Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
487.74
Total Return
387.74%
CAGR
57.51% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+35.40%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.70 Sortino 5.25
Current Holdings
1105
Transactions
10675 Avg 3060.4/yr · 255.0/mo · 58.9/wk
Exit Mix
4785 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.5% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
47
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
95.40 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ACET NASDAQ · Adicet Bio Inc
9.00 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
1.24 MD 0.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
2.27 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALIT NYSE · Alight Inc
14.26 MD 0.88 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ANGI NASDAQ · ANGI Homeservices Inc
6.06 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AVXL NASDAQ · Anavex Life Sciences Corp
2.76 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
10.93 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BILL NYSE · Bill Com Holdings Inc
40.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp
2.17 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
6.97 MD 0.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CIGI NASDAQ · Colliers International Group Inc Bats
98.51 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
6.48 MD 0.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRAC NASDAQ · Crown Reserve Acquisition Corp. I Class A Ordinary Shares
10.12 MD 1.89 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DEFT NASDAQ · DeFi Technologies Inc.
0.53 MD 0.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DNMX NASDAQ · Dynamix Corporation III Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DYAI NASDAQ · Dyadic International Inc
0.94 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ELBM NASDAQ · Electra Battery Materials Corp
0.56 MD 0.28 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ESBA NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP ES
5.64 MD 0.68 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
2.90 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EVTC NYSE · Evertec Inc
29.63 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FISK NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP 250
5.61 MD 0.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FOUR NYSE · Shift4 Payments Inc
51.35 MD 0.87 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GHI NYSE · Greystone Housing Impact Investors LP
5.96 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIS NYSE · General Mills Inc
37.57 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HELP NASDAQ · Cybin Inc. Common Stock
6.24 MD 0.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INCR NASDAQ · InterCure Ltd.
1.09 MD 1.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNSL NYSE · Kinsale Capital Group Inc
354.85 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAB NASDAQ · Standard Biotools Inc
0.91 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
6.92 MD 0.38 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MRSH NYSE · Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.
178.54 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MSTR NASDAQ · MicroStrategy Incorporated
100.77 MD 0.01 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NKE NYSE · Nike Inc
44.09 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
9.79 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OWLT NYSE · Owlet Inc
5.76 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OXBR NASDAQ · Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd
1.28 MD 1.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PGY NASDAQ · Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
17.79 MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
2.17 MD 0.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SLNG NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc
4.19 MD 0.43 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
1.04 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.06 MD 1.64 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UTZ NYSE · Utz Brands Inc
8.27 MD 0.58 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WAY NASDAQ · Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock
23.46 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
177.99 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
YSG NYSE · Yatsen Holding
3.47 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZBH NYSE · Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc
87.47 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZS NASDAQ · Zscaler Inc
147.33 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
22
ABCL NASDAQ · Abcellera Biologics Inc
8.11 Reversal Risk Warning · 137.83%
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.60%
AIRT NASDAQ · Air T Inc
28.87 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.30%
ALAR NASDAQ · Alarum Technologies Ltd.
6.35 20% entry drawdown · -34.06%
ALGT NASDAQ · Allegiant Travel Company
118.67 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.01%
ASTL NASDAQ · Algoma Steel Group Inc
3.77 20% entry drawdown · -20.46%
BGDE NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.
7.45 20% entry drawdown · -30.18%
ENVX NASDAQ · Enovix Corp
5.36 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
FA NASDAQ · First Advantage Corp
20.53 Reversal Risk Warning · 58.29%
GCBC NASDAQ · Greene County Bancorp Inc
34.66 Reversal Risk Warning · 41.97%
ILMN NASDAQ · Illumina Inc
188.68 Reversal Risk Warning · 117.05%
LFVN NASDAQ · Lifevantage Corporation
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -20.55%
MB NASDAQ · MasterBeef Group Ordinary Shares
4.51 20% entry drawdown · -26.31%
MOVE NASDAQ · Movano Inc
17.37 20% entry drawdown · -24.12%
NEUP NASDAQ · Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc
3.38 20% entry drawdown · -32.94%
OPTU NYSE · Optimum Communications, Inc.
1.16 20% entry drawdown · -30.12%
RDZN NASDAQ · Roadzen Inc.
