View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 7 Aug 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
494.61
Total Return
394.61%
CAGR
56.21% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.47%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.18
Current Holdings
1076
Transactions
10942 Avg 3053.1/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4933 Stop 42.1% · Warning 57.3% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

7 Aug 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
41
ACM NYSE · Aecom Technology Corporation
75.84 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ACN NYSE · Accenture plc
175.72 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.27 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BAFN NASDAQ · Bayfirst Financial Corp
6.34 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
11.22 MD 0.46 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BGSI NYSE · Boyd Group Services Inc.
102.34 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BHC NYSE · Bausch Health Companies Inc
6.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIOA NASDAQ · BioAge Labs, Inc
11.72 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BRLT NASDAQ · Brilliant Earth Group Inc
1.28 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
64.00 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CLX NYSE · The Clorox Company
105.15 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CTSH NASDAQ · Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp Class A
57.67 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
3.32 MD 1.69 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DOCS NYSE · Doximity Inc
27.40 MD 0.99 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FRPT NASDAQ · Freshpet Inc
66.91 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FWRD NASDAQ · Forward Air Corporation
19.35 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
G NYSE · Genpact Limited
34.29 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLOB NYSE · Globant SA
37.40 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUIZ NASDAQ · Huize Holding Ltd
1.66 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INSP NYSE · Inspire Medical Systems Inc
60.16 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTU NASDAQ · Intuit Inc
325.25 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
IT NYSE · Gartner Inc
185.60 MD 0.94 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LBRDA NASDAQ · Liberty Broadband Srs A
35.93 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.28 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MOS NYSE · The Mosaic Company
23.06 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
14.42 MD 0.94 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPCH NASDAQ · Option Care Health Inc
23.79 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PBH NYSE · Prestige Brand Holdings Inc
54.85 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PCOR NYSE · Procore Technologies Inc
57.06 MD 0.53 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
2.14 MD 0.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RKDA NASDAQ · Arcadia Biosciences Inc
0.70 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RWAY NASDAQ · Runway Growth Finance Corp
6.84 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.53 MD 0.61 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TNDM NASDAQ · Tandem Diabetes Care Inc
22.38 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
101.83 MD 1.69 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TSCO NASDAQ · Tractor Supply Company
34.56 MD 0.23 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
31.09 MD 0.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VNT NYSE · Vontier Corp
35.09 MD 0.23 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WIX NASDAQ · Wix.Com Ltd
60.20 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
2.02 MD 1.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZKH NYSE · ZKH Group Limited
2.85 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
24
AHCO NASDAQ · Adapthealth Corp
5.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
0.91 20% entry drawdown · -26.62%
AMLX NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
22.82 Reversal Risk Warning · 260.51%
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
49.55 20% entry drawdown · -25.65%
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
21.13 20% entry drawdown · -27.06%
BAER NASDAQ · Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.26 20% entry drawdown · -32.44%
BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp
1.48 20% entry drawdown · -31.80%
CRL NYSE · Charles River Laboratories
267.49 Reversal Risk Warning · 78.98%
DAAQ NASDAQ · Digital Asset Acquisition Corp.
8.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.51%
FVN NASDAQ · Future Vision II Acquisition Corporation Ordinary shares
11.80 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.61%
GDTC NASDAQ · CytoMed Therapeutics Limited Ordinary Shares
0.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.20%
HCAT NASDAQ · Health Catalyst Inc
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -24.45%
HGBL NASDAQ · Heritage Global Inc
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
IPCX NASDAQ · Inflection Point Acquisition Corp. III Class A Ordinary Shares
4.44 20% entry drawdown · -56.34%
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.08 20% entry drawdown · -40.33%
MTW NYSE · Manitowoc Company Inc
18.81 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.09%
ONT NYSE · Onterris
16.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.12%
ORGO NASDAQ · Organogenesis Holdings Inc
1.86 20% entry drawdown · -29.01%
PETZ NASDAQ · TDH Holdings Inc
1.59 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.40%
PZZA NASDAQ · Papa John's International Inc
24.47 20% entry drawdown · -33.77%
SPPL NASDAQ · SIMPPLE LTD. Ordinary Shares
2.54 20% entry drawdown · -35.20%
SWK NYSE · Stanley Black & Decker Inc
103.89 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.82%
UHAL NYSE · U-Haul Holding Company
75.27 Reversal Risk Warning · 43.13%
VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
123.47 Reversal Risk Warning · 110.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 991-1020 of 1076 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
VFC NYSE · VF Corporation
11 Jul 202512.07
14.99
24.21%
Buy
0.01
-
-
VHI NYSE · Valhi Inc
6 Feb 202615.34
15.89
3.61%
Buy
1.25
-
-
VIR NASDAQ · Vir Biotechnology Inc
24 Oct 20255.98
8.82
47.49%
Buy
1.41
-
-
VIRC NASDAQ · Virco Manufacturing Corporation
27 Mar 20266.20
6.12
-1.36%
Buy
0.24
-
-
VLRS NYSE · Volaris
11 Jul 20254.93
8.17
65.72%
Buy
0.20
-
-
VLTO NYSE · Veralto Corporation
26 Jun 202689.61
98.34
9.74%
Buy
0.02
-
-
VNT NYSE · Vontier Corp
7 Aug 202635.09
35.09
New Entry week
Buy
0.23
-
-
VOR NASDAQ · Vor Biopharma Inc
13 Feb 202612.78
23.67
85.21%
Buy
0.02
-
-
VOYG NYSE · Voyager Technologies, Inc.
