Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 91-120 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
FGBI NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
27 Mar 20268.12
10.00
23.12%
4
18.96
0.38%
2.78
FLG NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
14 Mar 202511.81
14.59
23.50%
4
52.26
1.89%
11.94
FLYW NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
26 Jun 202617.54
18.75
6.90%
6
43.44
1.89%
15.19
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.51
4.75%
4
56.21
4.79%
14.62
FOR NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
6 Mar 202625.96
30.80
18.64%
4
49.13
2.15%
1.10
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
12 Jun 202623.44
20.99
-10.45%
6
80.97
0.70%
1.12
GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
12 Jun 20262.52
2.62
3.97%
5
81.99
16.22%
55.51
GFR NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
6 Feb 20265.74
5.54
-3.48%
4
65.60
2.23%
5.39
GMAB NASDAQ · Genmab AS
29 Aug 202524.87
28.52
14.66%
6
64.19
1.67%
1.72
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
1 Aug 202511.27
9.59
-14.91%
7
98.00
4.60%
1.27
GPRE NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
5 Sep 202510.64
15.51
45.77%
4
90.39
2.21%
16.49
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
1 Dec 20235.29
10.25
93.76%
4
67.56
12.45%
54.93
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
19 Jun 20265.40
4.40
-18.52%
4
65.69
8.79%
44.27
GTN NYSE · Gray Television Inc
4 Jul 20254.60
4.11
-10.61%
6
75.65
1.02%
7.54
HELE NASDAQ · Helen of Troy Ltd
12 Jun 202629.86
28.14
-5.76%
5
71.41
5.26%
17.71
HLX NYSE · Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc
30 Jan 20267.94
8.54
7.56%
4
39.82
1.31%
3.94
HOFT NASDAQ · Hooker Furniture Corporation
9 Jan 202611.62
16.82
44.75%
5
47.27
2.40%
0.20
HQI NASDAQ · Hirequest Inc
20 Feb 202611.47
12.77
11.34%
4
45.12
1.66%
3.40
HTO NASDAQ · H2O America
13 Feb 202654.47
62.42
14.59%
4
86.34
0.66%
0.70
HURA NASDAQ · TuHURA Biosciences Inc
19 Jun 20262.57
2.44
-5.06%
7
44.88
0.52%
5.58
HVT NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.99
24.97
8.60%
4
48.06
1.04%
2.61
HVT-A NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
5 Sep 202522.61
29.95
32.44%
4
39.34
0.79%
0.55
IART NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
26 Jun 202618.76
18.05
-3.78%
4
88.74
6.21%
25.99
IBTA NYSE · Ibotta, Inc.
29 May 202634.25
35.57
3.85%
6
49.47
0.47%
1.93
IEP NASDAQ · Icahn Enterprises LP
3 Apr 20267.25
7.24
-0.07%
5
21.07
0.07%
2.70
IFF NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
27 Mar 202670.64
83.83
18.67%
8
15.87
1.00%
1.68
IFRX NASDAQ · InflaRx N.V.
12 Jun 20261.60
2.24
40.00%
6
62.45
8.20%
10.39
IHS NYSE · IHS Holding Ltd
7 Feb 20253.79
8.22
116.89%
4
52.72
1.34%
8.33
IIPR NYSE · Innovative Industrial Properties Inc
8 May 202655.59
63.36
13.99%
5
51.06
1.20%
0.90
IMRX NASDAQ · Immuneering Corp
25 Jul 20254.06
5.19
27.83%
4
97.64
14.41%
81.13

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1-30 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
3 Jul 2026
Exit
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86
Reversal Risk Warning
49.75%
Entry 2 Jan 2026 7.92
3 Jul 2026
Entry
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
3 Jul 2026
Entry
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
3 Jul 2026
Entry
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
3 Jul 2026
Exit
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07
20% entry drawdown
-23.19%
Entry 5 Jun 2026 56.07
3 Jul 2026
Entry
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
3 Jul 2026
Exit
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40
20% entry drawdown
-21.82%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 3.07
3 Jul 2026
Entry
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
3 Jul 2026
Entry
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
3 Jul 2026
Entry
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
3 Jul 2026
Entry
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
3 Jul 2026
Entry
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
3 Jul 2026
Entry
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
3 Jul 2026
Exit
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85
20% entry drawdown
-36.39%
Entry 26 Jun 2026 12.34
3 Jul 2026
Entry
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
3 Jul 2026
Entry
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36
26 Jun 2026
Exit
ADAM NASDAQ · New York Mortgage Trust, Inc.
9.51
Reversal Risk Warning
116.48%
Entry 23 May 2025 4.39
26 Jun 2026
Exit
ADPT NASDAQ · Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp
20.96
Reversal Risk Warning
345.96%
Entry 30 Aug 2024 4.70
26 Jun 2026
Exit
AMRX NASDAQ · Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Class A Common Stock
17.23
Reversal Risk Warning
468.65%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 3.03
26 Jun 2026
Exit
AWR NYSE · American States Water Company
82.57
Reversal Risk Warning
10.68%
Entry 27 Mar 2026 74.60
26 Jun 2026
Exit
BLBD NASDAQ · Blue Bird Corp
78.81
Reversal Risk Warning
413.09%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 15.36
26 Jun 2026
Entry
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
8.97
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 62.48 · ROC 2.84% · RS 8.83
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CACC NASDAQ · Credit Acceptance Corporation
628.86
Reversal Risk Warning
36.28%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 461.44
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CALY NYSE · Callaway Golf Company
19.25
Reversal Risk Warning
95.23%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 9.86
26 Jun 2026
Entry
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
13.22
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 66.25 · ROC 2.64% · RS 2.69
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CLOV NASDAQ · Clover Health Investments Corp
5.41
Reversal Risk Warning
231.90%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 1.63
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CMPS NASDAQ · Compass Pathways Plc
14.82
Reversal Risk Warning
188.33%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 5.14
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CZFS NASDAQ · Citizens Financial Services Inc. Common Stock
73.82
Reversal Risk Warning
39.44%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 52.94
26 Jun 2026
Exit
DAVE NASDAQ · Dave Inc
348.71
Reversal Risk Warning
4058.74%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 8.39
26 Jun 2026
Exit
DMRC NASDAQ · Digimarc Corporation
7.68
20% entry drawdown
-32.10%
Entry 12 Jun 2026 11.31