Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 61-90 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
AMPH NASDAQ · Amphastar P
26 Jun 202621.78
18.72
-14.05%
Buy
0.46
-
-
AMPL NASDAQ · Amplitude Inc
22 May 20266.70
9.18
37.01%
Buy
0.34
-
-
AMPY NYSE · Amplify Energy Corp
13 Jun 20253.56
3.94
10.67%
Buy
0.03
-
-
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
19 Sep 2025166.10
146.69
-11.69%
Buy
1.61
-
-
AMRC NYSE · Ameresco Inc
6 Jun 202515.51
24.94
60.80%
Buy
0.49
-
-
AMRN NASDAQ · Amarin Corporation PLC
23 May 202511.11
14.88
33.93%
Buy
0.02
-
-
AMSF NASDAQ · AMERISAFE Inc
19 Jun 202631.32
34.46
10.03%
Buy
0.17
-
-
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
12 Jun 20261.26
1.14
-9.52%
Buy
0.28
-
-
AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp
8 May 20267.97
9.91
24.34%
Buy
1.34
-
-
ANF NYSE · Abercrombie & Fitch Company
6 Jun 202582.99
93.07
12.15%
Buy
0.22
-
-
ANGI NASDAQ · ANGI Homeservices Inc
3 Jul 20266.06
6.24
2.97%
Buy
0.09
-
-
ANIK NASDAQ · Anika Therapeutics Inc
24 Oct 202510.01
15.60
55.84%
Buy
0.89
-
-
ANNX NASDAQ · Annexon Inc
12 Sep 20252.42
5.80
139.67%
Buy
0.33
-
-
ANTX NASDAQ · AN2 Therapeutics Inc
6 Mar 20262.85
4.50
57.89%
Buy
0.07
-
-
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
10 Jul 202660.44
60.44
New Entry week
Buy
0.00
-
-
AOUT NASDAQ · American Outdoor Brands Inc
26 Dec 20258.28
14.34
73.19%
Buy
0.41
-
-
APOG NASDAQ · Apogee Enterprises Inc
5 Jun 202637.01
38.82
4.89%
Buy
0.04
-
-
APPF NASDAQ · Appfolio Inc
15 May 2026151.70
175.58
15.74%
Buy
0.02
-
-
APPN NASDAQ · Appian Corp
5 Jun 202624.73
25.36
2.55%
Buy
0.08
-
-
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
6 Jun 202566.64
60.57
-9.11%
Buy
0.17
-
-
APXT NASDAQ · Apex Treasury Corporation
19 Jun 202610.06
10.07
0.10%
Buy
1.12
-
-
APYX NASDAQ · Apyx Medical Inc
13 Jun 20251.75
4.38
150.29%
Buy
0.86
-
-
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
10 Jul 20260.42
0.42
New Entry week
Buy
0.40
-
-
ARCO NYSE · Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc
31 Oct 20257.05
8.46
20.03%
Buy
0.33
-
-
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
27 Feb 20268.23
6.97
-15.31%
Buy
0.18
-
-
ARDT NYSE · Ardent Health Partners, Inc.
27 Feb 20269.39
10.08
7.35%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ARDX NASDAQ · Ardelyx Inc
18 Jul 20254.41
5.28
19.73%
Buy
0.03
-
-
ARES NYSE · Ares Management LP
22 May 2026122.41
121.81
-0.49%
Buy
0.24
-
-
ARHS NASDAQ · Arhaus Inc
26 Jun 20268.41
7.86
-6.54%
Buy
0.42
-
-
ARKR NASDAQ · Ark Restaurants Corp
2 Jan 20266.61
5.85
-11.50%
Buy
0.11
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 961-990 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
29 May 2026
Exit
MDAI NASDAQ · Spectral AI Inc.
2.07
20% entry drawdown
-22.76%
Entry 22 May 2026 2.68
29 May 2026
Entry
MMYT NASDAQ · MakeMyTrip Limited
46.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
29 May 2026
Entry
MNKD NASDAQ · MannKind Corp
3.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
29 May 2026
Exit
MOV NYSE · Movado Group Inc
37.86
Reversal Risk Warning
106.58%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 18.33
29 May 2026
Entry
MRM NASDAQ · Medirom Healthcare Technologies Inc
1.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
29 May 2026
Exit
MSGS NYSE · Madison Square Garden Sports Corp
374.29
Reversal Risk Warning
79.20%
Entry 23 Aug 2024 208.87
29 May 2026
Exit
MT NYSE · ArcelorMittal SA ADR
69.41
Reversal Risk Warning
103.75%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 34.07
29 May 2026
Exit
NBXG NYSE · Neuberger Berman Next Generation Connectivity Fund Inc
16.57
Reversal Risk Warning
99.61%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 8.30
29 May 2026
Exit
NTAP NASDAQ · NetApp Inc
174.29
Reversal Risk Warning
100.55%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 86.90
29 May 2026
Entry
NTCL NASDAQ · NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY INC Class A Ordinary Shares
49.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 3.04
29 May 2026
Exit
NTZ NYSE · Natuzzi SpA
2.18
20% entry drawdown
-27.57%
Entry 16 Jan 2026 3.01
29 May 2026
Exit
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
3.40
20% entry drawdown
-23.74%
Entry 1 May 2026 4.46
29 May 2026
Entry
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.61
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.54
29 May 2026
Exit
NXT NASDAQ · Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock
156.40
Reversal Risk Warning
253.93%
Entry 17 Jan 2025 44.19
29 May 2026
Exit
NXXT NASDAQ · NextNRG Inc.
0.64
20% entry drawdown
-25.38%
Entry 22 May 2026 0.86
29 May 2026
Exit
OKTA NASDAQ · Okta Inc
123.27
Reversal Risk Warning
33.64%
Entry 22 May 2026 92.24
29 May 2026
Entry
OTGA NASDAQ · OTG Acquisition Corp. I Class A Ordinary Share
10.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.27
29 May 2026
Exit
OUST NASDAQ · Ouster, Inc. Common Stock
46.05
Reversal Risk Warning
315.61%
Entry 16 May 2025 11.08
29 May 2026
Exit
OVBC NASDAQ · Ohio Valley Banc Corp
48.05
Reversal Risk Warning
113.99%
Entry 2 Feb 2024 22.45
29 May 2026
Entry
OWL NYSE · Blue Owl Capital Inc
10.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.40
29 May 2026
Entry
OWLS NASDAQ · OBOOK Holdings Inc. Class A Common Shares
5.80
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.48
29 May 2026
Entry
PATH NYSE · Uipath Inc
11.72
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
29 May 2026
Entry
PAYO NASDAQ · Payoneer Global Inc
5.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.33
29 May 2026
Exit
PDLB NASDAQ · Ponce Financial Group Inc
18.88
Reversal Risk Warning
107.47%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 9.10
29 May 2026
Entry
PHR NYSE · Phreesia Inc
9.86
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.44
29 May 2026
Exit
PL NYSE · Planet Labs PBC
51.14
Reversal Risk Warning
360.31%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 11.11
29 May 2026
Exit
PMVP NASDAQ · Pmv Pharmaceuticals Inc
1.20
20% entry drawdown
-23.08%
Entry 13 Mar 2026 1.56
29 May 2026
Exit
PODC NASDAQ · Courtside Group, Inc. Common Stock
4.94
Reversal Risk Warning
184.68%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 1.74
29 May 2026
Exit
PRTS NASDAQ · CarParts.Com Inc
5.54
20% entry drawdown
-25.80%
Entry 6 Mar 2026 7.47
29 May 2026
Entry
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
16.08
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.95