Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1122
Transactions
10714 Avg 3054.8/yr · 254.6/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4796 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.3%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
11
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 421-450 of 1122 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
GPN NYSE · Global Payments Inc
22 May 202672.99
76.04
4.18%
Buy
0.22
-
-
GPRE NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
20 Jun 20255.67
16.89
197.88%
Buy
0.81
-
-
GRAB NASDAQ · Grab Holdings Ltd
26 Jun 20263.55
3.93
10.70%
Buy
0.18
-
-
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
17 Nov 20234.94
10.25
107.49%
Buy
0.37
-
-
GREE NASDAQ · Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc
15 May 20261.47
1.98
34.69%
Buy
0.20
-
-
GRFS NASDAQ · Grifols SA ADR
31 May 20247.04
7.27
3.22%
Buy
0.01
-
-
GRNT NYSE · Granite Ridge Resources Inc
20 Feb 20265.00
4.57
-8.52%
Buy
0.30
-
-
GROV NYSE · Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc.
3 Apr 20261.27
1.09
-14.17%
Buy
0.25
-
-
GRPN NASDAQ · Groupon Inc
24 Apr 202614.67
26.05
77.57%
Buy
0.23
-
-
GRVY NASDAQ · Gravity Co Ltd
18 Apr 202558.50
63.80
9.06%
Buy
0.16
-
-
GRWG NASDAQ · GrowGeneration Corp
8 May 20261.42
1.50
5.63%
Buy
0.31
-
-
GSBD NYSE · Goldman Sachs BDC Inc
20 Jun 20259.76
8.82
-9.59%
Buy
0.17
-
-
GSHD NASDAQ · Goosehead Insurance Inc
26 Jun 202646.87
53.54
14.23%
Buy
0.52
-
-
GSM NASDAQ · Ferroglobe PLC
14 Mar 20253.96
3.27
-17.45%
Buy
0.03
-
-
GSRF NASDAQ · GSR IV Acquisition Corp. Class A ordinary share
15 May 202610.13
10.17
0.39%
Buy
1.76
-
-
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
5 Jun 20260.65
0.55
-14.91%
Buy
0.16
-
-
GTERA NASDAQ · Globa Terra Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares
20 Mar 202610.26
10.34
0.83%
Buy
2.66
-
-
GTIM NASDAQ · Good Times Restaurants Inc
26 Jun 20261.39
1.44
3.60%
Buy
1.51
-
-
GTLB NASDAQ · Gitlab Inc
15 May 202623.66
32.42
37.02%
Buy
0.03
-
-
GTN NYSE · Gray Television Inc
28 Feb 20253.38
3.78
11.84%
Buy
0.29
-
-
GUTS NASDAQ · Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock
12 Jun 20260.85
0.79
-6.74%
Buy
0.45
-
-
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10 Jul 202610.12
10.12
New Entry week
Buy
1.35
-
-
HCHL NASDAQ · Happy City Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary shares
15 May 20263.44
3.96
15.12%
Buy
0.48
-
-
HDB NYSE · HDFC Bank Limited ADR
26 Jun 202625.74
26.51
2.99%
Buy
0.07
-
-
HE NYSE · Hawaiian Electric Industries Inc
21 Feb 202510.76
13.57
26.12%
Buy
0.30
-
-
HELE NASDAQ · Helen of Troy Ltd
24 Apr 202623.62
26.34
11.52%
Buy
0.29
-
-
HELP NASDAQ · Cybin Inc. Common Stock
3 Jul 20266.24
6.87
10.10%
Buy
0.51
-
-
HGBL NASDAQ · Heritage Global Inc
23 Jan 20261.37
1.25
-8.76%
Buy
0.23
-
-
HIHO NASDAQ · Highway Holdings Limited
26 Jun 20260.88
0.84
-4.13%
Buy
0.63
-
-
HIVE NASDAQ · HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd
1 May 20262.43
3.35
37.86%
Buy
0.15
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 151-180 of 10714
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CACC NASDAQ · Credit Acceptance Corporation
628.86
Reversal Risk Warning
22.89%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 511.71
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CALY NYSE · Callaway Golf Company
19.25
Reversal Risk Warning
162.26%
Entry 9 May 2025 7.34
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CARE NASDAQ · Carter Bank and Trust
33.60
Reversal Risk Warning
147.26%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 13.59
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CBL NYSE · CBL & Associates Properties Inc
53.43
Reversal Risk Warning
175.88%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 19.37
