Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 211-240 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
CLW NYSE · Clearwater Paper Corporation
29 May 202616.30
15.80
-3.07%
Buy
0.10
-
-
CMCSA NASDAQ · Comcast Corp
2 Jan 202625.57
23.57
-7.84%
Buy
0.04
-
-
CMG NYSE · Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
26 Jun 202633.34
35.25
5.73%
Buy
0.32
-
-
CMP NYSE · Compass Minerals International Inc
20 Sep 202411.34
29.84
163.14%
Buy
0.54
-
-
CNC NYSE · Centene Corp
3 Oct 202538.70
67.35
74.03%
Buy
0.11
-
-
CNH NYSE · CNH Industrial N.V.
16 Jan 202610.81
10.45
-3.36%
Buy
0.04
-
-
CNMD NYSE · CONMED Corporation
26 Jun 202635.95
38.48
7.04%
Buy
0.19
-
-
CNNE NYSE · Cannae Holdings Inc
1 May 202613.53
14.59
7.87%
Buy
0.15
-
-
CNR NYSE · Core Natural Resources, Inc.
11 Jul 202575.23
81.87
8.82%
Buy
0.56
-
-
CODI NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings
3 Apr 20268.59
10.06
17.11%
Buy
1.01
-
-
COLD NYSE · Americold Realty Trust
19 Dec 202511.76
15.51
31.89%
Buy
0.05
-
-
COLM NASDAQ · Columbia Sportswear Company
12 Sep 202553.74
62.97
17.18%
Buy
0.10
-
-
COO NASDAQ · The Cooper Companies, Inc
26 Jun 202671.02
70.70
-0.45%
Buy
0.34
-
-
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
26 Jun 202679.30
72.47
-8.61%
Buy
1.32
-
-
CPB NASDAQ · Campbell’s Co
19 Jun 202620.80
22.07
6.10%
Buy
0.48
-
-
CPHC NASDAQ · Canterbury Park Holding Corporation
23 Jan 202615.83
16.03
1.23%
Buy
0.44
-
-
CPRI NYSE · Capri Holdings Ltd
27 Jun 202517.58
18.04
2.62%
Buy
0.35
-
-
CPSS NASDAQ · Consumer Portfolio Services Inc
19 Apr 20249.00
9.26
2.89%
Buy
0.05
-
-
CRAC NASDAQ · Crown Reserve Acquisition Corp. I Class A Ordinary Shares
3 Jul 202610.12
10.13
0.10%
Buy
2.02
-
-
CRBU NASDAQ · Caribou Biosciences Inc
11 Jul 20251.63
1.93
18.10%
Buy
1.37
-
-
CRCT NASDAQ · Cricut Inc
3 May 20244.22
4.41
4.60%
Buy
0.78
-
-
CRDL NASDAQ · Cardiol Therapeutics Inc Class A
16 May 20251.11
1.01
-9.01%
Buy
0.09
-
-
CRE NASDAQ · Cre8 Enterprise Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
29 May 20262.64
3.24
22.73%
Buy
1.12
-
-
CREX NASDAQ · Creative Realities Inc
16 May 20252.11
3.84
81.99%
Buy
0.31
-
-
CRGY NYSE · Crescent Energy Co
27 Jun 20258.56
9.47
10.69%
Buy
0.13
-
-
CRI NYSE · Carter’s Inc
19 Sep 202530.59
40.19
31.38%
Buy
1.02
-
-
CRL NYSE · Charles River Laboratories
13 Jun 2025149.45
233.41
56.18%
Buy
0.10
-
-
CRNC NASDAQ · Cerence Inc
22 Nov 20247.20
10.47
45.42%
Buy
1.37
-
-
CRNT NASDAQ · Ceragon Networks Ltd
26 Sep 20252.37
2.35
-0.84%
Buy
0.18
-
-
CROX NASDAQ · Crocs Inc
5 Dec 202589.70
132.78
48.03%
Buy
0.31
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1261-1290 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
15 May 2026
Exit
ST NYSE · Sensata Technologies Holding NV
48.50
Reversal Risk Warning
95.07%
Entry 23 May 2025 24.86
15 May 2026
Exit
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.28
20% entry drawdown
-23.81%
Entry 24 Apr 2026 1.68
15 May 2026
Entry
SUPX NASDAQ · SuperX AI Technology Limited
10.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
15 May 2026
Entry
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
2.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.92
15 May 2026
Exit
TNDM NASDAQ · Tandem Diabetes Care Inc
12.82
20% entry drawdown
-21.16%
Entry 7 Nov 2025 16.26
15 May 2026
Entry
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
0.78
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.53
15 May 2026
Exit
TRGP NYSE · Targa Resources Inc
271.99
Reversal Risk Warning
169.35%
Entry 15 Mar 2024 100.98
15 May 2026
Exit
TSEM NASDAQ · Tower Semiconductor Ltd
273.98
Reversal Risk Warning
221.69%
Entry 31 Oct 2025 85.17
15 May 2026
Exit
TYGO NASDAQ · Tigo Energy Inc.
