Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1122
Transactions
10714 Avg 3054.8/yr · 254.6/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4796 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.3%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
11
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 211-240 of 1122 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
3 Jul 20266.48
8.39
29.48%
Buy
0.65
-
-
CLW NYSE · Clearwater Paper Corporation
29 May 202616.30
15.80
-3.07%
Buy
0.10
-
-
CMCSA NASDAQ · Comcast Corp
2 Jan 202625.57
23.57
-7.84%
Buy
0.04
-
-
CMG NYSE · Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
26 Jun 202633.34
35.25
5.73%
Buy
0.32
-
-
CMP NYSE · Compass Minerals International Inc
20 Sep 202411.34
29.84
163.14%
Buy
0.54
-
-
CNC NYSE · Centene Corp
3 Oct 202538.70
67.35
74.03%
Buy
0.11
-
-
CNH NYSE · CNH Industrial N.V.
16 Jan 202610.81
10.45
-3.36%
Buy
0.04
-
-
CNMD NYSE · CONMED Corporation
26 Jun 202635.95
38.48
7.04%
Buy
0.19
-
-
CNNE NYSE · Cannae Holdings Inc
1 May 202613.53
14.59
7.87%
Buy
0.15
-
-
CNR NYSE · Core Natural Resources, Inc.
11 Jul 202575.23
81.87
8.82%
Buy
0.56
-
-
CODI NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings
3 Apr 20268.59
10.06
17.11%
Buy
1.01
-
-
COLD NYSE · Americold Realty Trust
19 Dec 202511.76
15.51
31.89%
Buy
0.05
-
-
COLM NASDAQ · Columbia Sportswear Company
12 Sep 202553.74
62.97
17.18%
Buy
0.10
-
-
COO NASDAQ · The Cooper Companies, Inc
26 Jun 202671.02
70.70
-0.45%
Buy
0.34
-
-
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
26 Jun 202679.30
72.47
-8.61%
Buy
1.32
-
-
CPB NASDAQ · Campbell’s Co
19 Jun 202620.80
22.07
6.10%
Buy
0.48
-
-
CPHC NASDAQ · Canterbury Park Holding Corporation
23 Jan 202615.83
16.03
1.23%
Buy
0.44
-
-
CPRI NYSE · Capri Holdings Ltd
27 Jun 202517.58
18.04
2.62%
Buy
0.35
-
-
CPSS NASDAQ · Consumer Portfolio Services Inc
19 Apr 20249.00
9.26
2.89%
Buy
0.05
-
-
CRAC NASDAQ · Crown Reserve Acquisition Corp. I Class A Ordinary Shares
3 Jul 202610.12
10.13
0.10%
Buy
2.02
-
-
CRBU NASDAQ · Caribou Biosciences Inc
11 Jul 20251.63
1.93
18.10%
Buy
1.37
-
-
CRCT NASDAQ · Cricut Inc
3 May 20244.22
4.41
4.60%
Buy
0.78
-
-
CRDL NASDAQ · Cardiol Therapeutics Inc Class A
16 May 20251.11
1.01
-9.01%
Buy
0.09
-
-
CRE NASDAQ · Cre8 Enterprise Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
29 May 20262.64
3.24
22.73%
Buy
1.12
-
-
CREX NASDAQ · Creative Realities Inc
16 May 20252.11
3.84
81.99%
Buy
0.31
-
-
CRGY NYSE · Crescent Energy Co
27 Jun 20258.56
9.47
10.69%
Buy
0.13
-
-
CRI NYSE · Carter’s Inc
19 Sep 202530.59
40.19
31.38%
Buy
1.02
-
-
CRL NYSE · Charles River Laboratories
13 Jun 2025149.45
233.41
56.18%
Buy
0.10
-
-
CRNC NASDAQ · Cerence Inc
22 Nov 20247.20
10.47
45.42%
Buy
1.37
-
-
CRNT NASDAQ · Ceragon Networks Ltd
26 Sep 20252.37
2.35
-0.84%
Buy
0.18
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 361-390 of 10714
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
19 Jun 2026
Exit
AMKR NASDAQ · Amkor Technology Inc
90.46
Reversal Risk Warning
221.15%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 28.17
19 Jun 2026
Exit
AMPG NASDAQ · Amplitech Group Inc
8.99
Reversal Risk Warning
78.37%
Entry 22 May 2026 5.04
19 Jun 2026
Entry
AMSF NASDAQ · AMERISAFE Inc
31.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
19 Jun 2026
Exit
