Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 931-960 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
TECH NASDAQ · Bio-Techne Corp
19 Jun 202657.94
72.12
24.47%
Buy
0.11
-
-
TECX NASDAQ · Tectonic Therapeutic, Inc.
21 Nov 202519.18
32.60
69.97%
Buy
0.02
-
-
TENB NASDAQ · Tenable Holdings Inc
1 May 202621.23
39.88
87.85%
Buy
0.34
-
-
TENX NASDAQ · Tenax Therapeutics Inc
26 Sep 20257.26
15.85
118.32%
Buy
1.03
-
-
TFIN NYSE · Triumph Financial, Inc.
7 Nov 202553.86
80.61
49.67%
Buy
0.08
-
-
TFX NYSE · Teleflex Incorporated
25 Jul 2025115.85
134.61
16.20%
Buy
0.19
-
-
TGE NYSE · The Generation Essentials Group
12 Jun 20261.04
0.94
-9.62%
Buy
0.05
-
-
TGHL NASDAQ · The GrowHub Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
10 Apr 20260.36
1.04
189.61%
Buy
0.59
-
-
TGT NYSE · Target Corporation
27 Jun 202595.12
139.60
46.77%
Buy
0.27
-
-
THRM NASDAQ · Gentherm Inc
6 Jun 202527.05
35.94
32.87%
Buy
0.10
-
-
TITN NASDAQ · Titan Machinery Inc
28 Mar 202517.27
19.14
10.83%
Buy
0.63
-
-
TJGC NASDAQ · TJGC Group Limited
10 Apr 20262.82
4.47
58.51%
Buy
0.67
-
-
TLF NASDAQ · Tandy Leather Factory Inc
6 Feb 20262.41
2.40
-0.65%
Buy
0.51
-
-
TLIH NASDAQ · Ten-League International Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
1 May 20263.66
5.70
55.74%
Buy
0.29
-
-
TLSI NASDAQ · TriSalus Life Sciences Inc.
26 Jun 20264.73
4.29
-9.30%
Buy
0.10
-
-
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
6 Mar 20267.52
10.46
39.10%
Buy
0.31
-
-
TLYS NYSE · Tillys Inc
13 Mar 20262.69
3.96
47.21%
Buy
0.32
-
-
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
15 May 20262.66
4.30
61.65%
Buy
0.92
-
-
TNC NYSE · Tennant Company
24 Apr 202681.23
86.11
6.01%
Buy
0.11
-
-
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
15 May 20260.78
0.69
-10.95%
Buy
0.53
-
-
TREX NYSE · Trex Company Inc
23 Jan 202642.55
45.13
6.06%
Buy
0.12
-
-
TRIP NASDAQ · TripAdvisor Inc
1 May 202611.56
14.58
26.12%
Buy
0.05
-
-
TRNS NASDAQ · Transcat Inc
6 Feb 202676.33
87.90
15.16%
Buy
0.59
-
-
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
23 Jan 20266.21
5.84
-5.98%
Buy
1.79
-
-
TRUP NASDAQ · Trupanion Inc
19 Jun 202623.54
26.70
13.42%
Buy
0.11
-
-
TSQ NYSE · Townsquare Media Inc
23 Jan 20265.65
6.61
16.91%
Buy
0.17
-
-
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
10 Jul 202630.99
31.59
1.94%
Buy
0.06
-
-
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
22 Nov 20244.13
3.53
-14.53%
Buy
0.21
-
-
TUSK NASDAQ · Mammoth Energy Services Inc
16 Jan 20262.29
2.80
22.27%
Buy
0.35
-
-
TV NYSE · Grupo Televisa SAB ADR
21 Feb 20251.85
2.71
46.33%
Buy
0.21
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3121-3150 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
2 Jan 2026
Exit
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1.93
20% entry drawdown
-22.80%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 2.50
2 Jan 2026
Entry
CGTL NASDAQ · Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
18.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.08
2 Jan 2026
Entry
CHH NYSE · Choice Hotels International Inc
95.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
2 Jan 2026
Entry
CMCSA NASDAQ · Comcast Corp
25.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
2 Jan 2026
Entry
DJT NASDAQ · Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.
13.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
2 Jan 2026
Exit
DX NYSE · Dynex Capital Inc
13.22
Reversal Risk Warning
49.23%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 8.86
2 Jan 2026
Exit
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
2.05
20% entry drawdown
-20.23%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 2.57
2 Jan 2026
Exit
ESHA NASDAQ · ESH Acquisition Corp. Class A Common Stock
15.25
Reversal Risk Warning
35.68%
Entry 10 Jan 2025 11.24
2 Jan 2026
Exit
FDMT NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
7.32
20% entry drawdown
-25.61%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 9.84
2 Jan 2026
Entry
INBK NASDAQ · First Internet Bancorp
20.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
2 Jan 2026
Exit
IRS NYSE · IRSA Inversiones Y Representaciones
16.62
Reversal Risk Warning
142.66%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 6.85
2 Jan 2026
Exit
MSB NYSE · Mesabi Trust
38.93
Reversal Risk Warning
147.82%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 15.71
2 Jan 2026
Entry
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
5.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.69
2 Jan 2026
Exit
NRDY NYSE · Nerdy Inc
1.02
20% entry drawdown
-24.44%
Entry 12 Dec 2025 1.35
2 Jan 2026
Entry
OMSE NASDAQ · OMS Energy Technologies Inc.
4.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
2 Jan 2026
Entry
OPTX NASDAQ · Syntec Optics Holdings Inc.
3.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
2 Jan 2026
Exit
ORIO NASDAQ · Orion Digital Corp.
1.01
20% entry drawdown
-21.09%
Entry 16 May 2025 1.28
2 Jan 2026
Exit
OXLCO NASDAQ · Oxford Lane Capital Corp Corp Pref 9
22.83
Reversal Risk Warning
23.53%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 18.48
2 Jan 2026
Entry
POWI NASDAQ · Power Integrations Inc
37.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
2 Jan 2026
Entry
PSEC NASDAQ · Prospect Capital Corporation
2.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.62
2 Jan 2026
Entry
PSIG NASDAQ · PS International Group Ltd. Ordinary Shares
4.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.79
2 Jan 2026
Exit
REKR NASDAQ · Rekor Systems Inc
1.42
20% entry drawdown
-20.67%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 1.79
2 Jan 2026
Entry
SIDU NASDAQ · Sidus Space Inc
4.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.29
2 Jan 2026
Entry
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
480.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
2 Jan 2026
Entry
SON NYSE · Sonoco Products Company
43.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
2 Jan 2026
Exit
TMO NYSE · Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc
591.32
Reversal Risk Warning
43.10%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 413.24
2 Jan 2026
Entry
UA NYSE · Under Armour Inc C
5.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.43
2 Jan 2026
Entry
UAA NYSE · Under Armour Inc A
5.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.54
2 Jan 2026
Entry
UXIN NASDAQ · Uxin Ltd
3.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.46
2 Jan 2026
Exit
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
2.25
20% entry drawdown
-26.12%
Entry 19 Dec 2025 3.04