Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 811-840 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
RDIB NASDAQ · Reading International B Inc
24 Jan 20256.62
9.01
36.18%
Buy
0.49
-
-
RDNW NASDAQ · RideNow Group, Inc.
15 Aug 20252.96
5.94
100.68%
Buy
0.65
-
-
RDY NYSE · Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories Ltd ADR
2 May 202513.91
12.60
-9.44%
Buy
0.20
-
-
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
3 Jul 20262.17
2.08
-4.15%
Buy
0.08
-
-
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
16 May 2025590.29
676.69
14.64%
Buy
0.10
-
-
RELX NYSE · Relx PLC ADR
24 Apr 202635.83
33.70
-5.95%
Buy
0.13
-
-
RELY NASDAQ · Remitly Global Inc
20 Feb 202617.15
24.13
40.70%
Buy
0.53
-
-
REXR NYSE · Rexford Industrial Realty Inc
20 Jun 202534.88
37.46
7.39%
Buy
0.12
-
-
REYN NASDAQ · Reynolds Consumer Products Inc
25 Jul 202521.29
26.24
23.25%
Buy
0.09
-
-
RFAI NASDAQ · RF Acquisition Corp II Ordinary Shares
2 May 202510.45
11.07
5.88%
Buy
2.21
-
-
RGEN NASDAQ · Repligen Corporation
15 Aug 2025124.35
147.25
18.42%
Buy
0.04
-
-
RGR NYSE · Sturm Ruger & Company Inc
13 Feb 202637.30
37.85
1.47%
Buy
0.04
-
-
RH NYSE · RH
12 Jun 2026153.04
187.88
22.77%
Buy
0.16
-
-
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
29 May 202629.44
41.80
41.98%
Buy
0.72
-
-
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
8 Aug 20253.10
5.14
65.81%
Buy
0.71
-
-
RIVN NASDAQ · Rivian Automotive Inc
7 Jun 202411.52
17.46
51.52%
Buy
0.12
-
-
RLYB NASDAQ · Rallybio Corp
15 Aug 20254.83
16.42
239.82%
Buy
1.19
-
-
RMAX NYSE · Re Max Holding
1 May 202610.78
11.10
2.97%
Buy
0.17
-
-
RMCO NASDAQ · Royalty Management Holding Corporation
4 Jul 20251.59
2.13
34.34%
Buy
1.19
-
-
RNAC NASDAQ · Cartesian Therapeutics Inc.
17 Apr 20267.04
8.26
17.33%
Buy
0.29
-
-
RNGT NASDAQ · Range Capital Acquisition Corp II Class A Ordinary Shares
19 Jun 202610.08
10.12
0.40%
Buy
1.46
-
-
RNW NASDAQ · Renew Energy Global PLC
24 Apr 20265.20
6.29
20.96%
Buy
0.04
-
-
ROP NASDAQ · Roper Technologies Inc
24 Apr 2026353.40
363.14
2.76%
Buy
0.17
-
-
RPAY NASDAQ · Repay Holdings Corp
6 Mar 20262.94
3.88
31.97%
Buy
0.11
-
-
RPC NYSE · Ridgepost Capital, Inc
22 May 20268.24
8.76
6.31%
Buy
0.04
-
-
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
10 Jul 202611.17
12.20
9.22%
Buy
1.19
-
-
RR NASDAQ · Richtech Robotics Inc. Class B Common Stock
20 Dec 20241.27
1.60
25.98%
Buy
0.68
-
-
RRGB NASDAQ · Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc
24 Apr 20263.98
7.01
76.13%
Buy
0.10
-
-
RSKD NYSE · Riskified Ltd
1 May 20264.75
5.23
10.11%
Buy
0.08
-
-
RSSS NASDAQ · Research Solutions Inc
12 Jun 20262.33
2.21
-5.15%
Buy
0.29
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3301-3330 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
12 Dec 2025
Exit
OCUL NASDAQ · Ocular Therapeutix Inc
14.56
Reversal Risk Warning
270.48%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 3.93
12 Dec 2025
Exit
OESX NASDAQ · Orion Energy Systems Inc
17.68
Reversal Risk Warning
143.53%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 7.26
12 Dec 2025
Exit
OLMA NASDAQ · Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc
33.05
Reversal Risk Warning
247.53%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 9.51
12 Dec 2025
Exit
OMF NYSE · OneMain Holdings Inc
66.25
Reversal Risk Warning
78.41%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 37.14
12 Dec 2025
Entry
PNBK NASDAQ · Patriot National Bancorp Inc
