Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 811-840 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
RDIB NASDAQ · Reading International B Inc
24 Jan 20256.62
9.01
36.18%
Buy
0.49
-
-
RDNW NASDAQ · RideNow Group, Inc.
15 Aug 20252.96
5.94
100.68%
Buy
0.65
-
-
RDY NYSE · Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories Ltd ADR
2 May 202513.91
12.60
-9.44%
Buy
0.20
-
-
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
3 Jul 20262.17
2.08
-4.15%
Buy
0.08
-
-
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
16 May 2025590.29
676.69
14.64%
Buy
0.10
-
-
RELX NYSE · Relx PLC ADR
24 Apr 202635.83
33.70
-5.95%
Buy
0.13
-
-
RELY NASDAQ · Remitly Global Inc
20 Feb 202617.15
24.13
40.70%
Buy
0.53
-
-
REXR NYSE · Rexford Industrial Realty Inc
20 Jun 202534.88
37.46
7.39%
Buy
0.12
-
-
REYN NASDAQ · Reynolds Consumer Products Inc
25 Jul 202521.29
26.24
23.25%
Buy
0.09
-
-
RFAI NASDAQ · RF Acquisition Corp II Ordinary Shares
2 May 202510.45
11.07
5.88%
Buy
2.21
-
-
RGEN NASDAQ · Repligen Corporation
15 Aug 2025124.35
147.25
18.42%
Buy
0.04
-
-
RGR NYSE · Sturm Ruger & Company Inc
13 Feb 202637.30
37.85
1.47%
Buy
0.04
-
-
RH NYSE · RH
12 Jun 2026153.04
187.88
22.77%
Buy
0.16
-
-
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
29 May 202629.44
41.80
41.98%
Buy
0.72
-
-
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
8 Aug 20253.10
5.14
65.81%
Buy
0.71
-
-
RIVN NASDAQ · Rivian Automotive Inc
7 Jun 202411.52
17.46
51.52%
Buy
0.12
-
-
RLYB NASDAQ · Rallybio Corp
15 Aug 20254.83
16.42
239.82%
Buy
1.19
-
-
RMAX NYSE · Re Max Holding
1 May 202610.78
11.10
2.97%
Buy
0.17
-
-
RMCO NASDAQ · Royalty Management Holding Corporation
4 Jul 20251.59
2.13
34.34%
Buy
1.19
-
-
RNAC NASDAQ · Cartesian Therapeutics Inc.
17 Apr 20267.04
8.26
17.33%
Buy
0.29
-
-
RNGT NASDAQ · Range Capital Acquisition Corp II Class A Ordinary Shares
19 Jun 202610.08
10.12
0.40%
Buy
1.46
-
-
RNW NASDAQ · Renew Energy Global PLC
24 Apr 20265.20
6.29
20.96%
Buy
0.04
-
-
ROP NASDAQ · Roper Technologies Inc
24 Apr 2026353.40
363.14
2.76%
Buy
0.17
-
-
RPAY NASDAQ · Repay Holdings Corp
6 Mar 20262.94
3.88
31.97%
Buy
0.11
-
-
RPC NYSE · Ridgepost Capital, Inc
22 May 20268.24
8.76
6.31%
Buy
0.04
-
-
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
10 Jul 202611.17
12.20
9.22%
Buy
1.19
-
-
RR NASDAQ · Richtech Robotics Inc. Class B Common Stock
20 Dec 20241.27
1.60
25.98%
Buy
0.68
-
-
RRGB NASDAQ · Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc
24 Apr 20263.98
7.01
76.13%
Buy
0.10
-
-
RSKD NYSE · Riskified Ltd
1 May 20264.75
5.23
10.11%
Buy
0.08
-
-
RSSS NASDAQ · Research Solutions Inc
12 Jun 20262.33
2.21
-5.15%
Buy
0.29
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2761-2790 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TVGN NASDAQ · Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc.
