Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
484.55
Total Return
384.55%
CAGR
56.82% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.37%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.68 Sortino 5.21
Current Holdings
1108
Transactions
10720 Avg 3056.5/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4806 Stop 41.2% · Warning 58.2% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
29
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
93.27 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.15 MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BBOT NASDAQ · BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics, Inc.
8.32 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
7.25 MD 0.71 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Q NYSE · Qnity Electronics, Inc
143.80 MD 0.79 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
37
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BCDA NASDAQ · Biocardia Inc
0.91 20% entry drawdown · -23.77%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BLZE NASDAQ · Backblaze Inc
17.60 Reversal Risk Warning · 135.29%
BMAC NYSE · Black Mountain Acquisition Corp
10.60 Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.00%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CLYM NASDAQ · Climb Bio Inc
14.00 Reversal Risk Warning · 227.10%
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
4.66 Ticker inactive / final available close · 47.47%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
DENN NASDAQ · Dennys Corp
6.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 51.33%
DWSN NASDAQ · Dawson Geophysical Company
7.57 Reversal Risk Warning · 394.77%
EWTX NASDAQ · Edgewise Therapeutics Inc
45.41 Reversal Risk Warning · 315.08%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
10.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 107.49%
IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
50.06 Reversal Risk Warning · 118.07%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
MBX NASDAQ · MBX Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock
61.05 Reversal Risk Warning · 408.75%
MPLT NASDAQ · MapLight Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
39.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.43%
ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp
28.00 Ticker inactive / final available close · 57.57%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
9.40 Ticker inactive / final available close · 41.10%
PTRN NASDAQ · Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock
28.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 81.85%
RCM NASDAQ · R1 RCM Inc
14.31 Ticker inactive / final available close · 28.92%
RLAY NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc
20.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 566.83%
ROSS NYSE · Ross Acquisition II Corp
11.08 Ticker inactive / final available close · 3.84%
SBFG NASDAQ · SB Financial Group Inc
26.27 Reversal Risk Warning · 94.76%
SLRN NASDAQ · ACELYRIN, INC. Common Stock
2.27 Ticker inactive / final available close · -11.67%
THRD NASDAQ · Third Harmonic Bio Inc.
5.38 Ticker inactive / final available close · 4.06%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
9.44 Reversal Risk Warning · 84.02%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%
WKC NYSE · World Kinect Corporation
35.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 71.05%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 691-720 of 1108 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
22 May 20263.03
2.97
-1.98%
Buy
1.14
-
-
NMAX NYSE · Newsmax, Inc.
17 Apr 20266.95
8.23
18.42%
Buy
1.33
-
-
NMP NASDAQ · NMP Acquisition Corp.
1 May 202610.19
10.28
0.88%
Buy
2.46
-
-
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
30 Jan 20261.49
3.48
133.56%
Buy
0.18
-
-
NNDM NASDAQ · Nano Dimension Ltd
11 Jul 20251.58
1.50
-5.06%
Buy
0.14
-
-
NOA NYSE · North American Construction Group Ltd
24 Oct 202514.96
13.67
-8.60%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NOG NYSE · Northern Oil & Gas Inc
12 Dec 202521.82
18.52
-15.13%
Buy
0.07
-
-
NOMA NASDAQ · NOMADAR Corp. Class A Common Stock
22 May 20263.60
3.11
-13.75%
Buy
0.33
-
-
NOMD NYSE · Nomad Foods Ltd
5 Jun 20269.91
11.53
16.35%
Buy
0.05
-
-
NOVT NASDAQ · Novanta Inc
30 May 2025123.82
156.65
26.51%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NOW NYSE · ServiceNow Inc
22 May 2026102.13
107.71
5.46%
Buy
0.41
-
-
NRT NYSE · North European Oil Royalty Trust
26 Sep 20255.25
7.31
39.22%
Buy
0.56
-
-
NRXP NASDAQ · NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc
10 Apr 20262.22
4.19
88.74%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NSIT NASDAQ · Insight Enterprises Inc
22 May 202697.73
119.81
22.59%
Buy
1.28
-
-
NSP NYSE · Insperity Inc
8 May 202632.02
45.51
42.15%
Buy
0.09
-
-
NSSC NASDAQ · NAPCO Security Technologies Inc
16 May 202527.30
36.07
32.12%
Buy
0.11
-
-
