk Warning
370.09%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 23.00
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LARK NASDAQ · Landmark Bancorp Inc
32.00
Reversal Risk Warning
101.12%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 15.91
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LCNB NASDAQ · LCNB Corporation
18.52
Reversal Risk Warning
40.92%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 13.14
26 Jun 2026
Entry
LEN NYSE · Lennar Corporation
93.52
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.42
26 Jun 2026
Entry
LEN-B NYSE · Lennar Corporation
91.90
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.45
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LFST NASDAQ · Lifestance Health Group Inc
10.28
Reversal Risk Warning
87.59%
Entry 29 Aug 2025 5.48
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LGND NASDAQ · Ligand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated
303.59
Reversal Risk Warning
297.11%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 76.45
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LILA NASDAQ · Liberty Latin America Ltd
7.13
Reversal Risk Warning
77.89%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 4.01
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LILAK NASDAQ · Liberty Latin America Ltd Class C
7.07
Reversal Risk Warning
87.36%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 3.77
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LIND NASDAQ · Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc
29.57
Reversal Risk Warning
254.13%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 8.35
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LION NYSE · Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.)
16.40
Reversal Risk Warning
76.15%
Entry 26 Dec 2025 9.31
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LLY NYSE · Eli Lilly and Company
1208.12
Reversal Risk Warning
133.59%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 517.21