View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

Market United States

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00

Index Value

479.75

Total Return

379.75%

CAGR

56.00% Annualized from first index week

Edge vs Market

+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR

Risk Adjusted

Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16

Current Holdings

1081

Transactions

10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk

Exit Mix

4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions

This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close

ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated

237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc

30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc

32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock

71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc

2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc

49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc

62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc

41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc

10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc

78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC

4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc

9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ONT NYSE · Onterris

20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp

6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation

164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd

5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc

9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc

14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close

ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc

2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%

AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.

34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%

AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC

11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%

ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The

1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%

ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc

6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%

AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc

1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%

BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global

1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%

BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc

11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%

BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc

1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%

EIX NYSE · Edison International

77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%

EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc

1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%

EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR

1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%

GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock

1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%

GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares

1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%

HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc

51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%

INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.

3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%

JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares

9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%

LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation

3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%

LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.

7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%

MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated

4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%

OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.

2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%

OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc

2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%

PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc

62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%

PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc

2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%

PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc

0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%

PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares

0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%

QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc

12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%

RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.

10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%

RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc

2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%

SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc

384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%

SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited

1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%

VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc

2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%

WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc

142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%

WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock

14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%

ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.

5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 661-690 of 1081 open

Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS

MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor

16 Jan 20263.03

3.42

12.87%

Buy

0.21

MYSE NASDAQ · Myseum, Inc.

26 Jun 20262.47

2.85

15.38%

Buy

0.07

NABL NYSE · N-Able Inc

22 May 20263.66

4.77

30.33%

Buy

0.08

NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc

31 Oct 20251.33

1.74

30.83%

Buy

2.03

NAVI NASDAQ · Navient Corp

15 May 20267.62

8.65

13.54%

Buy

0.14

NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.

12 Sep 202542.36

83.89

98.04%

Buy

1.47

NCMI NASDAQ · National CineMedia Inc

22 May 20262.99

3.78

26.42%

Buy

0.41

NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company

27 Mar 20269.20

11.11

20.76%

Buy

0.34

NEO NASDAQ · NeoGenomics Inc

29 Aug 20258.78

14.61

66.40%

Buy

0.47

NEOG NASDAQ · Neogen Corporation

7 Nov 20256.40

10.27

60.47%

Buy

1.27

NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc

22 Aug 20252.44

4.27

75.36%

Buy

1.33

NEXT NASDAQ · Nextdecade Corp

20 Feb 20265.48

7.68

40.15%

Buy

0.03

NGNE NASDAQ · Neurogene Inc

2 May 202516.97

37.31

119.86%

Buy

0.20

NIO NYSE · Nio Inc Class A ADR

1 Aug 20255.01

4.88

-2.59%

Buy

1.63

NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.

26 Jun 20261.32

1.15

-12.88%

Buy

1.57

NKE NYSE · Nike Inc

3 Jul 202644.09

43.76

-0.75%

Buy

0.29

NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc

22 May 20263.03

2.60

-14.19%

Buy

1.14

NMAX NYSE · Newsmax, Inc.

17 Apr 20266.95

8.36

20.29%

Buy

1.33

NMP NASDAQ · NMP Acquisition Corp.