13.73
20% entry drawdown
-27.66%
Entry 11 Oct 2024 18.98
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TXT NYSE · Textron Inc
95.40
Reversal Risk Warning
24.56%
Entry 16 May 2025 76.59
6 Feb 2026
Exit
UBFO NASDAQ · United Security Bancshares
11.41
Reversal Risk Warning
75.13%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 6.52
6 Feb 2026
Exit
UBSI NASDAQ · United Bankshares Inc
44.71
Reversal Risk Warning
47.93%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 30.22
6 Feb 2026
Exit
UCB NYSE · United Community Banks, Inc.
35.94
Reversal Risk Warning
43.02%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 25.13
6 Feb 2026
Entry
ULH NASDAQ · Universal Logistics Holdings Inc
17.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.60
6 Feb 2026
Exit
USB NYSE · U.S. Bancorp
60.09
Reversal Risk Warning
76.97%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 33.95
6 Feb 2026
Entry
VHI NYSE · Valhi Inc
15.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.25
6 Feb 2026
Exit
WASH NASDAQ · Washington Trust Bancorp Inc
36.14
Reversal Risk Warning
51.26%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 23.90
6 Feb 2026
Exit
WBS NYSE · Webster Financial Corporation
72.33
Reversal Risk Warning
76.45%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 40.99
6 Feb 2026
Exit
WMS NYSE · Advanced Drainage Systems Inc
174.93
Reversal Risk Warning
53.30%
Entry 7 Mar 2025 114.11
6 Feb 2026
Exit
WMT NASDAQ · Walmart Inc.
130.66
Reversal Risk Warning
129.00%
Entry 23 Feb 2024 57.06
6 Feb 2026
Exit
WNEB NASDAQ · Western New England Bancorp Inc
14.17
Reversal Risk Warning
116.31%
Entry 27 Oct 2023 6.55
6 Feb 2026
Exit
WS NYSE · Worthington Steel Inc
47.29
Reversal Risk Warning
77.63%
Entry 16 May 2025 26.62
6 Feb 2026
Exit
WSBC NASDAQ · WesBanco, Inc.
37.06
Reversal Risk Warning
53.62%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 24.12
6 Feb 2026
Exit
WTBA NASDAQ · West Bancorporation
25.78
Reversal Risk Warning
55.39%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 16.59
6 Feb 2026
Exit
WTFC NASDAQ · Wintrust Financial Corporation
160.75
Reversal Risk Warning
103.37%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 79.04
6 Feb 2026
Exit
XLO NASDAQ · Xilio Development Inc
7.57
20% entry drawdown
-21.44%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 9.64
6 Feb 2026
Entry
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
4.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.47
6 Feb 2026
Exit
YUMC NYSE · Yum China Holdings Inc
57.25
Reversal Risk Warning
75.62%
Entry 30 Aug 2024 32.60
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ZWS NYSE · Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation
52.55
Reversal Risk Warning
77.67%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 29.57
30 Jan 2026
Entry
AEHR NASDAQ · Aehr Test Systems
25.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
30 Jan 2026
Exit
AMTM NYSE · Amentum Holdings Inc.
35.78
Reversal Risk Warning
68.69%
Entry 9 May 2025 21.21
30 Jan 2026
Exit
ARI NYSE · Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc
10.56
Reversal Risk Warning
29.67%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 8.14
30 Jan 2026
Exit
ASPS NASDAQ · Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA
5.37
20% entry drawdown
-21.95%
Entry 14 Mar 2025 6.88
30 Jan 2026
Exit
AX NYSE · Axos Financial Inc
98.99
Reversal Risk Warning
134.68%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 42.18
30 Jan 2026
Exit
BBD NYSE · Banco Bradesco SA ADR
3.97
Reversal Risk Warning
103.46%
Entry 14 Feb 2025 1.95
30 Jan 2026
Entry
BLNE NASDAQ · Beeline Holdings, Inc.
3.03
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
30 Jan 2026
Exit
CHRW NASDAQ · CH Robinson Worldwide Inc
193.61
Reversal Risk Warning
104.37%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 94.73
30 Jan 2026
Entry
CLX NYSE · The Clorox Company
111.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.57