1.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.39
12 Dec 2025
Exit
PPIH NASDAQ · Perma-Pipe International Holdings Inc
32.59
Reversal Risk Warning
239.83%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 9.59
12 Dec 2025
Exit
PTLE NASDAQ · PTL LTD Ordinary Shares
10.49
20% entry drawdown
-30.63%
Entry 7 Nov 2025 15.12
12 Dec 2025
Exit
RADX NASDAQ · Radiopharm Theranostics Limited American Depositary Shares
4.26
20% entry drawdown
-20.37%
Entry 1 Aug 2025 5.35
12 Dec 2025
Exit
RILYL NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
3.49
20% entry drawdown
-25.11%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 4.66
12 Dec 2025
Exit
RYAAY NASDAQ · Ryanair Holdings PLC ADR
70.74
Reversal Risk Warning
61.74%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 43.74
12 Dec 2025
Entry
SCNI NASDAQ · Scinai Immunotherapeutics Ltd
1.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
12 Dec 2025
Entry
SFHG NASDAQ · Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited
3.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
12 Dec 2025
Exit
SPWH NASDAQ · Sportsmans
1.52
20% entry drawdown
-23.62%
Entry 16 May 2025 1.99
12 Dec 2025
Entry
STZ NYSE · Constellation Brands Inc Class A
145.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
12 Dec 2025
Exit
SVRA NASDAQ · Savara Inc
6.92
Reversal Risk Warning
127.63%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 3.04
12 Dec 2025
Exit
SYF NYSE · Synchrony Financial
83.55
Reversal Risk Warning
148.29%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 33.65
12 Dec 2025
Entry
TTEC NASDAQ · TTEC Holdings Inc
3.86
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
12 Dec 2025
Exit
VINP NASDAQ · Vinci Partners Investments Ltd
12.54
Reversal Risk Warning
45.12%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 8.64
12 Dec 2025
Exit
VRA NASDAQ · Vera Bradley Inc
1.95
20% entry drawdown
-25.29%
Entry 14 Nov 2025 2.61
12 Dec 2025
Exit
WBD NASDAQ · Warner Bros Discovery Inc
29.98
Reversal Risk Warning
165.31%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 11.30
12 Dec 2025
Exit
WFC NYSE · Wells Fargo & Company
91.77
Reversal Risk Warning
93.35%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 47.46
12 Dec 2025
Exit
ZBIO NASDAQ · Zenas BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock
40.59
Reversal Risk Warning
141.32%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 16.82
5 Dec 2025
Exit
AIRTP NASDAQ · Air T Inc PR
18.77
Reversal Risk Warning
30.45%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 14.39
5 Dec 2025
Exit
AMTX NASDAQ · Aemetis Inc
1.52
20% entry drawdown
-22.05%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 1.95
5 Dec 2025
Exit
ANGO NASDAQ · AngioDynamics Inc
13.47
Reversal Risk Warning
111.46%
Entry 12 Apr 2024 6.37
5 Dec 2025
Exit
ATMC NASDAQ · AlphaTime Acquisition Corp Ordinary Shares
15.63
Reversal Risk Warning
42.87%
Entry 15 Mar 2024 10.94
5 Dec 2025
Entry
BIOX NASDAQ · Bioceres Crop Solutions Corp
1.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.00
5 Dec 2025
Exit
CEPU NYSE · Central Puerto S.A.
17.10
Reversal Risk Warning
168.37%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 6.37
5 Dec 2025
Exit
CODI NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings
5.73
20% entry drawdown
-22.15%
Entry 28 Nov 2025 7.36
5 Dec 2025
Exit
COLL NASDAQ · Collegium Pharmaceutical Inc
47.91
Reversal Risk Warning
83.99%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 26.04