NTIC NASDAQ · Northern Technologies
4 Jul 20258.25
8.15
-1.20%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
20 Feb 202612.64
14.22
12.46%
Buy
0.15
-
-
NTNX NASDAQ · Nutanix Inc
24 Apr 202640.56
54.79
35.08%
Buy
0.02
-
-
NVAX NASDAQ · Novavax Inc
30 May 20257.34
9.33
27.11%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NVCR NASDAQ · Novocure Ltd
1 May 202616.62
16.30
-1.93%
Buy
0.19
-
-
NVO NYSE · Novo Nordisk A/S
22 May 202644.96
49.48
10.05%
Buy
0.26
-
-
NVR NYSE · NVR Inc
26 Jun 20266828.62
6479.39
-5.11%
Buy
0.38
-
-
NVST NYSE · Envista Holdings Corp
16 Aug 202417.91
25.91
44.67%
Buy
0.28
-
-
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
12 Jun 20264.92
5.17
5.08%
Buy
0.17
-
-
NX NYSE · Quanex Building Products
19 Dec 202515.30
17.40
13.74%
Buy
0.25
-
-
NXDR NYSE · NXDR
15 May 20262.03
2.39
17.73%
Buy
0.30
-
-
NXPL NASDAQ · Nextplat Corp
1 May 20266.34
7.03
10.88%
Buy
0.10
-
-
NXRT NYSE · Nexpoint Residential Trust Inc
8 May 202629.38
27.31
-7.05%
Buy
0.03
-
-
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
22 May 20262.65
2.29
-13.58%
Buy
0.46
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2851-2880 of 10720
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
23 Jan 2026
Entry
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.94
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
23 Jan 2026
Entry
QRHC NASDAQ · Quest Resource Holding Corp
2.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.29
23 Jan 2026
Entry
QSEA NASDAQ · Quartzsea Acquisition Corporati
10.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.04
23 Jan 2026
Exit
RCAT NASDAQ · Red Cat Holdings Inc
16.06
Reversal Risk Warning
484.00%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 2.75
23 Jan 2026
Exit
RGLD NASDAQ · Royal Gold Inc
292.56
Reversal Risk Warning
144.80%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 119.51
23 Jan 2026
Entry
RILY NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
9.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.92
23 Jan 2026
Entry
RNAC NASDAQ · Cartesian Therapeutics Inc.
7.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
23 Jan 2026
Entry
RXO NYSE · RXO Inc.
15.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
23 Jan 2026
Exit
SBSW NYSE · Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR
18.90
Reversal Risk Warning
216.78%
Entry 23 May 2025 5.97
23 Jan 2026
Entry
SIDU NASDAQ · Sidus Space Inc
4.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.47
23 Jan 2026
Exit
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
2.94
Reversal Risk Warning
180.00%
Entry 29 Nov 2024 1.05
23 Jan 2026
Entry
SPHL NASDAQ · Springview Holdings Ltd Class A Ordinary Shares
6.08
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
23 Jan 2026
Exit
SRL NYSE · Scully Royalty Ltd
8.95
Reversal Risk Warning
54.27%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 5.80
23 Jan 2026
Entry
TKLF NASDAQ · Yoshitsu Co Ltd ADR
3.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
23 Jan 2026
Exit
TLK NYSE · Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT ADR Rep 100 B
20.75
Reversal Risk Warning
50.99%
Entry 2 May 2025 13.74
23 Jan 2026
Exit
TMC NASDAQ · TMC the metals company Inc
9.44
Reversal Risk Warning
218.92%
Entry 18 Apr 2025 2.96
23 Jan 2026
Entry
TREX NYSE · Trex Company Inc
42.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
23 Jan 2026
Entry
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.79
23 Jan 2026
Entry
TSQ NYSE · Townsquare Media Inc
5.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
23 Jan 2026
Entry
TVAI NASDAQ · Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation II Class A Ordinary Shares
10.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.95
23 Jan 2026
Entry
UFI NYSE · Unifi Inc
3.87
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
23 Jan 2026
Entry
UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation
2.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
23 Jan 2026
Exit
USGO NASDAQ · U.S. GoldMining Inc. Common stock
15.83
Reversal Risk Warning
154.09%
Entry 2 Feb 2024 6.23
23 Jan 2026
Entry
VRME NASDAQ · VerifyMe Inc
1.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.30
23 Jan 2026
Entry
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
16 Jan 2026
Exit
ACHV NASDAQ · Achieve Life Sciences Inc
5.83
Reversal Risk Warning
117.54%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 2.68
16 Jan 2026
Exit
AKO-B NYSE · Embotelladora Andina S.A
29.26
Reversal Risk Warning
143.81%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 12.00
16 Jan 2026
Exit
ANVS NYSE · Annovis Bio Inc
2.89
20% entry drawdown
-23.75%
Entry 21 Nov 2025 3.79
16 Jan 2026
Exit
ARR NYSE · ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc
17.85
Reversal Risk Warning
38.21%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 12.91
16 Jan 2026
Exit
ASTS NASDAQ · Ast Spacemobile Inc
115.77
Reversal Risk Warning
833.63%
Entry 5 Jul 2024 12.40