AOSL NASDAQ · Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd
48.04
Reversal Risk Warning
112.10%
Entry 13 Feb 2026 22.65
19 Jun 2026
Entry
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.39
19 Jun 2026
Entry
APXT NASDAQ · Apex Treasury Corporation
10.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.12
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ARM NASDAQ · Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares
439.46
Reversal Risk Warning
252.87%
Entry 30 May 2025 124.54
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ATEN NYSE · A10 Network
33.26
Reversal Risk Warning
126.31%
Entry 3 May 2024 14.70
19 Jun 2026
Entry
ATHM NYSE · Autohome Inc
17.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ATRO NASDAQ · Astronics Corporation
80.56
Reversal Risk Warning
312.85%
Entry 7 Mar 2025 19.51
19 Jun 2026
Exit
AUPH NASDAQ · Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc
16.46
Reversal Risk Warning
143.49%
Entry 23 Aug 2024 6.76
19 Jun 2026
Exit
BAK NYSE · Braskem SA Class A
2.94
20% entry drawdown
-23.24%
Entry 13 Feb 2026 3.83
19 Jun 2026
Exit
BDMD NASDAQ · Baird Medical Investment Holdings Limited
1.11
20% entry drawdown
-28.39%
Entry 20 Feb 2026 1.55
19 Jun 2026
Exit
BE NYSE · Bloom Energy Corp
328.91
Reversal Risk Warning
626.39%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 45.28
19 Jun 2026
Entry
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
19 Jun 2026
Exit
BFLY NYSE · Butterfly Network Inc
8.90
Reversal Risk Warning
281.97%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 2.33
19 Jun 2026
Entry
BGDE NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.
10.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.11
19 Jun 2026
Entry
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
4.68
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
19 Jun 2026
Exit
BTSG NASDAQ · BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. Common Stock
66.25
Reversal Risk Warning
171.18%
Entry 16 May 2025 24.43
19 Jun 2026
Exit
BWEN NASDAQ · Broadwind Energy Inc
5.03
Reversal Risk Warning
167.55%
Entry 16 May 2025 1.88
19 Jun 2026
Exit
CAKE NASDAQ · The Cheesecake Factory
77.19
Reversal Risk Warning
148.79%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 31.03
19 Jun 2026
Exit
CAT NYSE · Caterpillar Inc
985.82
Reversal Risk Warning
179.10%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 353.21
19 Jun 2026
Exit
CBK NASDAQ · Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock
31.36
Reversal Risk Warning
9.66%
Entry 22 May 2026 28.60
19 Jun 2026
Exit
CCBG NASDAQ · Capital City Bank Group
47.48
Reversal Risk Warning
65.12%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 28.75
19 Jun 2026
Entry
CERT NASDAQ · Certara Inc
5.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.37
19 Jun 2026
Exit
CEVA NASDAQ · CEVA Inc
49.72
Reversal Risk Warning
72.22%
Entry 24 Apr 2026 28.87
19 Jun 2026
Exit
CIFR NASDAQ · Cipher Mining Inc
29.18
Reversal Risk Warning
357.37%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 6.38
19 Jun 2026
Entry
CLAR NASDAQ · Clarus Corp
3.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.66
19 Jun 2026
Exit
CMTL NASDAQ · Comtech Telecommunications Corp
2.40
20% entry drawdown
-49.15%
Entry 5 Jun 2026 4.72
19 Jun 2026
Exit
CNMD NYSE · CONMED Corporation
32.58
20% entry drawdown
-21.53%
Entry 6 Feb 2026 41.52