3.95
20% entry drawdown
-21.16%
Entry 24 Apr 2026 5.01
15 May 2026
Entry
USIO NASDAQ · Usio Inc
1.52
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
15 May 2026
Exit
VRT NYSE · Vertiv Holdings Co
370.87
Reversal Risk Warning
244.10%
Entry 30 May 2025 107.78
15 May 2026
Entry
WD NYSE · Walker & Dunlop Inc
50.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
15 May 2026
Entry
WEN NASDAQ · The Wendy’s Co
7.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.34
15 May 2026
Exit
WES NYSE · Western Midstream Partners LP
46.03
Reversal Risk Warning
102.54%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 22.73
15 May 2026
Exit
WMG NASDAQ · Warner Music Group
33.25
Reversal Risk Warning
0.21%
Entry 8 May 2026 33.18
15 May 2026
Exit
WNC NYSE · Wabash National Corporation
6.85
20% entry drawdown
-21.53%
Entry 26 Dec 2025 8.73
15 May 2026
Entry
WPP NYSE · WPP PLC ADR
16.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
15 May 2026
Exit
WTI NYSE · W&T Offshore Inc
4.74
Reversal Risk Warning
225.59%
Entry 30 May 2025 1.46
15 May 2026
Exit
WTTR NYSE · Select Energy Services Inc
18.96
Reversal Risk Warning
110.57%
Entry 5 Apr 2024 9.00
15 May 2026
Exit
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
10.07
20% entry drawdown
-21.21%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 12.78
15 May 2026
Exit
YELP NYSE · Yelp Inc
21.65
20% entry drawdown
-24.67%
Entry 24 Apr 2026 28.74
15 May 2026
Exit
YI NASDAQ · 111 Inc
5.79
20% entry drawdown
-20.68%
Entry 30 Jan 2026 7.30
15 May 2026
Exit
YIBO NASDAQ · Planet Image International Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
0.77
20% entry drawdown
-29.37%
Entry 27 Feb 2026 1.09
15 May 2026
Entry
ZS NASDAQ · Zscaler Inc
161.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
15 May 2026
Entry
ZVIA NYSE · Zevia Pbc
1.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
8 May 2026
Exit
AAPG NASDAQ · Ascentage Pharma Group International
21.50
20% entry drawdown
-21.53%
Entry 17 Apr 2026 27.40
8 May 2026
Exit
ABCB NYSE · Ameris Bancorp
86.33
Reversal Risk Warning
100.28%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 43.10
8 May 2026
Exit
AD NYSE · Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc.
43.77
Reversal Risk Warning
186.48%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 15.28
8 May 2026
Exit
ADI NASDAQ · Analog Devices Inc
415.44
Reversal Risk Warning
119.83%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 188.99
8 May 2026
Exit
ADM NYSE · Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
77.14
Reversal Risk Warning
53.07%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 50.40