3 Apr 202626.82
41.85
56.04%
Buy
0.19
-
-
VRA NASDAQ · Vera Bradley Inc
13 Feb 20262.68
3.47
29.48%
Buy
0.18
-
-
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
10 Jul 202619.74
23.59
19.50%
Buy
0.12
-
-
VREX NASDAQ · Varex Imaging Corp
11 Jul 20258.17
12.41
51.90%
Buy
0.15
-
-
VRNS NASDAQ · Varonis Systems
1 May 202626.50
43.52
64.23%
Buy
0.12
-
-
VRSK NASDAQ · Verisk Analytics Inc
12 Jun 2026183.29
191.82
4.65%
Buy
0.23
-
-
VRTS NYSE · Virtus Investment Partners, Inc.
8 May 2026143.93
165.16
14.75%
Buy
0.08
-
-
VS NASDAQ · Versus Systems Inc
10 Jul 20261.49
1.31
-12.08%
Buy
0.98
-
-
VSTM NASDAQ · Verastem Inc
1 Nov 20243.92
6.74
71.94%
Buy
0.90
-
-
VTEX NYSE · VTEX
13 Mar 20263.79
4.18
10.29%
Buy
0.54
-
-
VVV NYSE · Valvoline Inc
30 Jan 202632.72
35.34
8.01%
Buy
0.18
-
-
VYGR NASDAQ · Voyager Therapeutics Inc
15 Aug 20253.73
3.27
-12.33%
Buy
0.97
-
-
VYX NYSE · NCR Voyix Corporation
29 May 20267.19
8.25
14.74%
Buy
0.25
-
-
WALD NASDAQ · Waldencast Acquisition Corp
22 May 20261.30
1.39
6.92%
Buy
0.04
-
-
WAY NASDAQ · Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock
3 Jul 202623.46
24.23
3.28%
Buy
0.11
-
-
WBTN NASDAQ · WEBTOON Entertainment Inc. Common stock
16 May 20258.97
8.93
-0.45%
Buy
0.00
-
-
WD NYSE · Walker & Dunlop Inc
15 May 202650.42
44.43
-11.88%
Buy
0.21
-
-
WDAY NASDAQ · Workday Inc
22 May 2026128.14
179.64
40.19%
Buy
0.14
-
-
WEAV NYSE · Weave Communications Inc
8 May 20265.94
5.29
-10.94%
Buy
0.11
-
-
WEN NASDAQ · The Wendy’s Co
15 May 20267.88
7.69
-2.40%
Buy
0.34
-
-
WENN NASDAQ · Wen Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Shares
20 Mar 202610.20
10.39
1.86%
Buy
0.79
-
-
WEST NASDAQ · Westrock Coffee Company
30 Jan 20264.83
8.23
70.39%
Buy
0.47
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 10051-10080 of 10942
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
10 Nov 2023
Entry
NTGR NASDAQ · NETGEAR Inc
12.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
10 Nov 2023
Entry
OGI NASDAQ · OrganiGram Holdings Inc
1.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
10 Nov 2023
Entry
PRLB NYSE · Proto Labs Inc
34.58
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
10 Nov 2023
Entry
QURE NASDAQ · Uniqure NV
6.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
10 Nov 2023
Entry
RACE NYSE · Ferrari NV
324.68
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
10 Nov 2023
Entry
RBLX NYSE · Roblox Corp
38.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.28
10 Nov 2023
Entry
RHP NYSE · Ryman Hospitality Properties Inc
83.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
10 Nov 2023
Entry
RSG NYSE · Republic Services Inc
153.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
10 Nov 2023
Entry
SGC NASDAQ · Superior Uniform Group Inc
9.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
10 Nov 2023
Entry
TBPH NASDAQ · Theravance Biopharma Inc
10.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
10 Nov 2023
Entry
THR NYSE · Thermon Group Holdings Inc
31.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
10 Nov 2023
Exit
TSHA NASDAQ · Taysha Gene Therapies Inc
1.51
20% entry drawdown
-21.61%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 1.92
10 Nov 2023
Entry
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
7.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
10 Nov 2023
Entry
UVV NYSE · Universal Corporation
43.84
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
10 Nov 2023
Entry
VIV NYSE · Telefonica Brasil SA ADR
8.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.93
10 Nov 2023
Entry
WM NYSE · Waste Management Inc
164.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.39
10 Nov 2023
Entry
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.36
3 Nov 2023
Entry
AGO NYSE · Assured Guaranty Ltd
62.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
3 Nov 2023
Entry
AROC NYSE · Archrock Inc
13.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
3 Nov 2023
Entry
AVPT NASDAQ · Avepoint Inc
7.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.45
3 Nov 2023
Entry
CAH NYSE · Cardinal Health Inc
96.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
3 Nov 2023
Entry
CBNK NASDAQ · Capital Bancorp
20.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
3 Nov 2023
Entry
CDIO NASDAQ · Cardio Diagnostics Holdings Inc
11.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.59
3 Nov 2023
Entry
CHMG NASDAQ · Chemung Financial Corp
40.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
3 Nov 2023
Entry
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
3 Nov 2023
Entry
DIS NYSE · Walt Disney Company
83.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
3 Nov 2023
Entry
DKL NYSE · Delek Logistics Partners LP
36.19
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
3 Nov 2023
Entry
ENSG NASDAQ · The Ensign Group Inc
101.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.52
3 Nov 2023
Entry
FINS NYSE · Angel Oak Financial Strategies Income Term Trust
9.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.55
3 Nov 2023
Entry
FXNC NASDAQ · First National Corp
17.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.61

Evidence context