Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 421-450 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
GTIM NASDAQ · Good Times Restaurants Inc
26 Jun 20261.39
1.40
0.72%
Buy
1.52
-
-
GTLB NASDAQ · Gitlab Inc
15 May 202623.66
32.72
38.29%
Buy
0.03
-
-
GTN NYSE · Gray Television Inc
28 Feb 20253.38
3.96
17.17%
Buy
0.29
-
-
GUTS NASDAQ · Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock
12 Jun 20260.85
0.81
-4.71%
Buy
0.45
-
-
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10 Jul 202610.12
10.12
0.00%
Buy
1.40
-
-
HCHL NASDAQ · Happy City Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary shares
15 May 20263.44
3.96
15.12%
Buy
0.48
-
-
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
17 Jul 202610.34
10.34
New Entry week
Buy
0.19
-
-
HDB NYSE · HDFC Bank Limited ADR
26 Jun 202625.74
26.38
2.49%
Buy
0.07
-
-
HE NYSE · Hawaiian Electric Industries Inc
21 Feb 202510.76
13.45
25.00%
Buy
0.30
-
-
HELE NASDAQ · Helen of Troy Ltd
24 Apr 202623.62
28.10
18.97%
Buy
0.29
-
-
HELP NASDAQ · Cybin Inc. Common Stock
3 Jul 20266.24
7.25
16.19%
Buy
0.52
-
-
HGBL NASDAQ · Heritage Global Inc
23 Jan 20261.37
1.23
-10.22%
Buy
0.23
-
-
HIHO NASDAQ · Highway Holdings Limited
26 Jun 20260.88
0.78
-11.22%
Buy
0.63
-
-
HIVE NASDAQ · HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd
1 May 20262.43
2.85
17.28%
Buy
0.15
-
-
HKD NYSE · AMTD Digital Inc.
27 Feb 20261.75
1.61
-8.00%
Buy
0.29
-
-
HLMN NASDAQ · Hillman Solutions Corp
18 Jul 20257.82
8.09
3.45%
Buy
0.43
-
-
HLX NYSE · Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc
11 Jul 20256.55
9.58
46.26%
Buy
0.35
-
-
HMR NASDAQ · Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. Common Stock
9 Jan 20260.91
1.07
17.50%
Buy
0.10
-
-
HOFT NASDAQ · Hooker Furniture Corporation
15 Aug 20259.51
14.12
48.43%
Buy
0.36
-
-
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
10 Apr 202622.62
26.58
17.51%
Buy
0.39
-
-
HPK NASDAQ · Highpeak Energy Acquisition Corp
13 Feb 20265.09
7.37
44.70%
Buy
0.23
-
-
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
5 Jun 202613.74
15.72
14.41%
Buy
1.30
-
-
HPQ NYSE · HP Inc
1 May 202620.58
24.84
20.70%
Buy
0.48
-
-
HQI NASDAQ · Hirequest Inc
16 Jan 202610.84
12.11
11.71%
Buy
1.69
-
-
HRB NYSE · H&R Block Inc
8 May 202636.56
42.08
15.11%
Buy
0.40
-
-
HRI NYSE · Herc Holdings Inc
12 Jun 2026144.62
149.47
3.35%
Buy
0.29
-
-
HRL NYSE · Hormel Foods Corporation
12 Jun 202624.46
25.39
3.81%
Buy
0.41
-
-
HSTM NASDAQ · HealthStream Inc
17 Apr 202621.70
28.48
31.26%
Buy
0.12
-
-
HTLM NASDAQ · HomesToLife Ltd
5 Jun 20262.14
2.02
-5.84%
Buy
0.24
-
-
HUM NYSE · Humana Inc
1 May 2026233.09
400.00
71.61%
Buy
0.08
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3091-3120 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
9 Jan 2026
Exit
RERE NYSE · ATRenew Inc DRC
5.76
Reversal Risk Warning
252.69%
Entry 22 Mar 2024 1.63
9 Jan 2026
Exit
RKT NYSE · Rocket Companies Inc
23.29
Reversal Risk Warning
133.96%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 9.95
9 Jan 2026
Exit
SHC NASDAQ · Sotera Health Co
19.20
Reversal Risk Warning
50.00%
Entry 16 May 2025 12.80
9 Jan 2026
Entry
SJ NASDAQ · Scienjoy Holding Corp
0.80
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.81
9 Jan 2026
Entry
SKYQ NASDAQ · Sky Quarry Inc
4.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
9 Jan 2026
Entry
SOC NYSE · Sable Offshore Corp.
9.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
9 Jan 2026
Exit
SOHU NASDAQ · Sohu.Com Inc
16.42
Reversal Risk Warning
19.16%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 13.78
9 Jan 2026
Exit
STEP NASDAQ · Stepstone Group Inc
70.41
Reversal Risk Warning
136.70%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 29.75
9 Jan 2026
Entry
STM NYSE · STMicroelectronics NV ADR
28.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
9 Jan 2026
Entry
TH NASDAQ · Target Hospitality Corp
8.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
9 Jan 2026
Entry
TJGC NASDAQ · TJGC Group Limited
3.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
9 Jan 2026
Exit
TRIB NASDAQ · Trinity Biotech plc
0.73
20% entry drawdown
-20.03%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 0.92
9 Jan 2026
Exit
TROO NASDAQ · TROOPS Inc
4.65
Reversal Risk Warning
355.88%
Entry 29 Aug 2025 1.02
9 Jan 2026
Exit
ULTA NASDAQ · Ulta Beauty Inc
666.18
Reversal Risk Warning
76.60%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 377.23
9 Jan 2026
Entry
UTSI NASDAQ · UTStarcom Holdings Corp
2.45
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26
9 Jan 2026
Exit
VMC NYSE · Vulcan Materials Company
310.41
Reversal Risk Warning
47.47%
Entry 25 Aug 2023 210.50
9 Jan 2026
Entry
VRA NASDAQ · Vera Bradley Inc
3.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.89
9 Jan 2026
Entry
WPRT NASDAQ · Westport Fuel Systems Inc
1.97
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
9 Jan 2026
Entry
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
12.78
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.34
9 Jan 2026
Exit
YETI NYSE · YETI Holdings Inc
49.34
Reversal Risk Warning
61.29%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 30.59
9 Jan 2026
Entry
ZNTL NASDAQ · Zentalis Pharmaceuticals Llc
3.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
2 Jan 2026
Entry
AESI NYSE · Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
9.72
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
2 Jan 2026
Entry
AFCG NASDAQ · AFC Gamma Inc
2.80
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
2 Jan 2026
Exit
AFJK NASDAQ · Aimei Health Technology Co., Ltd Ordinary Share
75.86
Reversal Risk Warning
110.55%
Entry 19 Dec 2025 36.03
2 Jan 2026
Entry
ANGH NASDAQ · Anghami De Inc
4.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32
2 Jan 2026
Exit
APM NASDAQ · Aptorum Group Ltd Class A
1.07
20% entry drawdown
-23.02%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 1.39
2 Jan 2026
Exit
ARBB NASDAQ · ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares
5.77
20% entry drawdown
-20.30%
Entry 12 Dec 2025 7.24
2 Jan 2026
Entry
ARKR NASDAQ · Ark Restaurants Corp
6.61
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
2 Jan 2026
Exit
BCAB NASDAQ · Bioatla Inc
26.71
20% entry drawdown
-31.06%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 38.75
2 Jan 2026
Exit
CALC NASDAQ · CalciMedica, Inc. Common Stock
6.74
Reversal Risk Warning
318.63%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 1.61