Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1122
Transactions
10714 Avg 3054.8/yr · 254.6/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4796 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.3%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
11
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 361-390 of 1122 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
FIG NYSE · Figma, Inc.
8 May 202620.66
21.11
2.18%
Buy
1.41
-
-
FIGX NASDAQ · FIGX Capital Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share
10 Apr 202610.18
10.22
0.39%
Buy
1.00
-
-
FINV NYSE · FinVolution Group
13 Feb 20265.21
4.54
-12.84%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FIP NASDAQ · FTAI Infrastructure Inc.
19 Dec 20254.64
4.54
-2.17%
Buy
0.05
-
-
FISK NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP 250
3 Jul 20265.61
5.42
-3.39%
Buy
0.63
-
-
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
1 May 202622.24
25.42
14.30%
Buy
0.12
-
-
FIZZ NASDAQ · National Beverage Corp
30 Jan 202634.08
33.82
-0.76%
Buy
0.18
-
-
FLG NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
7 Feb 202512.25
15.09
23.17%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FLGT NASDAQ · Fulgent Genetics Inc
14 Mar 202517.24
20.55
19.20%
Buy
0.07
-
-
FLL NASDAQ · Full House Resorts Inc
3 Apr 20262.55
2.64
3.53%
Buy
0.36
-
-
FLO NYSE · Flowers Foods Inc
12 Jun 20267.79
8.34
7.06%
Buy
0.07
-
-
FLOC NYSE · Flowco Holdings Inc.
5 Dec 202517.88
20.82
16.47%
Buy
1.65
-
-
FLYW NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
6 Jun 202510.50
17.62
67.81%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FND NYSE · Floor & Decor Holdings Inc
26 Jun 202659.61
57.13
-4.16%
Buy
0.33
-
-
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.58
6.08%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FNWB NASDAQ · First Northwest Bancorp
3 Oct 20257.90
11.05
39.87%
Buy
0.41
-
-
FOR NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
4 Jul 202521.73
30.51
40.40%
Buy
0.70
-
-
FOUR NYSE · Shift4 Payments Inc
3 Jul 202651.35
50.81
-1.05%
Buy
0.87
-
-
FRMI NASDAQ · Fermi Inc.
15 May 20266.51
6.59
1.23%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FRPH NASDAQ · Frp Holdings Ord
5 Jun 202623.54
23.98
1.87%
Buy
0.36
-
-
FRSH NASDAQ · Freshworks Inc
29 May 20269.71
10.36
6.69%
Buy
0.99
-
-
FSK NYSE · FS KKR Capital Corp
8 May 202610.41
10.80
3.73%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FSV NASDAQ · FirstService Corp
12 Jun 2026143.05
143.44
0.27%
Buy
0.18
-
-
FTRE NASDAQ · Fortrea Holdings Inc.
