View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 811-840 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
16 May 2025590.29
656.01
11.13%
Buy
0.10
-
-
RELX NYSE · Relx PLC ADR
24 Apr 202635.83
34.41
-3.96%
Buy
0.13
-
-
RELY NASDAQ · Remitly Global Inc
20 Feb 202617.15
22.53
31.37%
Buy
0.53
-
-
REXR NYSE · Rexford Industrial Realty Inc
20 Jun 202534.88
39.00
11.80%
Buy
0.12
-
-
REYN NASDAQ · Reynolds Consumer Products Inc
25 Jul 202521.29
25.61
20.29%
Buy
0.09
-
-
RFAI NASDAQ · RF Acquisition Corp II Ordinary Shares
2 May 202510.45
11.08
5.98%
Buy
2.21
-
-
RGEN NASDAQ · Repligen Corporation
15 Aug 2025124.35
131.96
6.12%
Buy
0.04
-
-
RGR NYSE · Sturm Ruger & Company Inc
13 Feb 202637.30
38.23
2.49%
Buy
0.04
-
-
RH NYSE · RH
12 Jun 2026153.04
174.51
14.03%
Buy
0.16
-
-
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
29 May 202629.44
35.29
19.87%
Buy
0.72
-
-
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
8 Aug 20253.10
5.35
72.58%
Buy
0.71
-
-
RIVN NASDAQ · Rivian Automotive Inc
7 Jun 202411.52
15.84
37.50%
Buy
0.12
-
-
RLYB NASDAQ · Rallybio Corp
15 Aug 20254.83
16.31
237.54%
Buy
1.19
-
-
RMAX NYSE · Re Max Holding
1 May 202610.78
9.37
-13.08%
Buy
0.17
-
-
RMCO NASDAQ · Royalty Management Holding Corporation
4 Jul 20251.59
2.30
45.06%
Buy
1.19
-
-
RNAC NASDAQ · Cartesian Therapeutics Inc.
17 Apr 20267.04
7.88
11.93%
Buy
0.29
-
-
RNGT NASDAQ · Range Capital Acquisition Corp II Class A Ordinary Shares
19 Jun 202610.08
10.12
0.40%
Buy
1.47
-
-
RNW NASDAQ · Renew Energy Global PLC
24 Apr 20265.20
6.15
18.27%
Buy
0.04
-
-
ROP NASDAQ · Roper Technologies Inc
24 Apr 2026353.40
367.34
3.94%
Buy
0.17
-
-
RPAY NASDAQ · Repay Holdings Corp
6 Mar 20262.94
3.80
29.25%
Buy
0.11
-
-
RPC NYSE · Ridgepost Capital, Inc
22 May 20268.24
8.42
2.18%
Buy
0.04
-
-
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
10 Jul 202611.17
9.49
-15.04%
Buy
1.18
-
-
RR NASDAQ · Richtech Robotics Inc. Class B Common Stock
20 Dec 20241.27
1.55
22.05%
Buy
0.68
-
-
RRGB NASDAQ · Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc
24 Apr 20263.98
7.22
81.41%
Buy
0.10
-
-
RSKD NYSE · Riskified Ltd
1 May 20264.75
5.02
5.68%
Buy
0.08
-
-
RSSS NASDAQ · Research Solutions Inc
12 Jun 20262.33
2.20
-5.58%
Buy
0.29
-
-
RTO NYSE · Rentokil Initial PLC
2 May 202523.30
28.37
21.75%
Buy
0.08
-
-
RVTY NYSE · Revvity Inc.
24 Oct 202598.75
110.47
11.86%
Buy
0.22
-
-
RXO NYSE · RXO Inc.