1.34 20% entry drawdown · -25.56%
SMCI NASDAQ · Super Micro Computer Inc
27.22 20% entry drawdown · -23.04%
TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
7.12 Reversal Risk Warning · 38.79%
USIO NASDAQ · Usio Inc
2.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 63.16%
VGAS NASDAQ · Verde Clean Fuels Inc.
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -34.21%
WXM NASDAQ · WF International Limited Ordinary Shares
4.29 20% entry drawdown · -23.38%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 511-540 of 1105 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
JBSS NASDAQ · John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc
4 Jul 202562.49
90.60
44.98%
Buy
0.16
-
-
JCTC NASDAQ · Jewett-Cameron Trading Company Ltd.
1 May 20262.00
2.56
28.00%
Buy
0.66
-
-
JEF NYSE · Jefferies Financial Group Inc
22 May 202651.98
52.62
1.23%
Buy
0.24
-
-
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
15 May 20261.54
2.30
49.35%
Buy
0.67
-
-
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
12 Dec 202520.62
25.81
25.17%
Buy
0.05
-
-
JILL NYSE · J.Jill Inc
26 Jun 202615.89
16.49
3.78%
Buy
0.40
-
-
JJSF NASDAQ · J & J Snack Foods Corp
26 Jun 202675.75
75.92
0.22%
Buy
0.23
-
-
JL NASDAQ · J-Long Group Limited
29 Nov 20243.13
5.84
86.58%
Buy
1.04
-
-
JMSB NASDAQ · John Marshall Bancorp Inc
30 May 202517.01
22.17
30.30%
Buy
0.09
-
-
JRVR NASDAQ · James River Group Holdings Ltd
18 Apr 20254.25
4.46
4.92%
Buy
0.11
-
-
JWEL NASDAQ · Jowell Global Ltd.
23 Aug 20241.36
2.05
50.85%
Buy
0.12
-
-
JYNT NASDAQ · The Joint Corp
16 Jan 20269.93
8.97
-9.67%
Buy
0.44
-
-
KBR NYSE · KBR Inc
26 Jun 202633.37
36.41
9.11%
Buy
0.03
-
-
KCHV NASDAQ · Kochav Defense Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
27 Feb 202610.22
10.39
1.66%
Buy
0.56
-
-
KD NYSE · Kyndryl Holdings Inc
22 May 202612.29
12.25
-0.33%
Buy
0.22
-
-
KDP NASDAQ · Keurig Dr Pepper Inc
1 May 202628.89
33.30
15.26%
Buy
0.12
-
-
KELYA NASDAQ · Kelly Services A Inc
8 May 20269.79
13.08
33.55%
Buy
0.13
-
-
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
30 Jan 202613.63
22.00
61.43%
Buy
0.43
-
-
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
15 Nov 20242.56
5.07
98.06%
Buy
0.23
-
-
KFII NASDAQ · K&F Growth Acquisition Corp. II Class A Ordinary shares
10 Oct 202510.25
10.54
2.83%
Buy
0.01
-
-
KFRC NYSE · Kforce Inc.
21 Nov 202528.80
50.93
76.84%
Buy
0.14
-
-
KGEI NASDAQ · Kolibri Global Energy Inc. Common stock
20 Feb 20263.94
4.64
17.77%
Buy
0.88
-
-
KHC NASDAQ · Kraft Heinz Co
27 Mar 202621.66
25.37
17.15%
Buy
0.02
-
-
KIDS NASDAQ · Orthopediatrics Corp
12 Dec 202517.60
19.95
13.35%
Buy
0.06
-
-
KLRS NASDAQ · Kalaris Therapeutics, Inc.