15 Aug 20258.04
17.76
120.90%
Buy
0.90
-
-
FUL NYSE · H B Fuller Company
12 Jun 202663.63
55.91
-12.13%
Buy
0.17
-
-
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
10 Apr 202619.94
19.46
-2.41%
Buy
0.73
-
-
FVN NASDAQ · Future Vision II Acquisition Corporation Ordinary shares
29 Aug 202510.48
11.00
4.97%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FWRG NASDAQ · First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
19 Jun 202611.81
12.46
5.50%
Buy
0.08
-
-
GANX NASDAQ · Gain Therapeutics Inc
13 Sep 20241.47
1.80
22.87%
Buy
0.13
-
-
GBLI NASDAQ · Global Indemnity Group, LLC Class A Common Stock
9 Jan 202627.90
26.11
-6.43%
Buy
0.01
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 211-240 of 10714
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 Jun 2026
Exit
GOLF NYSE · Acushnet Holdings Corp
118.08
Reversal Risk Warning
113.63%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 55.27
26 Jun 2026
Entry
GPC NYSE · Genuine Parts Co
116.02
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
26 Jun 2026
Entry
GRAB NASDAQ · Grab Holdings Ltd
3.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
26 Jun 2026
Entry
GSHD NASDAQ · Goosehead Insurance Inc
46.87
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.52
26 Jun 2026
Entry
GTIM NASDAQ · Good Times Restaurants Inc
1.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.51
26 Jun 2026
Exit
GVA NYSE · Granite Construction Incorporated
160.26
Reversal Risk Warning
212.17%
Entry 1 Mar 2024 51.34
26 Jun 2026
Entry
HDB NYSE · HDFC Bank Limited ADR
25.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
26 Jun 2026
Exit
HFFG NASDAQ · Hf Foods Group Inc
1.65
20% entry drawdown
-22.54%
Entry 13 Mar 2026 2.13
26 Jun 2026
Exit
HHS NASDAQ · Harte Hanks Inc
2.07
20% entry drawdown
-24.45%
Entry 1 May 2026 2.74
26 Jun 2026
Entry
HIHO NASDAQ · Highway Holdings Limited
0.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.63
26 Jun 2026
Exit
HMN NYSE · Horace Mann Educators Corporation
51.60
Reversal Risk Warning
93.07%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 26.73
26 Jun 2026
Exit
HNGE NYSE · Hinge Health, Inc.
78.97
Reversal Risk Warning
73.83%
Entry 1 May 2026 45.43
26 Jun 2026
Entry
HYNE NASDAQ · Hoyne Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
16.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.49
26 Jun 2026
Exit
HZO NYSE · MarineMax Inc
37.74
Reversal Risk Warning
57.71%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 23.93
26 Jun 2026
Exit
INDV NASDAQ · Indivior PLC Ordinary Shares
41.83
Reversal Risk Warning
225.27%
Entry 30 May 2025 12.86
26 Jun 2026
Exit
INN NYSE · Summit Hotel Properties Inc
7.07
Reversal Risk Warning
54.59%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 4.57
26 Jun 2026
Exit
INNV NASDAQ · InnovAge Holding Corp
10.79
Reversal Risk Warning
196.43%
Entry 9 May 2025 3.64
26 Jun 2026
Exit
INTG NASDAQ · The Intergroup Corporation
46.26
Reversal Risk Warning
178.51%
Entry 29 Aug 2025 16.61
26 Jun 2026
Exit
INVE NASDAQ · Identiv Inc
2.62
20% entry drawdown
-30.13%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 3.75
26 Jun 2026
Entry
JACK NASDAQ · Jacktel AS
13.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.34
26 Jun 2026
Exit
JFIN NASDAQ · Jiayin Group Inc
3.01
20% entry drawdown
-24.94%
Entry 19 Jun 2026 4.01
26 Jun 2026
Entry
JILL NYSE · J.Jill Inc
15.89
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.40
26 Jun 2026
Entry
JJSF NASDAQ · J & J Snack Foods Corp
75.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
26 Jun 2026
Exit
JKS NYSE · JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited
16.28
20% entry drawdown
-20.61%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 20.51
26 Jun 2026
Entry
KBR NYSE · KBR Inc
33.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
26 Jun 2026
Exit
KBSX NASDAQ · FST Corp. Ordinary Shares
0.94
20% entry drawdown
-27.98%
Entry 13 Mar 2026 1.31
26 Jun 2026
Entry
KMPR NYSE · Kemper Corporation
26.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
26 Jun 2026
Exit
KRKR NASDAQ · 36Kr Holdings Inc
2.74
20% entry drawdown
-22.74%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 3.54
26 Jun 2026
Exit
KRYS NASDAQ · Krystal Biotech Inc
372.25
Reversal Risk Warning
190.00%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 128.36
26 Jun 2026
Exit
KYMR NASDAQ · Kymera Therapeutics Inc
108.12
Reversal Risk Warning
370.09%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 23.00