Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
478.70
Total Return
378.70%
CAGR
55.90%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.12%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.64
Sortino 5.14
Current Holdings
1077
Transactions
10779
Avg 3056.6/yr ·
254.7/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4851
Stop 41.6% ·
Warning 57.9%
· Other 0.5%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ADBE
NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25
MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL
NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB
NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV
NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33
MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN
NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO
NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS
NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT
NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI
NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86
MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
IQ
NASDAQ · iQIYI Inc
1.19
MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW
NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAT
NASDAQ · Mattel Inc
14.30
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS
NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT
NYSE · Onterris
20.93
MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX
NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69
MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD
NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06
MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL
NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10
MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK
NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06
MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY
NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05
MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
ACB
NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63
20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU
NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52
20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01
20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX
NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69
20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT
NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05
20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE
NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11
20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM
NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03
20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI
NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62
20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT
NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40
20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX
NYSE · Edison International
77.63
Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO
NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68
20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO
NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96
20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK
NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77
20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05
20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
GRDX
NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82
20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
HUBG
NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22
Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV
NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37
20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35
20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS
NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01
Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA
NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22
20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX
NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25
20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI
NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12
20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI
NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27
20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF
NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75
Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG
NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17
20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB
NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63
20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC
NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52
20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN
NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73
20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT
NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89
20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX
NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95
20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS
NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28
20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA
NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73
20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU
NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38
20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING
NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33
20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW
NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57
20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR
NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06
20% entry drawdown · -45.47%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
VCEL
NASDAQ · Vericel Corp Ord
31 Oct 202535.06
46.64
33.03%
Buy
0.01
-
-
VEEV
NYSE · Veeva Systems Inc Class A
29 May 2026174.34
195.38
12.07%
Buy
0.39
-
-
VFC
NYSE · VF Corporation
11 Jul 202512.07
16.98
40.70%
Buy
0.01
-
-
VHI
NYSE · Valhi Inc
6 Feb 202615.34
13.89
-9.43%
Buy
1.25
-
-
VIR
NASDAQ · Vir Biotechnology Inc
24 Oct 20255.98
9.43
57.69%
Buy
1.41
-
-
VIRC
NASDAQ · Virco Manufacturing Corporation
27 Mar 20266.20
6.17
-0.56%
Buy
0.24
-
-
VLRS
NYSE · Volaris
11 Jul 20254.93
7.66
55.38%
Buy
0.20
-
-
VLTO
NYSE · Veralto Corporation
26 Jun 202689.61
93.81
4.69%
Buy
0.02
-
-
VOC
NYSE · VOC Energy Trust
27 Feb 20263.17
3.15
-0.63%
Buy
1.30
-
-
VOR
NASDAQ · Vor Biopharma Inc
13 Feb 202612.78
18.09
41.55%
Buy
0.02
-
-
VOYG
NYSE · Voyager Technologies, Inc.
3 Apr 202626.82
25.90
-3.43%
Buy
0.19
-
-
VRA
NASDAQ · Vera Bradley Inc
13 Feb 20262.68
3.75
39.93%
Buy
0.18
-
-
VRDN
NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
10 Jul 202619.74
18.03
-8.66%
Buy
0.12
-
-
VREX
NASDAQ · Varex Imaging Corp
11 Jul 20258.17
10.55
29.13%
Buy
0.15
-
-
VRNS
NASDAQ · Varonis Systems
1 May 202626.50
47.54
79.40%
Buy
0.12
-
-
VRSK
NASDAQ · Verisk Analytics Inc
12 Jun 2026183.29
200.68
9.49%
Buy
0.23
-
-
VRTS
NYSE · Virtus Investment Partners, Inc.
8 May 2026143.93
164.46
14.26%
Buy
0.08
-
-
VSTM
NASDAQ · Verastem Inc
1 Nov 20243.92
6.03
53.83%
Buy
0.90
-
-
VTEX
NYSE · VTEX
13 Mar 20263.79
4.20
10.82%
Buy
0.54
-
-
VVV
NYSE · Valvoline Inc
30 Jan 202632.72
39.97
22.16%
Buy
0.18
-
-
VYGR
NASDAQ · Voyager Therapeutics Inc
15 Aug 20253.73
3.17
-15.01%
Buy
0.97
-
-
VYX
NYSE · NCR Voyix Corporation
29 May 20267.19
8.21
14.19%
Buy
0.25
-
-
WALD
NASDAQ · Waldencast Acquisition Corp
22 May 20261.30
1.73
33.08%
Buy
0.04
-
-
WAY
NASDAQ · Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock
3 Jul 202623.46
22.27
-5.07%
Buy
0.10
-
-
WBTN
NASDAQ · WEBTOON Entertainment Inc. Common stock
16 May 20258.97
10.43
16.28%
Buy
0.00
-
-
WD
NYSE · Walker & Dunlop Inc
15 May 202650.42
50.08
-0.68%
Buy
0.21
-
-
WDAY
NASDAQ · Workday Inc
22 May 2026128.14
144.78
12.99%
Buy
0.14
-
-
WEAV
NYSE · Weave Communications Inc
8 May 20265.94
7.23
21.72%
Buy
0.11
-
-
WEN
NASDAQ · The Wendy’s Co
15 May 20267.88
7.76
-1.52%
Buy
0.34
-
-
WENN
NASDAQ · Wen Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Shares
20 Mar 202610.20
10.32
1.18%
Buy
0.79
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
8 Aug 2025
Entry
DSGN
NASDAQ · Design Therapeutics Inc
4.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.53
8 Aug 2025
Exit
DTCX
NASDAQ · Datacentrex, Inc.