1 May 202610.19

10.30

1.03%

Buy

2.46

NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc

30 Jan 20261.49

3.18

113.42%

Buy

0.18

NNDM NASDAQ · Nano Dimension Ltd

11 Jul 20251.58

1.55

-1.90%

Buy

0.14

NOA NYSE · North American Construction Group Ltd

24 Oct 202514.96

13.26

-11.34%

Buy

0.03

NOG NYSE · Northern Oil & Gas Inc

12 Dec 202521.82

21.19

-2.89%

Buy

0.07

NOMA NASDAQ · NOMADAR Corp. Class A Common Stock

22 May 20263.60

2.98

-17.22%

Buy

0.33

NOMD NYSE · Nomad Foods Ltd

5 Jun 20269.91

11.51

16.15%

Buy

0.05

NOVT NASDAQ · Novanta Inc

30 May 2025123.82

148.71

20.10%

Buy

0.03

NOW NYSE · ServiceNow Inc

22 May 2026102.13

103.24

1.09%

Buy

0.41

NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc

17 Jul 20269.26

9.26

New Entry week

Buy

0.13

NRT NYSE · North European Oil Royalty Trust

26 Sep 20255.25

7.73

47.21%

Buy

0.56

NRXP NASDAQ · NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc

10 Apr 20262.22

4.27

92.34%

Buy

0.03

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2941-2970 of 10781

Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers

16 Jan 2026

Exit

ASTS NASDAQ · Ast Spacemobile Inc

115.77

Reversal Risk Warning

833.63%

Entry 5 Jul 2024 12.40

16 Jan 2026

Exit

ATRA NASDAQ · Atara Biotherapeutics Inc

4.54

20% entry drawdown

-50.81%

Entry 6 Jun 2025 9.23

16 Jan 2026

Exit

B NYSE · Barrick Mining Corporation

48.13

Reversal Risk Warning

140.26%

Entry 11 Apr 2025 20.03

16 Jan 2026

Exit

BBVA NYSE · Banco Bilbao Viscaya Argentaria SA ADR

23.64

Reversal Risk Warning

168.75%

Entry 23 Feb 2024 8.80

16 Jan 2026

Exit

BC NYSE · Brunswick Corporation

87.67

Reversal Risk Warning

59.66%

Entry 6 Jun 2025 54.91

16 Jan 2026

Exit

BH NYSE · Biglari Holdings Inc

460.20

Reversal Risk Warning

150.08%

Entry 8 Mar 2024 184.02

16 Jan 2026

Exit

BH-A NYSE · Biglari Holdings Inc

2378.72

Reversal Risk Warning

157.16%

Entry 8 Mar 2024 925.00

16 Jan 2026

Exit

BILI NASDAQ · Bilibili Inc

32.48

Reversal Risk Warning

175.72%

Entry 15 Mar 2024 11.78

16 Jan 2026

Exit

CACI NYSE · CACI International Inc

635.40

Reversal Risk Warning

79.21%

Entry 4 Aug 2023 354.55

16 Jan 2026

Entry

CDLR NYSE · Cadeler A/S

22.07

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38

16 Jan 2026

Exit

CDZI NASDAQ · Cadiz Inc

6.92

Reversal Risk Warning

121.79%

Entry 27 Jun 2025 3.12

16 Jan 2026

Entry

CNH NYSE · CNH Industrial N.V.

10.81

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04

16 Jan 2026

Exit

COLA NASDAQ · Columbus Acquisition Corp Ordinary Shares

10.50

Reversal Risk Warning

1.55%

Entry 14 Nov 2025 10.34

16 Jan 2026

Exit

COUR NYSE · Coursera Inc

6.29

20% entry drawdown

-26.09%

Entry 2 May 2025 8.51

16 Jan 2026

Exit

CSWC NASDAQ · Capital Southwest Corporation

22.59

Reversal Risk Warning

45.90%

Entry 4 Aug 2023 15.48

16 Jan 2026

Exit

CTMX NASDAQ · CytomX Therapeutics Inc

5.39

Reversal Risk Warning

480.57%

Entry 9 May 2025 0.93

16 Jan 2026

Exit

DJCO NASDAQ · Daily Journal Corp

657.15

Reversal Risk Warning

95.06%

Entry 24 Nov 2023 336.90

16 Jan 2026

Entry

DMLP NASDAQ · Dorchester Minerals LP

22.11

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02

16 Jan 2026

Entry

DOW NYSE · Dow Inc

26.98

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.59

16 Jan 2026

Entry

ECOR NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC

7.14

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.07

16 Jan 2026

Exit

EMR NYSE · Emerson Electric Company

148.28

Reversal Risk Warning

70.14%

Entry 14 Jul 2023 87.15

16 Jan 2026

Entry

EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co

18.41

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23

16 Jan 2026

Exit

EPRX NASDAQ · Eupraxia Pharmaceuticals Inc. Common Stock

8.75

Reversal Risk Warning

150.72%

Entry 22 Nov 2024 3.49

16 Jan 2026

Exit

EUDA NASDAQ · EUDA Health Holdings Limited

37.00

20% entry drawdown

-21.61%

Entry 24 Oct 2025 47.20

16 Jan 2026

Exit

FBRX NASDAQ · Forte Biosciences Inc

33.39

Reversal Risk Warning

292.82%

Entry 30 May 2025 8.50

16 Jan 2026

Entry

FGBI NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.

8.02

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01

16 Jan 2026

Exit

FNGR NASDAQ · FingerMotion Inc

1.13

20% entry drawdown

-27.56%

Entry 21 Mar 2025 1.56

16 Jan 2026

Exit

FSLY NASDAQ · Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock

9.03

20% entry drawdown

-21.89%

Entry 7 Nov 2025 11.56

16 Jan 2026

Exit

GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc

1.05

20% entry drawdown

-28.08%

Entry 20 Jun 2025 1.46

16 Jan 2026

Exit

GNL NYSE · Global Net Lease, Inc.

9.29

Reversal Risk Warning

56.43%

Entry 24 May 2024 5.94