26 Jun 2026
Entry
CCXI NASDAQ · Churchill Capital Corp XI
13.86
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.47
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CELZ NASDAQ · Creative Medical Technology Holdings Inc
1.20
20% entry drawdown
-41.56%
Entry 3 Apr 2026 2.05
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CENT NASDAQ · Central Garden & Pet Company
44.91
Reversal Risk Warning
40.26%
Entry 19 Dec 2025 32.02
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CENTA NASDAQ · Central Garden & Pet Company A
39.32
Reversal Risk Warning
32.48%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 29.68
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CFFI NASDAQ · C&F Financial Corporation
86.18
Reversal Risk Warning
101.64%
Entry 14 Jun 2024 42.74
26 Jun 2026
Entry
CHKP NASDAQ · Check Point Software Technologies Ltd
130.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CINF NASDAQ · Cincinnati Financial Corporation
184.08
Reversal Risk Warning
80.84%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 101.79
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CLOV NASDAQ · Clover Health Investments Corp
5.41
Reversal Risk Warning
332.80%
Entry 21 Jun 2024 1.25
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CLYM NASDAQ · Climb Bio Inc
13.08
Reversal Risk Warning
205.61%
Entry 19 Dec 2025 4.28
26 Jun 2026
Entry
CMG NYSE · Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
33.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CMPS NASDAQ · Compass Pathways Plc
14.82
Reversal Risk Warning
303.27%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 3.68
26 Jun 2026
Entry
CNMD NYSE · CONMED Corporation
35.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
26 Jun 2026
Entry
COO NASDAQ · The Cooper Companies, Inc
71.02
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.34
26 Jun 2026
Entry
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
79.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.32
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CPIX NASDAQ · Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc
6.75
Reversal Risk Warning
446.56%
Entry 6 Dec 2024 1.24
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CTOS NYSE · Custom Truck One Source Inc
11.94
Reversal Risk Warning
151.37%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 4.75
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CXW NYSE · CoreCivic Inc
30.77
Reversal Risk Warning
169.68%
Entry 20 Oct 2023 11.41
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CZFS NASDAQ · Citizens Financial Services Inc. Common Stock
73.82
Reversal Risk Warning
59.61%
Entry 12 Jul 2024 46.25
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CZWI NASDAQ · Citizens Community Bancorp Inc
23.54
Reversal Risk Warning
127.38%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 10.35
26 Jun 2026
Exit
DAL NYSE · Delta Air Lines Inc
92.35
Reversal Risk Warning
124.29%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 41.17
26 Jun 2026
Exit
DAVE NASDAQ · Dave Inc
348.71
Reversal Risk Warning
335.56%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 80.06
26 Jun 2026
Exit
DCO NYSE · Ducommun Incorporated
177.66
Reversal Risk Warning
217.82%
Entry 3 May 2024 55.90
26 Jun 2026
Entry
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
17.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.78
26 Jun 2026
Exit
DFTX NASDAQ · Definium Therapeutics, Inc.
44.95
Reversal Risk Warning
257.88%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 12.56
26 Jun 2026
Entry
DHR NYSE · Danaher Corporation
196.19
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
26 Jun 2026
Exit
DTI NASDAQ · Drilling Tools International Corp.
1.96
20% entry drawdown
-21.91%
Entry 24 Oct 2025 2.51