TGT NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Target Corporation · Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores

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Latest close 136.8 USD
-2.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.0%, after a -2.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 43/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 20d.

Setup score 62 out of 100
Latest Close 136.8 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -2.0% latest completed week
4W Return -2.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 7.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 51.9% 27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 27-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -2.0% Latest completed week; four-week move -2.6%. Indicator stack 74/46 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 43/100 conviction; expected move 5.6%. News sentiment 56/100 49 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 20d Next report is scheduled for 19 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.0%, after a -2.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9512-week average 0.96

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.95Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -2.6% over four weeks, 7.1% over 12 weeks, and 34.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 27 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.0%
4W-2.6%
12W7.1%
26W29.0%
52W34.6%
Active trend streak27 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.10Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-67.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership17.32Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-25.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Jan 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength91/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Value77/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Quality72/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Momentum80/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Growth4/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework52/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
18.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
9.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
14.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
28.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
4.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
10.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
12.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
0.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-17.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
14.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

TGT shows mixed options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.71, expected move of 5.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction43/100
Expected move5.6%
Put/call volume0.71
Pressure18
Speculation41
Volatility52
Trend agreement82
Open options detail
Insider activity9 / 11

9 acquisitions and 11 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 49 relevant articles.

22 positive · 24 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings20dNext report is scheduled for 19 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-5.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.3%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-7.3%Week of 3 Jul.
Latest week-2.0%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses1
Recent vol4.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.8% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape65/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 65/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis87/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.95; No reversal markers Factors79/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 38 SVQF52/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 489.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options57/100

TGT shows mixed options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.71, expected move of 5.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 5.6% Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 49 relevant articles.

Flock LPR Links Suspect Vehicle to Target Store Shooting, Arrest Made in One Day Insiders9 / 11

9 acquisitions and 11 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings20d

Next report is scheduled for 19 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow2 items

2 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026136.8 USD-2.0%121.2 USD118.3 USD0.1017.3213.8MOn
17 Jul 2026139.6 USD3.3%119.9 USD118.2 USD0.4519.3821.5MOn
10 Jul 2026135.1 USD3.8%118.4 USD118.0 USD0.3414.1822.9MOn
3 Jul 2026130.2 USD-7.3%117.1 USD117.9 USD0.3811.7519.3MOn
26 Jun 2026140.4 USD7.4%115.8 USD117.8 USD0.3023.3026.1MOn
19 Jun 2026130.7 USD-3.3%114.1 USD117.7 USD-0.0312.6021.5MOn
12 Jun 2026135.2 USD10.3%112.6 USD117.6 USD0.0717.8320.2MOn
5 Jun 2026122.6 USD-3.5%111.0 USD117.5 USD-0.057.7720.5MOn
29 May 2026127.1 USD1.2%109.9 USD117.5 USD0.209.0521.7MOn
22 May 2026125.6 USD3.3%108.6 USD117.4 USD0.439.5449.2MOn
15 May 2026121.5 USD-2.1%107.5 USD117.4 USD0.547.0725.0MOn
8 May 2026124.1 USD-2.8%106.4 USD117.5 USD0.859.5923.2MOn
1 May 2026127.7 USD-0.3%105.0 USD117.6 USD0.9515.4922.5MOn
24 Apr 2026128.1 USD1.1%103.6 USD117.7 USD0.9617.1023.4MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.