15.46
Reversal Risk Warning
264.62%
Entry 28 Mar 2025
4.24
8 Aug 2025
Exit
ECOR
NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
4.62
20% entry drawdown
-32.85%
Entry 11 Jul 2025
6.88
8 Aug 2025
Exit
FAST
NASDAQ · Fastenal Company
47.22
Reversal Risk Warning
65.15%
Entry 17 Nov 2023
28.59
8 Aug 2025
Entry
FET
NYSE · Forum Energy Technologies Inc
22.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.93
8 Aug 2025
Exit
GLMD
NASDAQ · Galmed Pharmaceuticals Ltd
1.45
20% entry drawdown
-25.06%
Entry 11 Jul 2025
1.94
8 Aug 2025
Entry
HLLY
NYSE · Holley Inc
3.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.05
8 Aug 2025
Exit
HNRG
NASDAQ · Hallador Energy Company
21.22
Reversal Risk Warning
100.38%
Entry 4 Oct 2024
10.59
8 Aug 2025
Entry
HP
NYSE · Helmerich and Payne Inc
16.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.44
8 Aug 2025
Exit
HWKN
NASDAQ · Hawkins Inc
176.34
Reversal Risk Warning
151.54%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
70.11
8 Aug 2025
Exit
INM
NASDAQ · InMed Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.24
20% entry drawdown
-24.07%
Entry 16 May 2025
2.95
8 Aug 2025
Exit
IOVA
NASDAQ · Iovance Biotherapeutics Inc
2.11
20% entry drawdown
-32.59%
Entry 25 Jul 2025
3.13
8 Aug 2025
Entry
KLRS
NASDAQ · Kalaris Therapeutics, Inc.
2.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.16
8 Aug 2025
Exit
KOS
NYSE · Kosmos Energy Ltd
1.75
20% entry drawdown
-22.22%
Entry 13 Jun 2025
2.25
8 Aug 2025
Exit
KR
NYSE · Kroger Company
72.74
Reversal Risk Warning
60.00%
Entry 16 Feb 2024
45.46
8 Aug 2025
Exit
KRNT
NASDAQ · Kornit Digital Ltd
15.09
20% entry drawdown
-33.05%
Entry 6 Jun 2025
22.54
8 Aug 2025
Entry
LPTH
NASDAQ · LightPath Technologies Inc
3.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.02
8 Aug 2025
Exit
LUNR
NASDAQ · Intuitive Machines Inc.
9.81
20% entry drawdown
-20.95%
Entry 18 Jul 2025
12.41
8 Aug 2025
Entry
MBIN
NASDAQ · Merchants Bancorp
30.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.53
8 Aug 2025
Entry
MYGN
NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
6.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.62
8 Aug 2025
Exit
MYPS
NASDAQ · Playstudios Inc
1.05
20% entry drawdown
-21.64%
Entry 30 May 2025
1.34
8 Aug 2025
Entry
NAT
NYSE · Nordic American Tankers Limited
2.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.20
8 Aug 2025
Exit
NDAQ
NASDAQ · Nasdaq Inc
95.65
Reversal Risk Warning
79.48%
Entry 24 Nov 2023
53.29
8 Aug 2025
Exit
NTLA
NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
10.79
20% entry drawdown
-20.63%
Entry 25 Jul 2025
13.60
8 Aug 2025
Exit
NVCT
NASDAQ · Nuvectis Pharma Inc
6.00
20% entry drawdown
-23.08%
Entry 14 Feb 2025
7.80
8 Aug 2025
Entry
NVO
NYSE · Novo Nordisk A/S
48.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.31
8 Aug 2025
Exit
ORLY
NASDAQ · O’Reilly Automotive Inc
103.33
Reversal Risk Warning
61.22%
Entry 14 Jul 2023
64.09
8 Aug 2025
Entry
PMVP
NASDAQ · Pmv Pharmaceuticals Inc
1.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.22
8 Aug 2025
Exit
QTRX
NASDAQ · Quanterix Corp
4.75
20% entry drawdown
-21.62%
Entry 13 Jun 2025
6.06
8 Aug 2025
Exit
RBA
NYSE · RB Global Inc.
112.81
Reversal Risk Warning
84.41%
Entry 21 Jul 2023
61.17