8 Aug 20252.67
4.75
77.90%
Buy
0.16
-
-
KLTR NASDAQ · Kaltura Inc
15 May 20261.46
1.26
-13.70%
Buy
0.20
-
-
KMB NASDAQ · Kimberly-Clark Corporation
13 Feb 2026106.71
114.72
7.51%
Buy
0.25
-
-
KMPR NYSE · Kemper Corporation
26 Jun 202626.81
28.83
7.53%
Buy
0.04
-
-
KMX NYSE · CarMax Inc
9 Jan 202645.23
50.98
12.71%
Buy
0.25
-
-
KNF NYSE · Knife River Corporation
19 Dec 202573.46
84.88
15.55%
Buy
0.32
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 121-150 of 10675
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CLOV NASDAQ · Clover Health Investments Corp
5.41
Reversal Risk Warning
332.80%
Entry 21 Jun 2024 1.25
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CLYM NASDAQ · Climb Bio Inc
13.08
Reversal Risk Warning
205.61%
Entry 19 Dec 2025 4.28
26 Jun 2026
Entry
CMG NYSE · Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
33.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CMPS NASDAQ · Compass Pathways Plc
14.82
Reversal Risk Warning
303.27%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 3.68
26 Jun 2026
Entry
CNMD NYSE · CONMED Corporation
35.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
26 Jun 2026
Entry
COO NASDAQ · The Cooper Companies, Inc
71.02
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.34
26 Jun 2026
Entry
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
79.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.31
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CPIX NASDAQ · Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc
6.75
Reversal Risk Warning
446.56%
Entry 6 Dec 2024 1.24
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CTOS NYSE · Custom Truck One Source Inc
11.94
Reversal Risk Warning
151.37%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 4.75
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CXW NYSE · CoreCivic Inc
30.77
Reversal Risk Warning
169.68%
Entry 20 Oct 2023 11.41
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CZFS NASDAQ · Citizens Financial Services Inc. Common Stock
73.82
Reversal Risk Warning
59.61%
Entry 12 Jul 2024 46.25
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CZWI NASDAQ · Citizens Community Bancorp Inc
23.54
Reversal Risk Warning
127.38%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 10.35
26 Jun 2026
Exit
DAL NYSE · Delta Air Lines Inc
92.57
Reversal Risk Warning
124.83%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 41.17
26 Jun 2026
Exit
DAVE NASDAQ · Dave Inc
348.71
Reversal Risk Warning
335.56%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 80.06
26 Jun 2026
Exit
DCO NYSE · Ducommun Incorporated
177.66
Reversal Risk Warning
217.82%
Entry 3 May 2024 55.90
26 Jun 2026
Entry
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
17.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.78
26 Jun 2026
Exit
DFTX NASDAQ · Definium Therapeutics, Inc.
44.95
Reversal Risk Warning
257.88%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 12.56
26 Jun 2026
Entry
DHR NYSE · Danaher Corporation
196.19
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
26 Jun 2026
Exit
DTI NASDAQ · Drilling Tools International Corp.
1.96
20% entry drawdown
-21.91%
Entry 24 Oct 2025 2.51
26 Jun 2026
Exit
DWSN NASDAQ · Dawson Geophysical Company
5.33
Reversal Risk Warning
248.37%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 1.53
26 Jun 2026
Exit
ECPG NASDAQ · Encore Capital Group Inc
90.62
Reversal Risk Warning
139.10%
Entry 30 May 2025 37.90
26 Jun 2026
Entry
ELF NYSE · ELF Beauty Inc
67.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
26 Jun 2026
Entry
ENGS NASDAQ · Energys Group Limited Ordinary Shares
2.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.79
26 Jun 2026
Exit
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
47.58
20% entry drawdown
-25.69%
Entry 22 May 2026 64.03
26 Jun 2026
Exit
ENVA NYSE · Enova International Inc
231.04
Reversal Risk Warning
319.31%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 55.10
26 Jun 2026
Entry
ERIE NASDAQ · Erie Indemnity Company
238.71
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.43
26 Jun 2026
Exit
ETON NASDAQ · Eton Pharmaceuticals Inc
35.70
Reversal Risk Warning
346.25%
Entry 11 Oct 2024 8.00
26 Jun 2026
Exit
EVC NYSE · Entravision Communications
12.03
Reversal Risk Warning
358.84%
Entry 21 Nov 2025 2.62
26 Jun 2026
Exit
EW NYSE · Edwards Lifesciences Corp
90.78
Reversal Risk Warning
37.07%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 66.23
26 Jun 2026
Exit
EWTX NASDAQ · Edgewise Therapeutics Inc
41.46
Reversal Risk Warning
278.98%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 10.94