20 Mar 202613.23
25.63
93.73%
Buy
0.13
-
-
RYAN NYSE · Ryan Specialty Group Holdings Inc
12 Jun 202635.64
41.75
17.14%
Buy
0.31
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4171-4200 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
29 Aug 2025
Entry
OMH NASDAQ · Ohmyhome Limited Ordinary Shares
1.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
29 Aug 2025
Exit
PAXS NYSE · PIMCO Access Income Fund
14.58
Reversal Risk Warning
39.80%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 10.43
29 Aug 2025
Entry
PCG NYSE · PG&E Corp
15.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
29 Aug 2025
Exit
RM NYSE · Regional Management Corp
42.75
Reversal Risk Warning
85.49%
Entry 19 Jan 2024 23.05
29 Aug 2025
Entry
RMTI NASDAQ · Rockwell Medical Inc
17.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.08
29 Aug 2025
Exit
ROMA NASDAQ · Roma Green Finance Limited Ordinary Shares
2.22
20% entry drawdown
-27.92%
Entry 30 May 2025 3.08
29 Aug 2025
Exit
SJ NASDAQ · Scienjoy Holding Corp
0.64
20% entry drawdown
-30.12%
Entry 2 May 2025 0.92
29 Aug 2025
Exit
SNDL NASDAQ · SNDL Inc.
2.68
Reversal Risk Warning
74.03%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 1.54
29 Aug 2025
Exit
TBBK NASDAQ · The Bancorp Inc
76.24
Reversal Risk Warning
114.82%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 35.49
29 Aug 2025
Exit
TELO NASDAQ · Telomir Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Common Stock
1.32
20% entry drawdown
-25.00%
Entry 1 Aug 2025 1.76
29 Aug 2025
Entry
TROO NASDAQ · TROOPS Inc
1.02
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.40
29 Aug 2025
Entry
UNH NYSE · UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
301.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
29 Aug 2025
Exit
WYNN NASDAQ · Wynn Resorts Limited
125.86
Reversal Risk Warning
31.30%
Entry 16 May 2025 95.86
29 Aug 2025
Exit
YI NASDAQ · 111 Inc
6.43
20% entry drawdown
-23.09%
Entry 21 Feb 2025 8.36
22 Aug 2025
Exit
AAME NASDAQ · Atlantic American Corporation
3.28
Reversal Risk Warning
99.32%
Entry 6 Sep 2024 1.65
22 Aug 2025
Entry
AFRI NASDAQ · Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares
9.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.71
22 Aug 2025
Exit
AIIO NASDAQ · Robo.ai Inc.
22.20
20% entry drawdown
-21.28%
Entry 1 Aug 2025 28.20
22 Aug 2025
Exit
ALLE NYSE · Allegion PLC
169.85
Reversal Risk Warning
60.26%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 105.98
22 Aug 2025
Exit
AN NYSE · AutoNation Inc
218.80
Reversal Risk Warning
56.05%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 140.21
22 Aug 2025
Exit
AORT NYSE · Artivion Inc
44.83
Reversal Risk Warning
148.09%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 18.07
22 Aug 2025
Exit
AS NYSE · Amer Sports, Inc.
41.48
Reversal Risk Warning
185.87%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 14.51
22 Aug 2025
Entry
ASC NYSE · Ardmore Shpng
10.96
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.96
22 Aug 2025
Entry
ATLN NASDAQ · Atlantic International Corp. Common Stock
4.71
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
22 Aug 2025
Exit
AZO NYSE · AutoZone Inc
4110.61
Reversal Risk Warning
52.11%
Entry 10 Nov 2023 2702.34
22 Aug 2025
Entry
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
9.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.91
22 Aug 2025
Entry
BETR NASDAQ · Better Home & Finance Holding Company
17.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.42
22 Aug 2025
Exit
BNKK NASDAQ · Bonk, Inc.
16.85
20% entry drawdown
-35.57%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 26.16
22 Aug 2025
Exit
CBRE NYSE · CBRE Group Inc Class A
164.41
Reversal Risk Warning
98.83%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 82.69
22 Aug 2025
Exit
CG NASDAQ · Carlyle Group Inc
63.40
Reversal Risk Warning
110.77%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 30.08
22 Aug 2025
Entry
CGAU NYSE · Centerra Gold Inc
7.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38